Technological Forecasting and Social Change 1996: Vol 53 Index

9 Pages·1996·1.3 MB·English

NORTH- HOLLAND
Author Index—Volume 53
Berry, B.J.L., 155 Hultén, S., 61
Brooks, H., 21 Hunhammar, S., 213
Clarke R.E., 185 Kim, N., 239
Clarysse, B., 139 Kovoor-Misra, S., 169
Coates, J.F., 227
Langowitz, N.S., 125
Cowan, R., 61
Debackere, K., 139 Martin J.-M., 81
Dunphy, S.M., 279
Nakicenovié, N., 97
Foray, D., 1 Nitta, Y., 225
Freeman, C.., Phillips, F., 239
Gibbons, M..,
Rappa, M.A., 139
Graves, S.B., 125
Ruttan, V.W., 41
Griibler, A., 1, 3,
Gupta, U.G., 185 Schelling, T.C., 15
Sedaitis, J.B., 293
Herbig, P.R., 2
Howes, M.E., 279 Wernick, LK., 111
Book Review Index—Volume 53
Bimber, B., The Politics of Expertise in Margulis, L. and Sagan D., What Is Life?
Congress: the Rise and Fall of the (Harold A. Linstone), 123
Office of Technology Assessment Norris, M., Survival in the Software Jungle
(Vary Coates), 309 (Kish J. Sharma), 319
Bloomfield, M., The Automated Society Sapienza, A.M., Managing Scientists
(Joseph P. Martino), 313
(Alan L. Porter), 233
Shapira, P., ed., The R&D Workers:
Goulet, D., Development Ethics: A Guide Managing Innovation in Britain,
to Theory and Practice (Wendell Germany, Japan, and the United
Bell), 235 States (Karol I. Pelc), 315
Subject Index—Volume 53
Absence of knowledge, research by Association, moving toward crisis
accident and, 15 preparedness and, 169
Aggregation, chaos research implications for Assumptions, nuclear future and, 213
new product forecasting and, 239 Attention management, innovation for
Application, discovery in context of, 263 sustainability and, 21
Technological Forecasting and Social Change 53, 323-330 (1996)
© 1996 Elsevier Science Inc. 0040-1625/96/$15.00
655 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10010 PII S0040-1625(96)00159-X
SUBJECT INDEX—VOLUME 53
Automated society, 233 Consumers
Automobile technologies, escaping lock- decarbonization of global energy
in and, 61 system and, 97
“Away from the carbon atom” concept, consuming materials the American
energy technologies and, 81 way and, 111
Contemporary factor prices, induced
Balance, discovery in context of innovation/path dependence
application and, 263 and, 41
Bibliography, Delphi technique and, 185 Continuous change, greening of
Bifurcations, chaos research implications technology and, 27
for new product forecasting Convenience, decarbonization of global
and, 239 energy system and, 97
Brand managers, chaos research Country infrastructures, innovation
implications for new product funnel and, 279
forecasting and, 239 “risis
Breakthroughs, escaping lock-in and, 61 escaping lock-in and, 61
Britain, managing R&D innovation in, moving toward crisis preparedness, 169
315 nuclear future and, 213
Business cycles, monetary policymaking ‘ross-sectional data, network influence
and, 155 on innovative output in emerging
Business Week, global R&D multi- technologies, 139
industry productivity ‘urvilinear effect, network influence on
comparison and, 125 innovative output in emerging
technologies, 139
Capacity for action, research by accident
Data collection, chaos research
and, 15
implications for new product
Carbon emissions, decarbonization of
forecasting and, 239
global energy system and, 97
Decarbonization, of global energy
Chaos reseach, implications of for new
system, 97
product forecasting, 239
Decision makers, Delphi technique and,
Choice, nuclear future and, 213
185
Civilian product development,
Decreasing returns, global R&D multi-
commercializing state R&D in
industry productivity comparison
United States and Russia, 293
and, 125
Cleanliness, decarbonization of global
Defense technologists, commercializing
energy system and, 97
state R&D in United States and
Cognitive process, research by accident
Russia, 293
and, 15 Delphi technique, theory and
Collaborative research, network applications of, 185
influence on innovative output in Demand
emerging technologies, 139 consuming materials the American
Companies, attention management and, way and, 111
21 decarbonization of global energy
Competition, escaping lock-in and, 61 system and, 97
Complexity, discovery in context of nuclear future and, 213
application and, 263 Demographics, consuming materials the
Congress, politics of expertise in, 309 American way and, 111
Consistency, induced innovation/path Development ethics, guide to theory and
dependence and, 41 practice, 235
SUBJECT INDEX—VOLUME 53
Diffusion Energy studies, research by accident
chaos research implications for new and, 15
product forecasting and, 239 Energy system, global, 97
energy technologies and, 81 Energy technologies, overview, 81
innovation funnel and, 279 England, managing R&D innovation in,
Discovery in the context of application, 315
263 Environment
Discriminators, innovation funnel and, attention management and, 21
279 consuming materials the American
Dispersed knowledge, and technology way and, 111
and environment, 3 decarbonization of global energy
system and, 97
Distortion, by economists of contribution
induced innovation/path dependence
of science and technology to
and, 41
economy, 227
technology and, 3
Diversity, energy technologies and, 81
Environmentally sustainable
Domains, Delphi technique and, 185
development paths, attention
Duration, induced innovation/path
management and, 21
dependence and, 41
Ethics, development, 235
Dynamics, chaos research implications
Europe, global R&D multi-industry
for new product forecasting
productivity comparison and, 125
and, 239
Evolution, decarbonization of global
energy system and, 97
Economics
Expectations, moving toward crisis
consuming materials the American preparedness and, 169
way and, 111
Expenditure, global R&D multi-industry
distortion of contributions to by
productivity comparison and, 125
science and technology, 227
Experience of crisis, moving toward crisis
greening of technology and, 27 preparedness and, 169
Efficacy, commercializing state R&D in Extracting, consuming materials the
United States and Russia, 293 American way and, 111
Efficiency, research by accident and, 15
Electric vehicle, escaping lock-in and, 61 Factor prices, induced innovation/path
Emerging technologies dependence and, 41
network influence on innovative Federal laboratories, commercializing
output in, 139 state R&D in United States and
niche markets and, 61 Russia, 293
Empirical data, network influence on Filters, innovation funnel and, 279
Final energy, decarbonization of global
innovative output in emerging
energy system and, 97
technologies, 139
Flexibility, decarbonization of global
End use of energy, decarbonization of
energy system and, 97
global energy system and, 97
Fluctuations, chaos research implications
End-use technologies, energy
for new product forecasting
technologies and, 81 and, 239
Energy demand, nuclear future and, 213
Fundamental changes, moving toward
Energy-environment interactions, crisis preparedness and, 169
decarbonization of global energy
system and, 97 Germany, managing R&D innovation
Energy shortage, nuclear future and, 225 in, 315
326 SUBJECT INDEX—VOLUME 53
Global energy system, decarbonizing, 97 innovation funnel and, 279
Grandfathering, attention management In-house research, network influence on
and, 21 innovative output in emerging
Greening, of technology, 27 technologies, 139
Growth, greening of technology and, Infratechnologies, discovery in context of
application and, 263
Historical development, induced Initially selected process array, induced
innovation/path dependence innovation/path dependence
and, 41 and, 41
Historical reality, nuclear future and, 225 Innovation
Holistic scenario, nuclear future and, 225 attention management and, 21
Human infrastructure, innovation funnel greening of technology and, 27
and, 279 induced, 41
Hypersonic aircraft research program, managing R&D and, 315
discovery in context of Innovation funnel, 279
application and, 263 Innovations, greening of technology
and, 27
Ignorance, and technology and
Innovative output
environment, 3 global R&D multi-industry
Impact-adjusted patents, global R&D productivity comparison and,
multi-industry productivity 125
comparison and, 125
network influence on in emerging
Imperatives, discovery in context of technologies, 139
application and, 263 Input, consuming materials the American
Incentives, greening of technology and,
way and, 111
27
Institutional changes, greening of
Industrialized contries, consuming technology and, 27
materials the American way Institutional frameworks, energy
and, 111 technologies and, 81
Industry Instrumentalities, discovery in context of
attention management and, 21 application and, 263
global R&D multi-industry Integral nature, discovery in context of
productivity comparison and, application and, 263
125 Integration of information, attention
innovation funnel and, 279 management and, 21
moving toward crisis preparedness Interaction, discovery in context of
and, 169 application and, 263
Inertia Internal combustion engine, escaping
induced innovation/path dependence lock-in and, 61
and, 41 International region, R&D multi-
and technology and environment, 3 industry productivity comparison
Inflation rate, business cycles and, 155 and, 125
Information distribution and generation, Inter-organizational ties,
research by accident and, 15 commercializing state R&D in
Infrastructure United States and Russia, 293
energy technologies and, 81 Interrelatedness, energy technologies
escaping lock-in and, 61 and, 81
induced innovation/path dependence Interval effects, chaos research
and, 41 implications for new product
SUBJECT INDEX—VOLUME 53
forecasting and, 239 Long-wave considerations, preferred
Intraindustry sources, escaping lock-in policy choices and, 155
and, 61 Lumpiness of investments, energy
Invention, innovation funnel and, 279 technologies and, 81
Investment lumpiness, energy
technologies and, 81 Macrocosm, innovation funnel and, 279
Irreversibility, energy technologies and, Macro-level discriminators, innovation
81 funnel and, 279
Ivory tower, dismantling, 139 Management
discovery in context of application
Japan and, 263
global R&D multi-industry R&D innovation and, 315
productivity comparison and, of scientists, 313
125
Marketing research, chaos research
managing R&D innovation in, 315 implications for new product
forecasting and, 239
Knowledge
Market saturation, monetary
discovery in context of application
policymaking and, 155
and, 263
Material infrastructure, innovation
research by accident and, 15
funnel and, 279
Materials input, consuming materials the
Large-scale materials, consuming
materials the American way American way and, 111
Measurement, chaos research
and, 111
implications for new product
Large technoeconomic system
forecasting and, 239
transitions, greening of
Media scrutiny, moving toward crisis
technology and, 27
Launches, chaos research implications for preparedness and, 169
new product forecasting and, 239 Metathemes, and technology and
environment, 3
Least squares dummy variable models,
network influence on innovative Method bias, nuclear future and, 213, 225
output in emerging technologies, Micro-level discriminators, innovation
139 funnel and, 279
Level of energy, decarbonization of Military, commercializing state R&D in
global energy system and, 97 United States and Russia, 293
Level of return, global R&D multi- Monetary policy-making, overview, 155
industry productivity “More information is better” principle,
comparison and, 125 attention management and, 21
Life, nature of, 123 Moscow area, commercializing state R&
Likelihood, innovation funnel and, 279 D in, 293
Limiting input, consuming materials the Motivation, moving toward crisis
American way and, 111 preparedness and, 169
“Limits to growth” debate, greening of Multi-industry basis, global R&D
technology and, 27 productivity comparison and, 125
Linear model, greening of technology
and, 27 Nature of firm, innovation funnel and,
Lock-in, escaping, 61 279
Long-range forecasting, Delphi influence on innovative output in
technique and, 185 emerging technologies, 139
328 SUBJECT INDEX—VOLUME 53
innovative output in emerging and technology and environment, 3
technologies and, 139 Positive feedbacks, escaping lock-in
Networks of expertise, attention and, 61
management and, 21 Preferences
New markets, commercializing state R& consuming materials the American
D in United States and Russia, way and, 111
293 monetary policymaking and, 155
New members on top management team, nuclear future and, 225
moving toward crisis Preparedness, crisis, 169
preparedness and, 169
Prerequisites, innovation funnel and, 279
New product forecasting, chaos research Preservation issues, and technology and
and, 239 environment, 3
Niche markets, escaping lock-in and, 61 Primary energy, decarbonization of
1970s, research by accident and, 15 globil energy system and, 97
Nuclear future, method bias and, 213, 225 Problem solvers, discovery in context of
Nuclear weapons, research by accident application and, 263
and, 15 Processing, consuming materials the
American way and, 111
Office of Technology Assessment, rise
Product studies, chaos research
and fall of, 309
implications for new product
Oil resources, nuclear future and, 213
forecasting and, 239
Organizations
Progression, innovation funnel and, 279
commercializing state R&D in United
Projected income, consuming materials
States and Russia, 293
discovery in context of application the American way and, 111
and, 263
Qualitative forecasting, Delphi technique
moving toward crisis preparedness
and, 185
and, 169
network influence on innovative
R&D
output in emerging
attention management and, 21
technologies, 139
commercializing state R&D in United
Output
States and Russia, 293
global R&D multi-industry
discovery in context of application
productivity comparison and,
and, 263
125
global multi-industry productivity
network influence on in emerging
comparison and, 125
technologies, 139
managing inovation and, 315
Patents, global R&D multi-industry network influence on innovative
productivity comparison and, 125 output in emerging
Path dependence, induced innovation technologies, 139
and, 41 Rand Corporation, Delphi technique
Phillips curve, overview, 155 and, 185
Pluralism, energy technologies and, 81 Rate, decarbonization of global energy
Policy-making system and, 97
attention management and, 21 Raw materials, consuming materials the
energy technologies and, 81 American way and, 111
monetary, 155 Recycling, consuming materials the
research by accident and, 15 American way and, 111
SUBJECT INDEX—VOLUME 53
Reduction, consuming materials the materials the American way
American way and, 111 and, 111
Regulation Short-term relationships, monetary
escaping lock-in and, 61 policymaking and, 155
greening of technology and, 27 Single entity, discovery in context of
moving toward crisis preparedness application and, 263
and, 169 Size of firm, innovation funnel and, 279
Relative factor prices, induced Sleeping giants, waking, 293
innovation/path dependence Slowing down, induced innovation/path
and, 41 dependence and, 41
Reliance, commercializing state R&D in Society
United States and Russia, 293 automated, 233
Renewable energy sources, nuclear consuming materials the American
future and, 213 way and, 111
Research organizations, network greening of technology and, 27
influence on innovative output in Sociocultural tendencies, innovation
emerging technologies, 139 funnel and, 279
Resistance to action, research by accident
Sociometric position, network influence
and, 15
on innovative output in emerging
Richer countries, consuming materials
technologies, 139
the American way and, 111 Software jungle, survival in, 319
Russia, commercializing state R&D in,
Solar energy, nuclear future and, 213, 225
293
Specification error, chaos research
implications for new product
Saturated markets
forecasting and, 239
consuming materials the American
Spin-offs, commercializing state R&D in
way and, 111
United States and Russia, 293
monetary policymaking and, 155
Standards, innovation funnel and, 279
Scarcity, nuclear future and, 213
Scientic communities Strategy, attention management and, 21
attention management and, 21 Structural changes
distortion of contributions by to commercializing state R&D in United
States and Russia, 293
economy, 227
managing scientists, 313 decarbonization of global energy
system and, 97
research by accident and, 15
Screening process, innovation funnel innovation funnel and, 279
and, 279 Superficial changes, moving toward crisis
Secondary materials, consuming preparedness and, 169
materials the American way Support industries, escaping lock-in
and, 111 and, 61
Self-reinforcing processes, escaping lock- Survival, in software jungle, 319
in and, 61 Sustainability
Shift consuming materials the American
consuming materials the American way and, 111
way and, 111 energy technologies and, 81
energy technologies and, 81 greening of technology and, 27
induced innovation/path dependence innovation for, 21
and, 41 Systemic aspects, energy technologies
Shortage predictions, consuming and, 81
330 SUBJECT INDEX—VOLUME 53
Taking action, research by accident Transgene plant research, network
and, 15 influence on innovative output in
Taste, escaping lock-in and, 61 emerging technologies, 139
Technical change, induced innovation/ Transition
path dependence and, 41 escaping lock-in and, 61
greening of technology and, 27
Techno-economic systems, monetary
Trilemma, nuclear future and, 213
policymaking and, 155
Two-generation period, monetary
Technological advances, consuming
policymaking and, 155
materials the American way
and, 111 Unanticipated knowledge, research by
Technological trajectories, energy accident and, 15
technologies and, 81 Uncertainty
Technology research by accident and, 15
distortion of contributions by to and technology and environment, 3
Underpinnings, discovery in context of
economy, 227
application and, 263
environment and, 3
Unemployment rate, business cycles
greening of, 27
and, 155
Technology characteristics, research by
United States
accident and, 15
commercializing state R&D in, 293
Technology-driven forecasts, overview, global R&D multi-industry
155 productivity comparison and,
Technology policy 125
attention management and, 21 managing R&D innovation in, 315
energy technologies and, 81 materials consumption in, 111
Technology transfer, commercializing monetary policymaking in, 155
state R&D in United States and Office of Technology Assessment in,
Russia, 293 309
politics of expertise in Congress, 309
Tensions, and technology and
Upstream energy sector, decarbonization
environment, 3
of global energy system and, 97
Testing phase, discovery in context of
application and, 263 Validity, nuclear future and, 213
Threat, moving toward crisis Value, induced innovation/path
preparedness and, 169 dependence and, 41
Time Varied consumption, consuming
network influence on innovative materials the American way
and, 111
output in emerging
technologies, 139 Workers, managing R&D innovation
research by accident and, 15 and, 315
Top management team, moving toward World economy, greening of technology
crisis preparedness and, 169 and, 27