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The Impact of Microfinance on Poverty Alleviation PDF

145 Pages·2017·1.83 MB·English
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The Impact of Microfinance on Poverty Alleviation: A Case Study of Borrowers in Ramallah :رقفلا نم فيفختلا ىلع رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلا رثأ الله مار يف نيضرتقملا لوح ةيسارد ةلاح Prepared by: Razan Issed Supervised by: Dr. Riyad Musa February 2017 The Impact of Microfinance on Poverty Alleviation: A Case Study of Borrowers in Ramallah :رقفلا نم فيفختلا ىلع رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلا رثأ الله مار يف نيضرتقملا لوح ةيسارد ةلاح Prepared by: Razan Issed Thesis Committee Members: Dr. Riyad Musa (Supervisor)………………………………………. Dr. Bayan M. Arqawi (Internal Examiner)………...………..……... Dr. Tareq Sadeq (Internal Examiner) ……………………………… This thesis was submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Master’s Degree in Economics from the Faculty of Graduate Studies at Birzeit University, Palestine February 2017 ii Acknowledgments The completion of this research would not have been possible without the generous support of many kind individuals, to some of whom it is possible to give particular mentioning here. Foremost, I would like to express my sincere gratitude to my supervisor, Dr. Riyad Musa, for his support and patience at all times. His continuous guidance and persistent help have been invaluable. I would also like to express my sincere appreciation to Dr. Bayan M. Arqawi for her strong support, critical review and insightful comments. Her detailed feedback was crucial for enriching the quality of the carried out analysis. I would also like to extend my thanks and recognition to Dr. Tareq Sadeq for his intuitive comments and suggestions for enhancing this research. Finally, special thanks go to Sharakeh’s Coordinator and to ACAD, Asala and Faten’s staff and borrowers for their unconditional support. This work would have not seen light without their cooperation. Last but not least, I would like to express my deepest gratitude to my family for their endless support, encouragement and patience. iii Abstract This study challenges the Neoliberal perspective relating to the positive impact of microfinance on poverty alleviation. In particular, this study examines whether microfinance improves household welfare and develops businesses, as perceived by borrowers from ACAD, Asala and Faten’s branches in Ramallah, Palestine. Eight indicators are used to capture the impact of microfinance on household welfare including income, consumption expenditure, nutrition, education, health care, non-land asset holdings, housing conditions and social empowerment. In addition, three business indicators are used to examine the impact of microfinance on business development. These include business sales, profits and capital. This study also employs four microfinance variables to estimate their impact on household welfare. These include the cumulative value of microfinance loans, length of participation in microfinance programs, total number of microfinance loans and average annual interest rate. The logistic regression results show that longer involvement in microfinance programs increases the odds of perceiving improvements in income, consumption expenditure and social empowerment. Besides, increasing the total number of microfinance loans increases the odds of better-perceived access to health care. However, higher cumulative value of microfinance loans decreases the odds of better-perceived income, consumption expenditure, education and health care, and higher interest rates decrease the odds of better-perceived income, consumption expenditure, nutrition, education, housing conditions and social empowerment. Models focusing on business development indicators employ three microfinance variables, namely; cumulative value of microfinance loans, length of involvement in microfinance programs and average annual interest rate. The study finds that longer involvement in microfinance increases the odds of reporting improvements in business sales, profits and capital. However, higher interest rates decrease the odds of increased profits while the cumulative value of loans does not impact business development indicators. iv يذيفنت صخلم موقت ،ديدحتلابو .رقفلا نم فيفختلا يف رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلل يباجيلإا رثلأا لوح يلاربيلوينلا روظنملا ةساردلا هذه ىدحتت رظن ةهجو بسحب كلذو ،لامعلأا ريوطتو ةرسلأا ةياعر نم نسحي رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلا ناك اذإ اميف صحفب ةساردلا هذه .نيطسلف - الله مار يف نتافو ةلاصأو داكأ عورف نم نيضرتقم ،ةيكلاهتسلإا تاقفنلاو ،لخدلا :يهو ،تارشؤم ةينامث ةساردلا مدختست ،ةرسلأا ةياعر ىلع رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلا رثأ ةساردل ىلإ ةفاضلإاب .يعامتجلإا نيكمتلاو نكسلا فورظو ،يضارلأا ريغ نم لوصلأا ةيكلمو ،ةيحصلا ةياعرلاو ،ميلعتلاو ،ةيذغتلاو ،ةيراجتلا لامعلأا روطت ىلع رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلا رثأ ةسرادل يراجتلا لمعلل تارشؤم ةثلاث ىلع ةساردلا دمتعت ،كلذ .يراجتلا لاملا سأرو حابرلأاو تاعيبملا تارشؤملا هذه لمشتو :يهو ،ةرسلأا ةياعرب ةصاخلا يتسجوللا رادحنلإا جذامن يف رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلل تاريغتم ةعبرأ ةساردلا مدختست امك يلامجلإا ددعلاو ،رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلا جمارب يف طارخنلإا ةدمو ،رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلا ضورقل ةيلامجلإا ةميقلا يف طارخنلإا ةدم ةدايز نأ يتسيجوللا رادحنلإا جئاتن رهظتو .يونسلا ةدئافلا رعس طسوتمو ،رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلا ضورقل نيكمتلاو ،يكلاهتسلإا قافنلإاو ،لخدلا ىوتسم نسحتب نيضرتقملا ساسحإ تلاامتحإ نم ديزت رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلا جمارب ىوتسم نسحتب ساسحلإا تلاامتحإ ةدايز ىلإ رغصلا ةيهانتملا ضورقلا ددع يف ةدايزلا يدؤت ،كلذ ىلإ ةفاضلإاب .يعامتجلاا نم دحلا ىلإ رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلا ضورقل ةيلامجلإا ةميقلا يف ةدايزلا يدؤت ،لباقملا يف .ةيحصلا ةياعرلا ىلع لوصحلا عافترإ يدؤي امك .ةيحصلا ةياعرلا ىلع لوصحلاو ،ميلعتلاو ،كلاهتسلإا تاقفنو ،لخدلا ىوتسم نسحتب ساسحلإا تلاامتحإ نكسلا فورظو ،ميلعتلاو ،ةيذغتلاو ،كلاهتسلإا تاقفنو ،لخدلا ىوتسم نسحتب ساسحلإا تلاامتحإ نم ليلقتلا ىلإ ةدئافلا راعسأ .يعامتجلاا نيكمتلاو ةميقلا :يهو رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلل تاريغتم ةثلاث ةيراجتلا لامعلأا روطت تارشؤم ةساردب ةصاخلا جذامنلا فظوت .يونسلا ةدئافلا رعس طسوتمو ،رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلا جمارب يف طارخنلإا ةدمو ،رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلا ضورقل ةيلامجلإا تاعيبم ىوتسم نسحت تلاامتحإ نم ديزت رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلا جمارب يف طارخنلإا ةدم ةدايز نأ ىلإ ةساردلا صلختو ريشت امنيب ،حابرلأا ةدايز تلاامتحإ نم ليلقتلا ىلإ ةدئافلا راعسأ عافترإ يدؤي ،لباقملا يف .ةيراجتلا لامعلأا لامسأرو حابرأو .ةيراجتلا لامعلأا روطت تارشؤم ىلع رغصلا يهانتملا ليومتلا ضورق ةميقل ريثأت يأ دجوي لا هنأب جئاتنلا v Abbreviations ACAD Arab Center for Agriculture Development EPCGF European Palestinian Credit Guarantee Fund GDP Gross Domestic Product JOD Jordanian Dinars LGF Loan Guarantee Facility LOG Logarithm MDG Millennium Development Goal MFI Microfinance Institution NGO Non-Governmental Organization NIS New Israeli Shekels OR Odds Ratio PCBS Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics PDF Palestinian Development Fund PECDAR Palestinian Economic Council for Development and Reconstruction PIF Palestine Investment Fund PMA Palestine Monetary Authority PNA Palestinian National Authority SE Standard Error SMEs Small and Medium Enterprises UNDP United Nations Development Program UNRWA United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees USD United States Dollars VIF Variable Inflation Factor vi Table of Contents Chapter 1 : Introduction .................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Problem Background ............................................................................................................. 1 1.2 Research Questions ............................................................................................................... 3 1.3 Objectives of the Research .................................................................................................... 3 1.4 Significance of the Study ...................................................................................................... 3 1.5 Limitations of the Research................................................................................................... 5 1.6 Research Outline ................................................................................................................... 5 Chapter 2 : Microfinance in the West Bank.................................................................................... 6 2.1 Brief Overview of the Palestinian Economy ......................................................................... 6 2.2 Review of the Financial Sector in Palestine .......................................................................... 8 2.2.1 The Banking Subsector in the West Bank ...................................................................... 9 2.2.2 Microfinance in the West Bank .................................................................................... 11 2.2.3 Microfinance in Ramallah ............................................................................................ 21 Chapter 3 : Literature Review ....................................................................................................... 22 3.1 Financial Resources for the Poor ........................................................................................ 22 3.2 Microfinance Products and Services ................................................................................... 24 3.3 Analysis of the Impact of Microfinance .............................................................................. 26 3.3.1 Impact Assessments of Microfinance Across the World.............................................. 27 3.3.2 Critiques on Microfinance ............................................................................................ 31 3.3.3 Impact Assessments of Microfinance in Palestine ....................................................... 33 3.4 Conceptualizing Poverty ..................................................................................................... 37 3.4.1 Economic Well-Being .................................................................................................. 38 3.4.2 Capability Poverty ........................................................................................................ 39 3.4.3 Social Exclusion ........................................................................................................... 40 3.5 Economic Theories of Poverty ............................................................................................ 42 3.5.1 The Classical School .................................................................................................... 42 3.5.2 The Neoclassical School ............................................................................................... 43 3.5.3 The Keynesian School .................................................................................................. 44 3.5.4 The Neoliberal School .................................................................................................. 45 vii 3.5.5 The Marxist School ...................................................................................................... 45 3.6 Theoretical Framework ....................................................................................................... 46 Chapter 4 : Research Design and Methodology ........................................................................... 49 4.1 Research Area ..................................................................................................................... 49 4.2 Research Methodology ........................................................................................................ 50 4.3 Research Model ................................................................................................................... 52 4.3.1 Logistic Models for Household Welfare Indicators ..................................................... 53 4.3.2 Logistic Regression Models for Business Development Indicators ............................. 53 4.3.3 Diagnostics for Logistic Regression Models ................................................................ 58 Chapter 5 : Empirical Analysis ..................................................................................................... 61 5.1 Frequencies and Descriptive Statistics ................................................................................ 61 5.1.1 Socio Demographic Characteristics .............................................................................. 61 5.1.2 Characteristics of Business Activities .......................................................................... 63 5.1.3 Loan Features ............................................................................................................... 65 5.2 Regression Results .............................................................................................................. 68 5.2.1 Impact of Microfinance on Perceived Household Welfare .......................................... 68 5.2.2 Impact of Microfinance on Business Development ..................................................... 83 Chapter 6 : Discussion .................................................................................................................. 88 6.1 Client Targeting................................................................................................................... 88 6.2 Impact of Microfinance on Household Welfare .................................................................. 90 6.3 Impact of Microfinance on Business Development ............................................................ 95 Chapter 7 : Conclusion.................................................................................................................. 98 References ................................................................................................................................... 100 Appendix A : Questionnaire ....................................................................................................... 107 Appendix B : Regression Diagnostics ........................................................................................ 119 B.1 Regression Results Before Omitting Outliers and Influential Observations .................... 119 B.2 Outlier and Influence Diagnostic Plots ............................................................................. 119 B.3 Multicollinearity Diagnostics ........................................................................................... 119 viii List of Tables Table 2.1: Value of Disbursed Loans in Palestine Over 2010 - 2015 ........................................... 10 Table 2.2: Legal Form of Micro-Lending Organizations in Palestine as of August 2016 ............ 13 Table 2.3: Microfinance Outreach Indicators for Sharakeh MFIs as of June 2016 ...................... 14 Table 2.4: Summary of Faten’s Financial Products ...................................................................... 20 Table 4.1:Description of Variables in Household Welfare Logistic Models ................................ 54 Table 4.2: Variables Used in Business Development Logistic Models ........................................ 57 Table 5.1: Cross-Tabulation of Age Category and Gender .......................................................... 62 Table 5.2: Cross-Tabulation of Educational Attainment and Gender........................................... 62 Table 5.3: Logistic Regression Results - Household Welfare ...................................................... 69 Table 5.4: Logistic Regression Results – Business Development ................................................ 70 Table B.1: Logistic Regression Results Including Outliers and Influential Observations - Household Welfare .............................................................................................................. 121 Table B.2: Logistic Regression Results Including Outliers and Influential Observations – Business Development ........................................................................................................ 122 Table B.3: Results of Multicollinearity Diagnostic Testfor Household Welfare Models .......... 134 Table B.4:Results of Multicollinearity Diagnostic Testfor Model on Education ....................... 134 Table B.5: Results of Multicollinearity Diagnostic Test for Model on Health .......................... 134 Table B.6: Results of Multicollinearity Diagnostic Tests for Business Development Models .. 135 ix List of Figures Figure 2.1: GDP in Palestine, 2010 – 2015 at Constant Prices (Base Year 2004) ......................... 7 Figure 2.2: Distribution of Sharakeh MFIs’ Loans by Economic Activity .................................. 15 Figure 2.3: Asala’a Distribution of Loan Portfolio by Economic Sector ..................................... 18 Figure 2.4: Faten's Portfolio, 2013 - 2015 .................................................................................... 19 Figure 5.1: Respondents’ Educational Attainment ....................................................................... 63 Figure 5.2: Distribution of Businesses by Sector.......................................................................... 64 Figure 5.3: Additional Business-Financing Resources ................................................................. 65 Figure 5.4: First-Ranked Reason for Borrowing .......................................................................... 67 Figure B. 1: Outlier and Influence Diagnostic Plots – Income ................................................... 123 Figure B. 2: Outlier and Influence Diagnostic Plots –Consumption Expenditure ...................... 124 Figure B. 3: Outlier and Influence Diagnostic Plots - Nutrition ................................................. 125 Figure B. 4: Outlier and Influence Diagnostic Plots - Education ............................................... 126 Figure B. 5: Outlier and Influence Diagnostic Plots –Health Care............................................. 127 Figure B. 6:Outlier and Influence Diagnostic Plots - Non-Land Assets..................................... 128 Figure B. 7: Outlier and Influence Diagnostic Plots - Housing Conditions ............................... 129 Figure B. 8: Outlier and Influence Diagnostic Plots - Social Empowerment ............................. 130 Figure B. 9: Outlier and Influential Diagnostic Plots - Sales ..................................................... 131 Figure B. 11: Outlier and Influential Diagnostic Plots - Profits ................................................. 132 Figure B. 12: Outlier and Influence Diagnostic Plots - Capital .................................................. 133 x

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income, consumption expenditure, nutrition, education, health care, non-land (consumption of meat, poultry, vegetables, fruits and milk) . باج. ة. ،لا. ف. اذامل ؟ .قبطني ام عيمج لوح ةرئاد عضو ىجري. •. ةمزلالا قارولأاو تابلطتملا ةر
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Most books are stored in the elastic cloud where traffic is expensive. For this reason, we have a limit on daily download.