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THE GLOBAL ENERGY TRANSITION Global energy is on the cusp of change, and it has become almost a truism that energy is in transition. But what does this notion mean exactly? This book explores the working hypothesis that, characteristically, the energy system requires a strat- egy of the international community of states to deliver sustainable energy to which all have access. This strategy is for establishing rules-based governance of the global energy value-cycle. The book has four substantive parts that bring together contributions of lead- ings experts from academia and practice on the law, policy, and economics of energy. Part I, ‘The prospects of energy transition’, critically discusses the leading forecasts for energy and the strategies that resource-rich countries may adopt. Part II, ‘Rules-based multilateral governance of the energy sector’, details the development and sources of rules on energy. Part III, ‘Competition and regulation in transboundary energy markets’, discusses principal instruments of rules-based governance of energy. Part IV, ‘Attracting investments and the challenges of multi- level governance’, focuses on the critical governance of the right investments. This book is a flagship publication of the Centre for Energy, Petroleum and Mineral Law and Policy at the University of Dundee. It launches the Hart series ‘Global Energy Law and Policy’ and is edited by the series general editors Professors Peter D Cameron and Volker Roeben, and also Dr Xiaoyi Mu. Global Energy Law and Policy: Volume 2 Global Energy Law and Policy Series Editors Peter D Cameron Pieter Bekker Volker Roeben Leonie Reins Crina Baltag Energy policy and energy law are undergoing rapid global transformation, characterised by the push in favour of decarbonisation. The 2015 Sustainable Development Goals and the 2015 Paris Agreement on international climate action have forged a consensus for a pathway to a universal just transition towards a low- carbon economy for all states and all societies. This series publishes conceptual work that help academics, legal practition- ers and decision-makers to make sense of these transformational changes. The perspective of the series is global. It welcomes contributions on international law, regional law (for example, from the EU, US and ASEAN regions), and the domestic law of all states with emphasis on comparative works that identify hori- zontal trends, and including transnational law. The series’ scope is comprehensive, embracing both public and commercial law on energy in all forms and sources and throughout the energy life-cycle from extraction, production, operation, consumption and waste management/decommissioning. The series is a forum for innovative interdisciplinary work that uses the insights of cognate disciplines to achieve a better understanding of energy law and policy in the 21st century. Recent titles in this series: Decarbonisation and the Energy Industry edited by Tade Oyewumni, Penelope Crossley, Frédéric Gilles Sourgens and Kim Talus The Law and Governance of Mining and Minerals: A Global Perspective by Ana Elizabeth Bastida The Global Energy Transition Law, Policy and Economics for Energy in the 21st Century Edited by Peter D Cameron Xiaoyi Mu and Volker Roeben HART PUBLISHING Bloomsbury Publishing Plc Kemp House, Chawley Park, Cumnor Hill, Oxford, OX2 9PH, UK 1385 Broadway, New York, NY 10018, USA 29 Earlsfort Terrace, Dublin 2, Ireland HART PUBLISHING, the Hart/Stag logo, BLOOMSBURY and the Diana logo are trademarks of Bloomsbury Publishing Plc First published in Great Britain 2020 Copyright © The editors and contributors severally 2020 The editors and contributors have asserted their right under the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988 to be identified as Authors of this work. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or any information storage or retrieval system, without prior permission in writing from the publishers. While every care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of this work, no responsibility for loss or damage occasioned to any person acting or refraining from action as a result of any statement in it can be accepted by the authors, editors or publishers. All UK Government legislation and other public sector information used in the work is Crown Copyright ©. All House of Lords and House of Commons information used in the work is Parliamentary Copyright ©. This information is reused under the terms of the Open Government Licence v3.0 (http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/ open-government-licence/version/3) except where otherwise stated. All Eur-lex material used in the work is © European Union, http://eur-lex.europa.eu/, 1998–2020. A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication data Names: Cameron, Peter D., editor. | Mu, Xiaoyi, editor. | Roeben, Volker, editor. Title: The global energy transition : law, policy, and economics for energy in the 21st century / edited by Peter D Cameron, Xiaoyi Mu, and Volker Roeben. Description: Oxford, UK ; New York, NY Hart Publishing, an imprint of Bloomsbury Publishing, 2020. | Series: Global energy law and policy ; volume 2 | Includes bibliographical references and index. Identifiers: LCCN 2020032515 (print) | LCCN 2020032516 (ebook) | ISBN 9781509932481 (hardback) | ISBN 9781509932498 (ePDF) | ISBN 9781509932504 (Epub) Subjects: LCSH: Energy industries—Law and legislation. | Energy development—Law and legislation. | Power resources—Law and legislation. | Renewable energy sources—Law and legislation. | Energy policy—Economic aspects. | Energy industries—Law and legislation— European Union countries. Classification: LCC K3981 .G56 2020 (print) | LCC K3981 (ebook) | DDC 333.79094—dc23 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020032515 LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020032516 ISBN: HB: 978-1-50993-248-1 ePDF: 978-1-50993-249-8 ePub: 978-1-50993-250-4 Typeset by Compuscript Ltd, Shannon To find out more about our authors and books visit www.hartpublishing.co.uk. Here you will find extracts, author information, details of forthcoming events and the option to sign up for our newsletters. CONTENTS List of Contributors ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������vii Table of Cases ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ix Introduction ......................................................................................................................1 Peter D Cameron, Xiaoyi Mu and Volker Roeben PART I PROSPECTS FOR AN ENERGY TRANSITION 1. Comparison of Outlooks and Implications for an Energy Transition ���������������11 Xiaoyi Mu and Dilip K Jena 2. Oil-rich Countries’ Responses to Energy Transition: Managing the Decline �����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������25 David Manley, Patrick Heller and James Cust PART II RULES-BASED MULTILATERAL GOVERNANCE OF THE ENERGY SECTOR 3. A Treatise for Energy Law ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������51 Raphael J Heffron, Anita Rønne, Joseph P Tomain, Adrian Bradbrook and Kim Talus 4. What do we Mean when we Talk about International Energy Law? ����������������73 Volker Roeben and Gökçe Mete 5. The Legal Effect of the Paris Rulebook under the Doctrine of Treaty Interpretation ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������101 Petra Minnerop 6. How will Energy Market Regulation have to Change in the Era of Energy 4�0? ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������135 Penelope Crossley vi Contents PART III COMPETITION AND REGULATION IN TRANSBOUNDARY ENERGY MARKETS 7. Between Transnational Private Law and Public International Law: Engineer-driven Self-governance in Transboundary Energy Megaprojects ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������155 Christoph G Benedict 8. Managing the Threat of Regulatory Capture under the European Energy Union ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������171 Rafael Emmanuel Macatangay and Volker Roeben 9. Power Over Power: The Global Energy Interconnection and Potential Cyber-threats ������������������������������������������������������������������������������197 Jakob Haerting PART IV ATTRACTING INVESTMENTS AND THE CHALLENGES OF MULTI-LEVEL GOVERNANCE 10. Implementing the Energy Transition in the Face of Investment Protection Standards �����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������217 Martin Jarrett 11. The EU FDI Screening Regulation as an Example of the Proliferation of FDI Screening Processes Affecting the Energy Sector �����������������������������������241 Leonie Reins and Dylan Geraets 12. International Arbitration in the Renewable Field: Recent Developments in Spain �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������257 Iñigo del Guayo 13. How should Shale Gas Extraction be Taxed? ��������������������������������������������������273 Philip Daniel, Alan Krupnick, Thornton Matheson, Peter Mullins, Ian Parry and Artur Swistak 14. Trinidad and Tobago’s Oil and Gas Sector in a Changing World (2010–2019) �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������311 Kevin Ramnarine The Concept of Global Energy Transition and its Agenda .......................................327 Peter D Cameron, Xiaoyi Mu and Volker Roeben Index ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������337 LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS Christoph G Benedict, Legal Director, Pinsent Masons LLP; formerly General Counsel for General Electric Power AG, Germany; Honorary Professor, Swansea University; Lecturer, International Economic Law, Heidelberg University Adrian Bradbrook, Emeritus Professor of Law, Law School, University of Adelaide Peter D Cameron, Professor of International Energy Law, Director of the Centre for Energy, Petroleum and Mineral Law and Policy, University of Dundee Penelope Crossley, Senior Lecturer, The University of Sydney Law School James Cust, Economist, World Bank, and Non-Resident Expert, Payne Institute for Public Policy, Colorado School of Mines Dylan Geraets, Docent, UEF Law School, University of Eastern Finland; Senior Affiliated Researcher, Leuven Centre for Global Governance Studies and Institute for International Law, KU Leuven; Associate, Mayer Brown Europe-Brussels LLP. Iñigo del Guayo Castiella, Professor in Administrative Law, University of Almería Jakob Haerting, PhD Candidate, University of Turku Raphael J Heffron, Jean Monnet Professor in Energy and Sustainability, Centre for Energy, Petroleum and Mineral Law and Policy, University of Dundee Patrick Heller, Advisor, Natural Resource Governance Institute; Senior Visiting Fellow at the Center for Law, Energy & Environment at the University of California, Berkeley Martin Jarrett, Senior Research Fellow, Max Planck Institute for Comparative Public Law and International Law, Heidelberg Dilip K Jena, PhD candidate, Centre for Energy, Petroleum and Mineral Law and Policy, University of Dundee Rafael Emmanuel Macatangay, Lecturer in Energy Economics, Centre for Energy, Petroleum and Mineral Law and Policy, University of Dundee David Manley, Senior Economic Analyst, Natural Resource Governance Institute Gökçe Mete, Research Fellow, Stockhold Environment Institute; formerly Knowledge Centre Principal Coordinator, The Energy Charter Secretariat viii List of Contributors Petra Minnerop, Associate Professor of International Law, Durham Law School, University of Durham; Visiting Professor, China University of Political Science and Law, Beijing Xiaoyi Mu, Reader in Energy Economics, Centre for Energy, Petroleum and Mineral Law and Policy, University of Dundee Kevin Ramnarine, Independent energy consultant and former Minister of Energy, Trinidad and Tobago Leonie Reins, Assistant Professor, The Tilburg Institute for Law, Technology and Society, Tilburg University Volker Roeben, Professor of Energy Law and Global Regulation, Centre for Energy, Petroleum and Mineral Law and Policy, University of Dundee; Visiting Professor, China University of Political Science and Law, Beijing; Adjunct Professor, University of Turku Anita Rønne (deceased), Associate Professor in Energy Law, Centre for Regulation and Administration, Faculty of Law, University of Copenhagen Kim Talus, James McCulloch Chair in Energy Law, Tulane Law School; founding Director of Tulane Center for Energy Law; Professor of European Economic and Energy Law, UEF Law School, University of Eastern Finland; Professor of Energy Law, University of Helsinki Joseph P Tomain, Wilbert and Helen Ziegler Professor of Law, College of Law, University of Cincinnati TABLE OF CASES 9Ren Holding SARL v Kingdom of Spain ICSID Case No ARB/15/15 Award (31 May 2019) ..................................................................219, 224, 226, 267 Antin Infrastructure Services Luxembourg S�à�r�l� and Antin Energia Termosolar BV v Kingdom of Spain, ICSID Case No ARB/13/31, Award (15 June 2018) ............................................................................224, 266–67 BayWare Renewable Energy GmbH and BayWare Asset Holding GmbH v Kingdom of Spain, ICSID Case No ARB/15/16 (2 December 2019) ........218, 267 Blusun SA, Jean-Pierre Lecorcier and Michael Stein v Italy, ICSID Case No ARB/14/3 ..................................................................................................94 Burlington Resources Inc v Republic of Ecuador, ICSID Case No ARB/08/5, Decision on Liability (14 December 2012) [506] .....................................233, 236 Case 72/83 Campus Oil v Minister for Industry [1984] ECR 2727 ..........................67 CEF Energia BV v The Italian Republic, SCC Arbitration V (2015/158), Award (16 January 2019) [234] ...........................................................................219 Charanne and Construction Investments v Spain, SCC Case No V 062/2012, Final Award (21 January 2016) .............................224, 226–27, 266 Clydebank Engineering and Shipbuilding Co Ltd v Don Jose Ramos Yzquierdo y Castaneda [1905] AC 6, 7 ..............................................................166 Commonwealth v Registrar of Titles for Victoria (1918) 24 CLR 348, 354 ..............54 Construction Investments SARL v Spain, SCC Arbitration No 062/2012 ................94 Cube Infrastructure Fund SICAV and others v Kingdom of Spain, ICSID Case No ARB/15/20 (15 July 2019) ...............................................219, 267 Eiser Infrastructure Limited and Energia Solar Luxembourg Sarl v Spain, ICSID Case No ARB/13/36 ...........................................................94, 224, 228, 266 Foresight Luxembourg Solar 1 SÁR1 et al v Kingdom of Spain, SCC Case No 2015/150, Final Award (14 November 2018) ...........224, 226, 267 Gabčíkovo-Nagymaros Project (Hungary/Slovakia) [1997] ICJ Rep 7, 77–78 [140] ............................................................................................................131 Gisela Wirtgen, JSW Solar (zwei) GmbH & Co KG v The Czech Republic (‘Wirtgen’) PCA Case No 2014-03 .........................................................................94 Greentech Energy Systems A/S, et al v Italian Republic, SCC Case No V 2015/095, Final Award (23 December 2018) (majority decision) ...........219, 224 Hulley Enterprises Limited (Cyprus) v The Russian Federation PCA Case No AA 226 .............................................................................................84

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