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The impact of stabilization and structural adjustment policies on the rural sector : case-studies of Côte dʼlvoire, Senegal, Liberia, Zambia and Morocco PDF

232 Pages·1991·12.9 MB·English
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The impact of stabilization and structural adjustment policies on the rural sector Case-studiesofCdte d'lvoire, Senegal Liberia, Zambia and IMorocco The impact of stabilization FAO ECONOMIC and structural AND SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT adjustment policies PAPER on the rural sector 90 Case-studies of Cote d'lvoire, Senegal, Liberia, Zambia and Morocco by Emil-Maria Claassen and Pascal Salin Report prepared for the Joint ECA/FAO Agriculture Division FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION TH±8 On OF THE ( UNITED NATIONS Rome, 1991 BUY1-SBQ-DR3Y ThedesignationsempioyadandIhepresentationofmalarialinIhis putilicationdonotimplyttieexpressionofanyopinionwhatsoeveron the partoftho Food and Agriculture Organization ofthe United Nationsconcerningthelegalstatusofanycountry,territory,cityor areaorofitsauthorities,orconcerningthedelimitationofitsfrontiers ISBN9^5-10e894-X Ailrightsresen/ed. Nopartotthispublicationmay bereproduced,storedina retrievalsystem,ortransmitledinanyformorbyanymeans,elactronic.mechani- cal,photocopyingorothen^nse,withoutthepriorpermissionofthecopyrightowner. Applicationsforsuchpermission,withastatementofthepurposeandextentofthe reproduction,shouldbeaddressedtotheDirector,PublicationsDivision,Foodand AgricultureOrganizationoftheUnitedNations.ViadeleTermedlCaracalia.00100 Romejtaly. © FAO 1991 Copyrightedmaterial Foreword TheissueofstabOizadon,stractumladjusimeiitoreocm- omicadjustmentis profoundlyoontioversial.Thede- bateemploysdifferingdef—initionsoftheissueandslides acrosslevelsofanalysis fiomthehousehold,todie national,totheinternationaleconomy.Italsocutsacross viewpoints,regionsandtimeperiods. There is a large policy overlap between structural adjustment and the rural sector. Changes in output prices.wagerates,subsidiesortaxes, andtariffsorin- stitutionalarrangements willall affecttheproduction, mailceting and consumptionofagricultural products, especiallyfood,andconsequendythelivingconditions oftheniralpopulation. Ingeneral,dieimpactofstructuraladjustmentondie niralsectorwin be mediated throughthe impacton growdiandincomedistribution,thelevelandstability offoodproduction,foodexportsandimpoits,andpro- ducerandconsumerprices.Atypicalstnicniraladjust- mentpackagemightcontainsomeorallofthefollowing measuresdirectlyaffectingvarioussectorsofthenual economy: Production. A shift in relative pricing in favour of exportcrops; highercharges forinputs and scr\'ice to balancethebudget;anincreaseininterestratesforcredit toregulatethemoneysupply. Marketing.Areductionintheroleofthepublicsector; smallbufferstocks;aliberalizationofimpoitsandex- portstoevenoutthebalanceofpaymentsandbriqgthe exchangeraleintoline withmarketrequirements. Consumption. Areduction in general consumersub- sidiesthroughanincreaseinfoodprices;betterdefined taigeting offood andnutrition interventions; cuts in healthandeducationexpendituiesto(obtainlealisdc) moderatecostsandbalancethebudget. Anappropriateadjustmentforthesocialandstructural transformation of African economies is essential and shouldbenefittheruralsector.However,aninappropri- ate adjustmentprogramme, withouttransformationof socio-economicandstructuralchangeswillnegatively affecttheruralsector,principaUybecausethislastisthe slowestto adapt The subsectors affectedusually in- cluderuralinfrastructures,(includinghealthandeduca- tion), research and otherproductioninterventionsand inputs. Thepresentstudyhasdemonstratedthatthenettcost ofinactionintheaboveareasmayexceedthenettcost ofaction.Thestudyfocusesontheimpactofstabiliza- tionand/oradjustmentpoliciesontheruralsectorin termsnotonlyof"whether^*butalsoof''what**and**how much"and"where**and**how".lbanswertheseques- tions,one needstotouchonalargenumberofbroader economicdevelopmentdebatessuchastechnicalrange, rural iransfomiation,basicinfrastructureandiniersec- toralrelations. Attheriskofbeingconsideredtheoreticalandreduc- tionist,thestudyhaschosentoabstractfromthewider debates and focus on the particular, ofrelevance to '^structuraladjustmentandtheruralsector".Thisseems tobeamoresystematicapproachthanthatoftr>'ingto juxtaposecompeting theories which oftenaddressdif- ferentissuesatdifferentlevelsolanalysis. lbcomprehendquitehowtheeffectsofstabilization CopyrighicKjmalenal and/orstnicturaladjustmentcameabout,anappropriate framework(ilicorcLicalandpractical)isneededforana- lysisatcountrylevel.Suchaframeworkmaybeutilized invariousways, dependingonthe specificitiesofthe individualcountiy.Consequently,attheendofthestudy, theautlioisturnexplicitlytothequestionof**addii|gup'* andtoanoverallframeworkforunderstandingtheim- paaofstructuraladjustmentontiieruralsectorinAfii- ca.lliustMsstudy anditsapplicationtofiveAfHcan countriesopensthedoorandcontributestolesseningthe gap. Inthefuture,anewgenerationofstabilizationand/or structuraladjustmentmeasures,withtransformatioii.is likelytoproduceasignificant,higlilyweteomeevol- utionintherdationsbetweenruralanduit>andtizens. MoreworkisneededontheimpUcationoftliesechanges forindividualcountries. S.C.Nana-Sinkam Director JointECA/FAO AgricultureDivision Copyrighted Contents Foreword iii Tables 2d Figures xvii Abbreviations xxi INTRODUCTION 1 PART 1 BACKGROUND 1.Sub-Saharanagricultural development 11 Africa.Asia.LatinAmerica U Shiiisofresourcesfromiheagriculturalsector 12 Twoparadigms 15 The.WorldRankanditscritics 12 Structuralandmacro-economicadjustment 20 ForeignaidandtheSahelproblem 22 Concludingremarks 26 References 29 2.AtheofetlcafIratwework 31 Introduction 21 Macro-economicpolicies 32 Theimpactofmacro-economicand adjustmentpoliciesonagriculture 42 Theimpactofsector-specificpolicieson agriculture 54 Pricepolicies 55 Otherpolicies 61 viii Overallviewonstabilizationprogrammes 62 References 67 PART2 CASE-STUDIES 3.Cote divoire: transfers from agriculture andthebusinesscycle 71 AgricultureinC6ted'lvoire 71 Transfersfromagricultureandpricepolicy 74 Priceincentives 81 Thebusinesscycle 84 Foranewconditionality 92 References 9() 4.Theomnipresenceof state intervention in Senegal'sgroundnuteconomy 97 Maineconomicandajzricultijralindicators 97 Foodcrops 100 Cashcrops(groundnuts) 105 Senegal'sagrariansocialismorthe nationalizationofSenegal'sgroundnut marketing 111 Theparastatalapproach,industrialprocessing, thesyndromeofcollective-debtdefault, andparallelmarkets 114 IMFandWoridBank actionsinthe 1980s 177. Reformmeasuresfortheruralsector 124 Senegal'soptionsoffutureagricultural development 127 References 130 5.Liberia'sdual agricultural economy and the urgent needforcurrency reform 133 Maineconomicandagricultural iiulicaiors 133 Copyri '' ix Anagriculturalenclaveeconomy 136 Self-sufficiencyinriceasanimport substitutionpolicy 138 Doc-lari/.ation 141 Theurgentneedforcurrencyrefonn 145 References 142 6.Zambia: the destructive effects of Its exchangerate policy 149 Generaleconomicconditionsandeconomic policiesinZambia 149 Maincharacteristicsofagriculturalactivities 154 Maizeandthemarketingsystem 156 Theroleofincentives 162 Thebusinesscycle 169 Anoverviewofagriculturalproduction andproblems 170 Stabilizationprogrammesandagriculture 171 References 173 7.Thefailureof Morocco'sdevelopment strategyforIrrigationagriculture 175 Maineconomicandagriculturalindicators 175 WetversusdryagricultureduringtheFrench protectorate 177 Envelopmentstrategyforirrigation agriculturesince 1960 179 Morocco'spolicyofexportpromotion andimportsubstitutionforirrigatedcrops 184 Morocco'spolicydilemmaofmacro-economic stabilizationandagriculturaladjustment programmes 191 References 1^ X 201 Problem-specificrecommendaiions 202 Country-specificrecommendations 205 References 210 AppendixA Substitutesforexchangerateadjusunenis 211 Appendix B Riceself-sufficiencyinWestAfrica 215 Cr

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