TELEVISION BROADCASTERS’ ADOPTION OF DIGITAL MULTICAST AND ANCILLARY SERVICES: AN ANALYSIS OF THE PRIMARY CORE, SUPPORTING, AND ENVIRONMENTAL DRIVERS By TODD ANDREW HOLMES A THESIS PRESENTED TO THE GRADUATE SCHOOL OF THE UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF ARTS IN MASS COMMUNICATION UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA 2008 1 © 2008 Todd Andrew Holmes 2 To all who have inspired my intellectual curiosity and academic pursuits, and to all who have supported me in reaching this milestone 3 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS First and foremost, I would like to thank my chair, Dr. Ostroff, for the enormous amount of time and guidance he gave to me in helping me to complete this research study. His support and direction were absolutely critical in the successful completion of this paper. I also would like to thank the members of my committee, Dr. Chan-Olmsted and Dr. Brown, for their thoughts and ideas concerning my research topic. Second, I would like to thank the nine television executives who took time out of their busy schedules to meet with me and who very openly and willingly shared with me their thoughts on the research topic. Their help was absolutely vital to the completion of this study. Third, I would like to thank my parents who continued to keep me moving along on the thesis through their inquiries and encouragement. Their own academic achievements have continued to inspire me throughout this process. Lastly, special thanks go to all my friends, the Gator Guzzlers and many others, who heard me talk about this thesis for months and with whom I had to skip out on a lot of activities. I appreciate their understanding and their always entertaining comments regarding this research study. 4 TABLE OF CONTENTS page ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...............................................................................................................4 LIST OF TABLES.........................................................................................................................10 LIST OF FIGURES.......................................................................................................................12 ABSTRACT...................................................................................................................................13 CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION..................................................................................................................14 Digital Television Rollout is Far Reaching............................................................................14 Broadcasters Face Competition from Various Sources..........................................................15 Origins of Digital Television..................................................................................................16 Early High-Definition Broadcasts..........................................................................................18 Consumer Adoption of Digital Television Technology.........................................................19 Comparison of Adoption of High-Definition TV to That of Color TV..........................20 Consumer Adoption of Interactive Services....................................................................21 High-Definition Gains Momentum.........................................................................................22 Consumer Education...............................................................................................................22 Current Figures on Consumer Understanding of Digital TV..........................................22 Consumers Not Very Familiar with Interactive TV........................................................23 Voluntary Actions to Increase Awareness......................................................................24 Public Safety Concerns...........................................................................................................25 First Responders Need Analog Spectrum........................................................................25 Over-the-air Television Critical During Emergencies....................................................26 New Digital Technologies Enhance Consumer Safety...................................................27 Purpose and Value of This Research......................................................................................27 Conclusion..............................................................................................................................29 2 LITERATURE REVIEW.......................................................................................................30 Proposed Framework of New Media Adoption by Media Firms...........................................32 Core Factors.....................................................................................................................32 Firm characteristics..................................................................................................32 Media technology characteristics.............................................................................35 Supporting Factors...........................................................................................................38 Strategic networks....................................................................................................38 Perceived strategic value..........................................................................................39 Managerial knowledge of and incentives to seek alternatives.................................39 Environmental Factors.....................................................................................................39 New Media Technology Adoption..................................................................................40 Social Movement Theory.......................................................................................................41 5 Broadcasters and Their Entry into the Digital Age................................................................43 Regulation/Federal Communications Commission Rulings...................................................44 Three Key Recommendations of the U.S. General Accounting Office..........................45 Mandate for all TV sets to be digital over-the-air compatible and digital cable- ready.....................................................................................................................46 Certain date for cable carriage to switch from analog to digital..............................47 Debate Over Dual Carriage by Cable Systems................................................................49 Broadcasters and Cable Industry Square Off on Issue of Multicasting...........................49 Broadcasters’ viewpoint...........................................................................................49 Cable operators’ stance............................................................................................51 Broadcasters Denied Carriage of Multicast Channels.....................................................54 Lack of Public Interest Programming..............................................................................55 Coalition of Consumer Activists Enter Debate...............................................................55 Retransmission Consent and the 1992 Cable Act............................................................56 Major Network Digital Initiatives..........................................................................................57 National Broadcasting Company (NBC).........................................................................57 American Broadcasting Company (ABC).......................................................................58 ABC AccuWeather...................................................................................................58 ABC News Now.......................................................................................................59 Columbia Broadcasting System (CBS)...........................................................................60 Fox Broadcasting Company, The CW Television Network, and My Network TV........62 Specialty Digital Networks.....................................................................................................63 Qubo Network.................................................................................................................63 LATV Network...............................................................................................................63 Motor Trend TV..............................................................................................................63 World Championship Sports Network............................................................................64 Multicast (Standard-Definition) Business Model...................................................................64 Model of Program Choice...............................................................................................64 Dual Carriage in a Multicast Environment......................................................................65 Advantages of Multicasting.............................................................................................66 Improved affiliate/network relations: Complementarity..........................................66 Creation of new national networks: Newness..........................................................66 Ability to target advertising to particular market segments: Utility observability and efficiency........................................................................................................67 Outlet for extended/enhanced news programming: Content distribution................68 Relatively inexpensive once infrastructure is in place: Technology cost................68 Cross-market penetration: Complementarity...........................................................69 Similar to existing business model: Compatibility..................................................69 Other Uses of Multicast Technology...............................................................................70 Digital signal used to air programming from different networks: Content distribution............................................................................................................70 Better carriage for low-power stations: Utility observability and efficiency...........70 Revolutionary Uses of Multicast Technology.................................................................71 Broadcast of flight arrival and departure information: Newness............................71 Traffic reporting: Newness.......................................................................................71 Benefits to Advertisers Through Use of Multicast Technology......................................71 6 Challenges of Multicasting..............................................................................................72 Securing the capability to digitally deliver a signal: Technology cost.....................72 Producing more with the same staff or same capital expenditure: Technology cost........................................................................................................................73 Acquiring programming to fill secondary channels: Complementarity...................73 Adding more channels does not mean there are more advertisers: Technology cost........................................................................................................................73 Automation in a Multichannel Operation........................................................................74 Ancillary Services...................................................................................................................75 Media Technology Characteristics..................................................................................76 The Return Path Will Have Major Impact on Television Advertising............................76 Variations of Ancillary Services.....................................................................................77 WRAL-TV 5: A Digital Pioneer.............................................................................................78 Multicasting.....................................................................................................................79 Outlet for extended/enhanced news programming: Content distribution................79 Improved affiliate/network relations: Complementarity..........................................80 Relatively inexpensive once infrastructure is in place: Technology cost................80 Datacasting: Newness/Utility Observability and Efficiency...........................................81 KUSA-TV 9: A High-Definition Newscast Pioneer..............................................................83 High Definition................................................................................................................83 Content Distribution........................................................................................................83 Technology Cost..............................................................................................................84 Cable Is Using High-Definition Advantage in Battle With Satellite......................................84 USDTV: A Low-Cost Alternative..........................................................................................86 Conclusion..............................................................................................................................87 3 METHODOLOGY.................................................................................................................89 Data Gathering Method Used.................................................................................................89 Selecting the Study Participants.............................................................................................90 Pre-Interview Procedure.........................................................................................................92 Conducting the Interviews......................................................................................................93 Research Questions and the Actual Interviews......................................................................94 Data Analysis..........................................................................................................................97 Conclusion..............................................................................................................................98 4 FINDINGS..............................................................................................................................99 Profile of Interview Participants...........................................................................................100 Status of Multicasting as of Interview..................................................................................102 Viewpoints on USDTV: The Wireless Alternative to Cable.........................................104 Reasons cited for why USDTV’s business model was not viable.........................105 Reasons cited for why USDTV’s business model could have been viable............107 Core Characteristics..............................................................................................................108 Firm Characteristics.......................................................................................................108 Station affiliation....................................................................................................108 Ownership group....................................................................................................113 7 Media Technology Characteristics................................................................................119 USDTV and its media technology characteristics..................................................119 Complementarities.................................................................................................121 Technology cost.....................................................................................................124 Supporting Factors................................................................................................................126 Perceived Strategic Value..............................................................................................126 Methods of selling advertising on multicast channels: Stations currently multicasting.........................................................................................................126 Methods of selling advertising on multicast channels: Stations not currently multicasting.........................................................................................................128 Managerial Knowledge/Incentives and Multicasting....................................................129 Managerial Knowledge/Incentives and Ancillary Services..........................................131 Strategic Networks........................................................................................................133 Network-broadcaster partnerships..........................................................................133 Broadcaster-cable provider relationship.................................................................134 Environmental Factors..........................................................................................................143 Regulation of the Broadcast/Multichannel Video Programming Distribution Industry......................................................................................................................143 Reasons cited for differing strategy.......................................................................144 Reasons cited for not differing strategy.................................................................146 Market Conditions/Size.................................................................................................147 Competition...................................................................................................................149 Station vs. station...................................................................................................149 Broadcaster vs. cable operator...............................................................................150 Cable operator vs. cable operator...........................................................................151 Conclusion............................................................................................................................153 5 DISCUSSION.......................................................................................................................157 The Multicast Business Model.............................................................................................158 Weather Is the Most Popular Multicast Format, Particularly in the Larger Markets....158 Managerial knowledge (supporting)......................................................................158 Media technology characteristics/technology cost (core)......................................159 Smaller-Market Stations Are Multicasting My Network TV and The CW Network: Market size (environmental)......................................................................................159 Networks Have a Limited Influence on Digital Model Adoption: Managerial knowledge (supporting).............................................................................................160 Broadcast Ownership Group Makes a Difference.........................................................161 Diverse strategic postures: Firm/entrepreneurship (core)......................................161 Broadcast ownership groups are important in providing funding and support of HD newscasts: Firm/entrepreneurship/organizational strategic traits (core)......162 Cable Industry as a Mediator of Strategy: Managerial knowledge and broadcaster- cable provider relationship (supporting)....................................................................162 USDTV Failed to Successfully Compete with Cable and Satellite Providers..............164 Competition (environmental).................................................................................164 Market conditions (environmental)........................................................................164 Firm/entrepreneurship (core)..................................................................................164 8 Market conditions (environmental)........................................................................165 Ancillary Services/ Datacasting............................................................................................165 Current Federal Communications Commission Decision to Not Mandate Multicast Cable Carriage...................................................................................................................166 Mandate in Favor of Multicast Cable Carriage Would Be Significant.........................168 The Cable Industry Has Become a Gatekeeper: Competition (environmental)............168 Themes of Multicast Carriage.......................................................................................169 Multicast carriage theme 1: Broadcaster-cable provider relationship impacts multicast carriage................................................................................................169 Multicast carriage theme 2: Affiliation and access to high-definition programming influence multicast carriage.........................................................173 Multicast carriage theme 3: Level of competition experienced by cable operators influences multicast carriage..............................................................175 Limitations of the Study................................................................................................175 Areas for Future Research.............................................................................................176 Multicasting............................................................................................................177 Ancillary services...................................................................................................178 Multicast cable carriage.........................................................................................178 Conclusion............................................................................................................................179 6 CONCLUSION.....................................................................................................................182 APPENDIX A LIST OF KEY DEFINITIONS.............................................................................................183 B INTRODUCTORY LETTER...............................................................................................185 C INTERVIEW QUESTIONS: RESEARCH QUESTION 1..................................................187 D INTERVIEW QUESTIONS: RESEARCH QUESTION 2..................................................189 E INTERVIEW QUESTIONS: RESEARCH QUESTION 3..................................................191 LIST OF REFERENCES.............................................................................................................193 BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCH.......................................................................................................203 9 LIST OF TABLES Table page 4-1. Stations Multicasting as of Interview Date...........................................................................102 4-2. Number and Format of Digital Streams Broadcast..............................................................103 4-3. Time Frame for Non-Multicasters to Begin Multicasting....................................................104 4-4. Reasons Why or Why Not that USDTV was a Viable Business Concept...........................105 4-5. Level of Influence of the Network over Local Multicasting................................................109 4-6. Likelihood that Having a Big 4 Affiliation Will Influence Multicast Cable Carriage More Than Will a Smaller Network or Independent Station...........................................110 4-7. Multicasters’ Views on the Effects of Network Affiliation and Broadcast Ownership Group on Ability to Receive Cable Carriage...................................................................113 4-9. Involvement of Ownership Group in Decision to Pursue Ancillary Services......................117 4-10. Type of In-House Programming Being Aired on Multicast Channels...............................120 4-11. Reasons Provided by Current Multicasters for Carrying This Combination of Programming....................................................................................................................121 4-12. Reasons Provided by Future Multicasters for Carrying This Combination of Programming....................................................................................................................123 4-13. Costs Involved in Carriage of Multicast Channels.............................................................124 4-14. Current Multicasters’ Methods of Selling Advertising......................................................127 4-15. Future Multicasters’ Methods of Selling Advertising........................................................128 4-16. Stations Planning to Offer Ancillary Services...................................................................131 4-17. Type of Network Programming Being Aired on Multicast Channels...............................133 4-18. Rationale Provided for Voluntary Carriage of Multicast Channels...................................135 4-19. Multicasters Receiving Current Cable Carriage.................................................................138 4-20. Future Multicasters’ Views on the Effects of the Broadcaster-cable relationship on the ability of broadcasters to receive multicast Cable Carriage.............................................142 4-21. Responses of Executives When Asked if Their Strategy Would Differ.............................143 10
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