Politecnico di Milano Master of Management Engineering THE MOBILE PAYMENTS AND ANTICIPATED TRENDS IN INTERNATIONAL STARTUP: OVERVIEW ON THE SERVICES AND THE EVOLUTION OF THE APPLICATION SCENARIO Supervisor: Prof. Alessandro Perego Assistant Supervisor: Eng.Valeria Portale Report of: Omar Zayed - 842569 Academic Year 2016 - 2017 2 Acknowledgement Firstly, I would like to thank the Osservatorio of Mobile Payments & Commerce for providing me with the opportunity to expand my knowledge base by allowing me to work on this report and learn and explore a new field that is different from my background. Their constant help, support and guidance throughout the study puts me in a position of appreciation. Last but not least, I would like to express my gratitude, love and thanks to my family that supported me every step of my way until this day today. I hope one day I would be able to repay a fraction of everything they went through and did for my sake and future. 3 Table of Contents Executive Summary ...................................................................................................................... 8 1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................... 9 2 Literature Review ............................................................................................................... 11 2.1 Mobile Payments Overview ..................................................................................................... 11 2.1.1 M-payments Growth .............................................................................................................. 11 2.1.2 Technologies and Classification of M-payments ................................................................... 13 2.1.3 M-payments Business Models ............................................................................................... 15 2.1.4 Revenue Streams .................................................................................................................... 17 2.1.5 M-payments Ecosystem ......................................................................................................... 18 2.1.6 M-payments Adoption ........................................................................................................... 22 2.1.7 Mobile Payments in Italy ....................................................................................................... 26 2.2 Startup Ecosystems .................................................................................................................. 27 2.2.1 Policy ..................................................................................................................................... 28 2.2.2 Finance ................................................................................................................................... 32 2.2.3 Culture.................................................................................................................................... 34 2.2.4 Supports ................................................................................................................................. 40 2.2.5 Human Capital ....................................................................................................................... 41 2.2.6 Markets .................................................................................................................................. 43 3 Methodology ........................................................................................................................ 45 4 International Startup Trends............................................................................................. 46 4.1 Startup Category Trend .......................................................................................................... 46 4.2 Target Trends ........................................................................................................................... 51 4.3 Mobile Payment Startups’ Geographic Distribution ............................................................ 55 4 4.3.1 Mobile Payments by Region .................................................................................................. 55 4.3.2 Country Analysis ................................................................................................................... 61 5 Discussion............................................................................................................................. 74 5.1 Future Trends ........................................................................................................................... 74 5.1.1 Mobile Wallets ....................................................................................................................... 74 5.1.2 Bitcoin .................................................................................................................................... 74 5.2 Limitations and Further Research ......................................................................................... 78 5.2.1 Limitations ............................................................................................................................. 78 5.2.2 Further Research .................................................................................................................... 78 6 Conclusion ........................................................................................................................... 79 7 Bibliography ........................................................................................................................ 80 5 List of Figures Figure 1 - Growth in mobile payments (Sherman, 2014) ............................................................. 12 Figure 2 - Mobile payments technologies and services (Mathew, et al. 2010) ............................ 13 Figure 3 - Mobile payment categories (Vizzarri & Vatalaro, 2014)............................................. 14 Figure 4- Third-party payment process (Lao & Liu, 2011) .......................................................... 16 Figure 5- Third-party support of micro- and macro-payments (Li & Luo, 2008) ........................ 17 Figure 6 - Startup Growth (Crunchbase, 2016) ............................................................................ 27 Figure 7 – Startup entry by year ................................................................................................... 46 Figure 8 - M-payments startup categories 2015 (Osservatorio, 2016) ......................................... 47 Figure 9 - M-payments startup categories 2016 ........................................................................... 48 Figure 10 – Total & Average Funding: 2015 vs 2016 (Osservatorio, 2016) ................................ 49 Figure 11 – Target composition of mobile payment startups ....................................................... 51 Figure 12 - Targets of categories .................................................................................................. 52 Figure 13 - Funding per target ...................................................................................................... 53 Figure 14 - Target composition of founding startups between 2011-2016 ................................... 54 Figure 15 – Mobile payments startups’ allocation ........................................................................ 55 Figure 16 - U.S VC and angel investment amounts (Crunchbase, 2016) ..................................... 56 Figure 17 - Mobile payments usage in 2014 (McDermott, 2015) ................................................ 57 Figure 18 - Startup funding per continent ..................................................................................... 58 Figure 19 - Continent total funding per category.......................................................................... 59 Figure 20 - Continent average funding per startup per category .................................................. 60 Figure 21 - Mobile Payments in North America .......................................................................... 62 Figure 22 - Number of mobile payment startups in European countries ...................................... 63 6 Figure 23 - Mobile Payments users (Visa, 2016) ......................................................................... 65 Figure 24 – Mobile Payments in Asia........................................................................................... 66 Figure 25 - Mobile Payments in South America .......................................................................... 70 Figure 26 - Mobile Payments in Africa ........................................................................................ 71 Figure 27 - Mobile Payments in Australia .................................................................................... 73 Figure 28 - Diffusion of Technologies (TSYS, 2016) .................................................................. 77 7 Executive Summary This paper aimed to study the international trends of mobile payments startups. Mobile payments is the payment of any good or service with a smartphone. Literature has been focused on technology, the ecosystem and consumer adoption and there is hardly any literature on the startups in the mobile payments industry that according to Schumpeter may be the cause of disruption of mobile payments industry. There are a lot of startups that incorporate mobile payments in different forms. The crunchbase database of startups was used as a base to start from. All startups that incorporate mobile payments were scouted and then went through a further selection to find the startups that focus on mobile payments. The database was then kept updated from the crunchbase database as well as other sources. Firstly, the startup ecosystem was identified to find all the factors that affect startups and entrepreneurial activity in general based on Isenberg’s model. Secondly, data was analyzed and represented in graphs and different conclusions were discovered. The analysis showed that even though mobile wallets is the heart of mobile payments startups it will reach a point of saturation and only a few will remain. Bitcoin and P2P are, however, the categories of mobile payments that are expected to be present more in the future. The study also determined that the investments started to cross the borders, specifically move from the U.S to markets that show potential in Asia. Finally, taking examples from Africa and Asia, governmental policies to encourage digital payments have the most significant effect on the mobile payments industry growth and use of the technology. 8 1 Introduction The technology that has recently been introduced to the most used technical device, mobile phones, has developed to provide mobile phones with functionalities that surpass its basic use of telephony. The functionalities have been introduced as an opportunity to use mobile phones as a medium to offer value added services to the users due to its massive diffusion. One of the most prominent opportunities for mobile devices is mobile commerce, since it can market, sell and deliver products and services to a wider range of customers than any other technical device (Dahlberg, Mallat, Ondrus, & Zmijewska, 2008). Mobile commerce incorporates the phenomenon of mobile payments or m-payments. Mobile payments is defined as any payment of goods or services by mobile terminals such as mobile POS, personal digital assistant, or a smartphone via a wireless network or other communication technologies (Tong, Zhou, & Liu, 2005). Mobile payments can be used to purchase tickets, parking fees, bills, digital content, such as music, games and e-books, and transportation. Using mobile payments for physical goods is also made possible through ticketing and vending machines. Instruments that allow for mobile payments to take place are defined to be mobile credit cards and mobile wallets (Dahlberg et al., 2008). The aim of this study is to predict the mobile payment technologies that will be available in the market within the next few years. Part of the study will also include testing the effects of startups on the mobile payments market and the innovation they offered in that industry. This will be achieved by studying the mobile payment startups that have emerged in more startup-friendly countries. The international trend in startups concerning m-payments will help clarify the position of the markets where the investments are being made and the magnitude of those investments. Analyzing the number of investments and their magnitude, along with startup analysis, will give a 9 very clear picture on what barriers and obstacles that the market is trying to overcome. Once the startup data is analyzed, a market condition comparisons will be conducted to assess the markets that will host certain technologies. 10
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