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The Concepts and Practice of Mathematical Finance, Second Edition (Mathematics, Finance and Risk) PDF

557 Pages·2008·6.58 MB·English
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THE CONCEPTS AND PRACTICE OF MATHEMATICAL FINANCE Second Edition Mathematics, Finance and Risk Editorial Board Mark Broadie, Graduate School of Business, Columbia University Sam Howison, Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford Neil Johnson, Centre for Computational Finance, University of Oxford George Papanicolaou, Department of Mathematics, Stanford University Modern finance in theory and practice relies absolutely on mathematical models and analysis. It draws on and extends classical applied mathematics, stochastic and probabilistic methods, and numerical techniques to enable models of financial systems to be constructed, analysed and interpreted. This methodology underpins applications to derivatives pricing for equities and fixed income products, asset- liability modelling, volatility, risk management, credit risk, insurance analysis and many more. This new series will consist of books that explain the processes and techniques of the new applied mathematics, and how to use them to model finan- cial systems and to understand the underlying phenomena and forces that drive financial markets. The audience for mathematical finance ranges from mathematics and probability through econophysics to financial economics, and the series will reflect this breadth of appeal, while maintaining a firm footing in the tradition of applied mathematics. Books will be pedagogical in style, enabling them to be used for teaching in uni- versities, business schools and financial institutions, and sufficiently self-contained for stand-alone use. Mathematical techniques will be motivated by examples and their use illustrated through applications, and complemented by computation. THE CONCEPTS AND PRACTICE OF MATHEMATICAL FINANCE Second Edition M. S. JOSHI University of Melbourne CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS Cambridge, New York, Melbourne, Madrid, Cape Town, Singapore, Sao Paulo, Delhi Cambridge University Press The Edinburgh Building, Cambridge CB2 8RU, UK www.cainbridge.org Information on this title: www.cambridge.org/9780521514088 M. S. Joshi 2003 This publication is in copyright. Subject to statutory exception and to the provisions of relevant collective licensing agreements, no reproduction of any part may take place without the written permission of Cambridge University Press. First published 2003 Reprinted 2004 Second Edition 2008 Printed in the United Kingdom at the University Press, Cambridge A catalogue record for this publication is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloguing in Publication data Joshi, M. S. (Mark Suresh), 1969- The concepts and practice of mathematical finance / M. S. Joshi. p. cm. - (Mathematics, finance and risk) Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 0 521 82355 2 1. Derivative securities - Prices - Mathematical models. 2. Options (Finance) - Prices - Mathematical models. 3. Interest rates - Mathematical models. 4. Finance - Mathematical models. 5. Investments - Mathematics. 6. Risk management - Mathematical models. I. Title. II. Series. HG6024.A3J67 2003 332'.01'51- dc22 2003055594 ISBN 978-0-521-51408-8 hardback Cambridge University Press has no responsibility for the persistence or accuracy of URLs for external or third-party internet websites referred to in this publication, and does not guarantee that any content on such websites is, or will remain, accurate or appropriate. To My Parents Contents Preface Acknowledgements Risk 1 What is risk? 1.1 1.2 Market efficiency The most important assets 1.3 1.4 Risk diversification and hedging The use of options 1.5 Classifying market participants 1.6 1.7 Key points Further reading 1.8 1.9 Exercises 2 Pricing methodologies and arbitrage 2.1 Some possible methodologies 2.2 Delta hedging 2.3 What is arbitrage? 2.4 The assumptions of mathematical finance 2.5 An example of arbitrage-free pricing 2.6 The time value of money 2.7 Mathematically defining arbitrage 2.8 Using arbitrage to bound option prices 2.9 Conclusion 2.10 Key points 2.11 Further reading 2.12 Exercises 3 Trees and option pricing 3.1 A two-world universe 3.2 A three-state model vii viii Contents 3.3 Multiple time steps 50 3.4 Many time steps 53 3.5 A normal model 55 3.6 Putting interest rates in 58 3.7 A log-normal model 60 3.8 Consequences 68 3.9 Summary 70 3.10 Key points 70 3.11 Further reading 71 3.12 Exercises 71 4 Practicalities 73 4.1 Introduction 73 4.2 Trading volatility 73 4.3 Smiles 74 4.4 The Greeks 77 4.5 Alternative models 85 4.6 Transaction costs 90 4.7 Key points 90 4.8 Further reading 91 4.9 Exercises 91 5 The Ito calculus 97 5.1 Introduction 97 5.2 Brownian motion 97 5.3 Quadratic variation 100 5.4 Stochastic processes 102 5.5 Ito's lemma 106 5.6 Applying Ito's lemma 111 5.7 An informal derivation of the Black-Scholes equation 114 5.8 Justifying the derivation 116 5.9 Solving the Black-Scholes equation 119 5.10 Dividend-paying assets 121 5.11 Key points 123 5.12 Further reading 125 5.13 Exercises 125 6 Risk neutrality and martingale measures 127 6.1 Plan 127 6.2 Introduction 128 6.3 The existence of risk-neutral measures 129 6.4 The concept of information 140 6.5 Discrete martingale pricing 145 Contents ix 6.6 Continuous martingales and filtrations 154 6.7 Identifying continuous martingales 156 6.8 Continuous martingale pricing 157 6.9 Equivalence to the PDE method 161 6.10 Hedging 162 6.11 Time-dependent parameters 164 6.12 Completeness and uniqueness 166 6.13 Changing numeraire 167 6.14 Dividend-paying assets 171 6.15 Working with the forward 172 6.16 Key points 175 6.17 Further reading 176 6.18 Exercises 176 7 The practical pricing of a European option 181 7.1 Introduction 181 7.2 Analytic formulae 182 7.3 Trees 183 7.4 Numerical integration 187 7.5 Monte Carlo 191 7.6 PDE methods 195 7.7 Replication 196 7.8 Key points 198 7.9 Further reading 198 7.10 Exercises 199 8 Continuous barrier options 202 8.1 Introduction 202 8.2 The PDE pricing of continuous barrier options 205 8.3 Expectation pricing of continuous barrier options 207 8.4 The reflection principle 208 8.5 Girsanov's theorem revisited 210 8.6 Joint distribution 213 8.7 Pricing continuous barriers by expectation 216 8.8 American digital options 219 8.9 Key points 220 8.10 Further reading 220 8.11 Exercises 220 9 Multi-look exotic options 222 9.1 Introduction 222 9.2 Risk-neutral pricing for path-dependent options 223 9.3 Weak path dependence 225 x Contents 9.4 Path generation and dimensionality reduction 226 9.5 Moment matching 231 9.6 Trees, PDEs and Asian options 233 9.7 Practical issues in pricing multi-look options 234 9.8 Greeks of multi-look options 236 9.9 Key points 239 9.10 Further reading 239 9.11 Exercises 240 10 Static replication 243 10.1 Introduction 243 10.2 Continuous barrier options 244 10.3 Discrete barriers 247 10.4 Path-dependent exotic options 249 10.5 The up-and-in put with barrier at strike 251 10.6 Put-call symmetry 252 10.7 Conclusion and further reading 256 10.8 Key points 258 10.9 Exercises 259 11 Multiple sources of risk 260 11.1 Introduction 260 11.2 Higher-dimensional Brownian motions 261 11.3 The higher-dimensional Ito calculus 263 11.4 The higher-dimensional Girsanov theorem 267 11.5 Practical pricing 272 11.6 The Margrabe option 273 11.7 Quanto options 275 11.8 Higher-dimensional trees 277 11.9 Key points 280 11.10 Further reading 281 11.11 Exercises 281 12 Options with early exercise features 284 12.1 Introduction 284 12.2 The tree approach 287 12.3 The PDE approach to American options 289 12.4 American options by replication 291 12.5 American options by Monte Carlo 293 12.6 Upper bounds by Monte Carlo 295 12.7 Key points 297 12.8 Further reading 297 12.9 Exercises 298

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