The Built Environment, Activity Space, and Time Allocation An activity-based framework for modeling the land use and travel connection Yingling Fan A dissertation submitted to the faculty of the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill in partial fulfillment of requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in the Department of City and Regional Planning Chapel Hill 2007 Approved by Asad J. Khattak Philip R. Berke Mai T. Nguyen Yan Song Daniel A. Rodríguez © 2007 Yingling Fan ALL RIGHTS RESERVED ii ABSTRACT Yingling Fan The built environment, activity space, and time allocation: An activity-based framework for modeling the land use and travel connection (Under the direction of Asad J. Khattak) Cities and metropolitan regions face several challenges including rising urban populations, sprawled land use patterns, and related auto dependence, energy consumption, greenhouse emissions, and human health effects. An important aspect of addressing these challenges involves understanding the connection between urban environments and spatial and temporal characteristics of individual activity-travel behavior. Advances in the research arena can inform the development of land use and transportation policies that facilitate access to local opportunities, reduce auto dependence, promote healthy travel behavior such as walking and bicycling, and generate travel time savings. Further, research efforts on this subject can help to measure the successes of existing transportation and land use planning tools in terms of their “secondary” effects on individuals’ spatial accessibility, time allocation, and quality of life. My dissertation systematically tests the connection between land use and activity- travel behavior by presenting three perspectives: one that focuses on the census block group level; another that focuses on the individual level; and one that focuses on the trip level. The analysis at the census block group level, named as the census block group level activity pattern analysis in this research, examines how the built environment of a census block-group ii i is associated with the aggregated distribution of activities and trips occurring within the census block-group. The individual-level analysis, named as the individual activity space and time allocation analysis, links individuals’ spatial and temporal footprints to the built environment at the home location, traffic conditions at the home location, weather conditions, and individual/household characteristics. The trip-level analysis, named as the trip distance and duration analysis, demonstrates how environmental factors at the trip origin and destination and activity/trip characteristics are associated with the distance and duration of each trip. The census block group level activity pattern analysis indicates that dense developments are not necessarily positively associated with diversity in activity categories or demographic diversity of the individuals who were involved with activities in the area. Greater land use diversity is associated with higher activity density and greater activity diversity but lower alternative mode share. Grid street patterns and the presence of sidewalks are both associated with higher activity density and more alternative mode share. The individual activity space and time allocation analysis shows that small activity area size—less spatially dispersed daily activity locations—are related to dense developments, more retail stores, the presence of sidewalks, and the presence of heavy traffic in the residential neighborhood and are related to cold weather and precipitation. Most of the built environment factors show no association with time allocations to out-of-home activities or leisure activities, while they do show various associations with travel time allocations depending on the travel mode. Besides the built environment at the home location, weather conditions and traffic conditions also play an important role in both the individual spatial footprint and time allocation. iv The trip distance and duration analysis suggests that shorter distance of non-work related trips is related to more retail stores, fewer industrial firms, and heavy traffic near the trip origin. After controlling for trip distance, the duration of driving trips is positively related to street grids, the presence of sidewalks, and dense developments at the trip origin and/or destination while the duration of walking trips is not. The analysis also suggests different activity/travel categories show dramatic differences in the sensitivity to environmental factors such as the built environment, traffic conditions, and weather. Not only do trips with different modes respond to these environmental factors in different ways, but trips related to different activity categories also show differences in the environmental sensitivity. Walking trips are more vulnerable to weather conditions than are driving trips. This research took an activity-based and time use approach to study the land use- travel connection, which fills the gap between activity modeling and land use-travel modeling in the existing literature. Evidence found in this research supports the notion that transportation problems can be ameliorated through the use of land use strategies. The research also points out that the strength of the land use-travel connection is conditional on other environmental factors such as traffic and weather conditions, as well as activity context such as activity type and time of day. v Dedicated to my mother, Jiannan, and to my father, Zenan v i ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I am indebted to the many people with whom I had the honor of working and without whom the completion of this dissertation project would have been much more difficult. I am thankful to all the members in my qualifying examination and dissertation committees— Professors Berke, Burby, Khattak, Nguyen, Rodríguez, and Song who helped me to bring this work to fruition. Comments and advices that come from Professor Daniel Rodriguez have been incredibly detailed, informative, and helpful. Professor Yan Song has provided me tremendous mental support and has given me directions about my research as well as my life. My deepest thanks go to my advisor and my mentor—Professor Asad J. Khattak. He is the person that has been supporting my study and work, showing me the ropes in the academia, and helping me become an independent researcher. I want to thank my peers in the doctoral program, Tab, Alyssa, Mark, and especially Beth for providing me endless help and encouragement. I am grateful to my parents, my sister, and my husband, as well as the larger DCRP family of faculty and staff, for their support and love during my doctoral study. The data utilized in this dissertation was graciously provided by Institute for Transportation Research and Education (ITRE) and the Triangle Council J. I want to thank Ms. Leta Huntsinger and Mr. Paul Black for providing me exclusive access to the data. vi i TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES LIST OF FIGURES CHAPTER I: Introduction....................................................................................................1 Problem Definition........................................................................................................1 Research Objectives......................................................................................................4 Three Analyses..............................................................................................................4 Contribution..................................................................................................................6 Chapter Structure........................................................................................................10 CHAPTER II: Review of Relevant Literature...................................................................12 Activity-Travel Pattern Studies...................................................................................12 The Built Environment and Travel Behavior..............................................................17 Summary.....................................................................................................................23 CHAPTER III: Conceptual Framework............................................................................26 A General Environment-Behavior Model...................................................................26 The Theory of Demand...............................................................................................28 How the Built Environment May Influence Activity Engagement and Travel..........31 CHAPTER IV. Research Design and Methods..................................................................43 Data Sources and Study Area.....................................................................................44 vi ii Measuring the Built Environment...............................................................................46 Measuring Human Activity Patterns...........................................................................48 Measuring Individual Activity-Travel Behavior........................................................53 Variables and Models.................................................................................................54 Threats to Validity......................................................................................................66 CHAPTER V: Census Block Group Level Activity Pattern Analysis.............................71 Descriptive analysis....................................................................................................72 Activity Pattern Models..............................................................................................74 Travel Pattern Models.................................................................................................80 Key Findings and Limitations.....................................................................................83 CHAPTER VI: Individual Activity Space and Time Allocation Analysis.....................86 Descriptive Analysis...................................................................................................87 Activity Space Models................................................................................................92 Activity Time Allocation Models...............................................................................98 Travel Time Allocation Models................................................................................106 Key Findings and Limitations...................................................................................115 CHAPTER VII: Neighborhood Clusters, Activity Space, and Time Allocation...........119 Identification of Neighborhood Clusters..................................................................119 Mean Comparison.....................................................................................................123 Neighborhood Cluster Models..................................................................................128 Key Findings and Limitations...................................................................................138 CHAPTER VIII: Trip Distance and Duration Analysis.................................................140 ix Descriptive analysis..................................................................................................141 Activity-Specific Distance Models...........................................................................143 Mode-Specific Duration Models...............................................................................148 Key Findings and Limitations...................................................................................155 CHAPTER IX: Summary, Discussion, and Conclusions................................................158 Summary of Findings................................................................................................159 Discussion.................................................................................................................167 Conclusions...............................................................................................................175 Limitations and Future Directions............................................................................180 References............................................................................................................................183 x
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