Tax Policy Formation and the Transnationalization of the Public Policy Arena A Case Study of Georgia Nina Dadalauri PhD Dissertation Tax Policy Formation and the Transnationalization of the Public Policy Arena A Case Study of Georgia Politica © Forlaget Politica and the author 2011 ISBN: 978-87-7335-146-8 Cover: Svend Siune Print: Juridisk Instituts Trykkeri, Aarhus Universitet Layout: Annette B. Andersen Submitted February 8, 2011 The public defense takes place May 3, 2011 Published April 2011 Forlaget Politica c/o Department of Political Science Aarhus University Bartholins Allé 7 DK-8000 Århus C Denmark Tel. +45 8942 1253 Fax +45 8613 9839 e-mail: [email protected] Table of Contents Acknowledgements ........................................................................................................................................................ 9 Chapter 1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................................. 13 1.1. Tax Policy Defined .................................................................................................................................. 18 1.2. Conventional Approaches to Tax Policy Formation and Reforms ............................ 22 1.3. Transnationalization of the Policy Arena: Do Ideas Matter in Tax Policy Formation? ........................................................................................................................................................... 25 1.4. Roadmap of the Dissertation ............................................................................................................ 26 Chapter 2 Ordering From the Menu of Conventional Explanations: Pros and Cons ................................................................................................................................................................................ 29 2.1. The Impact of External Forces on Domestic Policy Change ......................................... 30 2.2. Domestic Factors ..................................................................................................................................... 43 2.3. Summary ...................................................................................................................................................... 61 Chapter 3 Transnationalization of the Public Policy Arena: Why and How Do Ideas Matter in Policy Change? .............................................................................................................. 63 3.1. An Alternative Explanation: Transnationalization of a Public Policy Arena ......... 64 3.2. Phases of the Tax System Formation ........................................................................................... 66 3.3. Transnationalization Literature ........................................................................................................ 68 3.4. Ideas as Weapons for Change ....................................................................................................... 74 3.5. Mechanism of Idea Change: Policy Learning ........................................................................ 77 3.6. Policy Actors and Coalitions ............................................................................................................. 81 3.7. Institutions as Filters and the Need for Government Support ....................................... 83 Chapter 4 Methodological Choices and Research Design ................................................... 89 4.1. In-Depth Case Study of Georgia through Process Tracing ............................................ 90 4.2. Selection of Data Sources .................................................................................................................. 93 4.3. Semi-Structured Interviews ................................................................................................................ 96 4.4. Overall Validity of the Dissertation ................................................................................................ 99 Chapter 5 Georgian Tax Policy Making at the Dusk of the Soviet Regime ......... 101 5.1. What Does this Chapter Investigate? ...................................................................................... 101 5.2. Georgia’s Quest for Independence .......................................................................................... 103 5.3. Ideas Matter in Policy Change: True or False? ................................................................... 104 5.4. Policy Coalitions .................................................................................................................................... 108 5.5. Conditionality ......................................................................................................................................... 118 5.6. Domestic Structural Factors: Budget Deficit and Low Tax Level .............................. 121 5.7. Number of Veto Players and Party Politics ............................................................................ 126 5.8. Government Support ......................................................................................................................... 130 5.9. Institutional Filters ................................................................................................................................. 134 5.10. Tax Competition ................................................................................................................................ 140 5.11. EU as a Part of Idea Diffusion or External Force of Change ................................... 141 5.12. Summary ................................................................................................................................................ 143 5 Chapter 6 Georgian Tax Policy Making during the Period of Grand Reforms before the Rose Revolution ............................................................................................................................... 145 6.1. Political Dust Settling ... ...................................................................................................................... 146 6.2. Ideas ............................................................................................................................................................. 147 6.3. Policy Coalitions .................................................................................................................................... 155 6.4. IMF Conditionality ................................................................................................................................ 166 6.5. EU as a Policy Actor in Georgia ................................................................................................... 168 6.6. Tax Competition ................................................................................................................................... 170 6.7. Domestic Structural Factors: Budget Deficit and Low Tax Level .............................. 172 6.8. Number of Veto Players ................................................................................................................... 179 6.9. Institutional Filters ................................................................................................................................. 180 6.10. The Rose Revolution ........................................................................................................................ 182 6.11. Policy Making Mechanisms ......................................................................................................... 183 6.12. Summary ................................................................................................................................................ 184 Chapter 7 Georgian Tax Policy Making After the Rose Revolution ............................. 187 7.1. Political Processes Following the Rose Revolution ........................................................... 187 7.2. Ideas ............................................................................................................................................................. 188 7.3. Policy Coalitions .................................................................................................................................... 190 7.4. Government Support ......................................................................................................................... 193 7.5. Domestic Structural Factors: Budget Deficit and Low Level of Tax Collection ........................................................................................................................................................... 194 7.6. Number of Veto Players and Party Politics ............................................................................ 197 7.7. Conditionality ......................................................................................................................................... 200 7.8. EU as a Policy Actor ............................................................................................................................ 202 7.9. Formal and Informal Institutions .................................................................................................. 204 7.10. Tax Competition ................................................................................................................................ 204 7.11. Policy Change Mechanisms ....................................................................................................... 205 7.12. Summary ................................................................................................................................................ 207 Chapter 8 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................. 209 8.1. Theoretical Findings ........................................................................................................................... 210 8.2. In-Depth Case Study Findings ...................................................................................................... 213 8.3. Concluding Remarks .......................................................................................................................... 224 Appendix ............................................................................................................................................................................. 227 Appendix 1. Classification of Taxes and Description of Tax Types (Tax Handles) ................................................................................................................................................... 227 Appendix 2: Country Size of Post-Soviet States .......................................................................... 233 Appendix 3: Statutory Corporate and Personal Income Tax Rates in CIS Countries 1992-2006 (%) .......................................................................................................................... 234 Appendix 4: Interview guide .................................................................................................................. 235 Appendix 5. External Debt, total (% of GNI) among CIS Countries, 1997-2006 ...... 238 6 Appendix 6: IMF Credits in Thousand USD Provided to Post-Soviet States from 1992 to 2006 .................................................................................................................................................... 239 Appendix 7: Corporate Income Tax Revenues of Post-Soviet Countries (as percentage of GDP), 1993-2000 ................................................................................................. 240 Appendix 8: Personal Income Tax Revenues of Post-Soviet Countries (as percentage of GDP), 1992-2000 ................................................................................................. 241 Appendix 9: General Government Tax Revenues of Post-Soviet Countries (as percentage of GDP), 1993-2001 ................................................................................................. 242 Bibliography ...................................................................................................................................................................... 243 English Summary ......................................................................................................................................................... 255 Dansk resume ................................................................................................................................................................. 261 List of Figures Figure 1.1: Framework for the causal pathway of Georgian tax policy formation ....................................................................................................................................................... 26 Figure 6.1: The tax policy making process and important initiatives 1997-2003 ................................................................................................................................................. 145 Figure 6.2: Georgian budget deficit (in mil GEL), 1999-2003 .................................... 174 List of Tables Table 2.1: Summary of theoretical expectations for Georgian tax policy formation analysis .................................................................................................................................... 62 Table 3.1: Phases of tax policy formation and reform ....................................................... 68 Table 3.2: Summary of theoretical expectations for Georgian tax policy formation analysis .................................................................................................................................... 87 Table 4.1: Data sources ......................................................................................................................... 93 Table 4.2: Respondents in the semi-structured interviews .............................................. 98 Table 5.1: Chronology of the main developments in Georgia 1991-1997 ...... 103 Table 5.2: Marginal tax rates of personal income tax in Georgia ........................... 113 Table 5.3: Policy actors and the policy ideas they supported during the mid-1990s in Georgia ........................................................................................................................ 115 Table 5.4: General government revenue and expenditure (pct. of GDP) .......... 123 Table 5.5: Foreign direct investment in Georgia 1998-2002 ..................................... 141 Table 5.6: EU assistance to Georgia 1992-1997 ............................................................... 142 Table 6.1: Summary of the time period, policy initiatives, and actors discussed in Chapter 6 ....................................................................................................................... 145 Table 6.2: Chronology of main developments in Georgia 1998-2003 ............... 146 7 Table 6.3: Dynamics of tax code changes adopted in the period 1997-2003 (before the Rose Revolution) ............................................................................... 161 Table 6.4: FDI flows in Georgia 2002-2006 ........................................................................... 171 Table 6.5: Georgian exports by country group (1000 USD) ........................................ 171 Table 6.6: Georgian imports by country group (1000 USD) ........................................ 172 Table 6.7: Georgia's budget deficit and external funding ........................................... 173 Table 6.8: Consolidated budget revenues and expenditures as percen- tage of GDP, 1998-2003 ................................................................................................................... 174 Table 6.9: Total revenues and tax revenues (percentage of GDP), 1998-2005 ................................................................................................................................................. 177 Table 7.1: Chronology of the main developments in Georgia after the Rose Revolution till the end of 2004 .......................................................................................... 187 Table 7.2: Dynamics of tax code changes adopted between December 2003 and December 2004 .............................................................................................................. 194 Table 7.3: Consolidated budget revenues and expenditures as percen- tage of GDP, 1999-2003 ................................................................................................................... 194 Table 7.4: EU programs in Georgia from 1998-2006 (Program - Traceca, Inogate, Natural Resources) ........................................................................................................... 203 Table 7.5: Georgian exports by country group (1000 USD) ........................................ 205 Table 7.6: Georgian imports by country group (1000 USD) ........................................ 205 Table 8.1: Summary of theoretical expectations and empirical findings ........... 216 Table A.1: Historical overview of the income tax introduction in Europe ........... 227 Table A2: OECD classification of taxes .................................................................................... 228 8 Acknowledgements This dissertation is the result of a three-year intellectual journey which was an interesting and enlightening path. Yet without the contributions of many won- derful people along this path, it would have been impossible to come this far. First and foremost, I would like to thank my supervisors, who believed in my project and stood by my side to make sure I would complete the task and would stay focused, which often times was a challenge. Their comments, con- structive criticism, and sense of humour made my work enjoyable and produc- tive. Therefore, I am deeply grateful to Anne Skorkjær Binderkrantz and Anne Mette Kjær for being great supervisors. Ever since they took up the task of su- pervising my journey of PhD research, they never stumbled in dedicating as much time as I needed. Both Anne and Mette did their utmost to make my thoughts clearer, my arguments more solid, and the content consistent. However, I am not sure I have always managed to pursue all their insightful comments. In addition to my supervisors, I have benefited greatly from the in- tellectual environment at the Department of Political Science at Aarhus Univer- sity and the Comparative Politics/Political Systems Section where I have had the opportunity to present my work and receive insightful feedback. I would like to say thank you to Karin Hilmer Pedersen, who has been extremely helpful and who has read and commented on various chapters of my dissertation. Al- so I owe thanks to Peter Munk Christiansen, who believed in my project and has supported me throughout the period of writing. His magic words that were written and stuck on my blackboard ‘Don’t Get It Right, Just Get It Done’ have eventually worked. There are numerous helpful colleagues to whom I would like to convey my gratitude, among them particularly Jørgen Elklit, Lars Johannsen, Svend-Erik Skaaning, Vibeke Lehmann Nielsen, Lene Mosegaard, Mads Leth Jakobsen and Marie Østergaard Møller for constructive comments and efforts to make my arguments clearer and more consistent. Lene and Marie have been great friends with whom I gladly shared my office and who made my stay in Aarhus enjoyable with their friendship and support. Furthermore, I am extremely grateful for the help and tireless support that I received from ‘TAPPERNE’. Special thanks go to Annette Andersen, Else Niel- sen, Birgit Kanstrup, Inge Rasmussen, Mette Ahlers Marino, Karen Prehn, Gorm Willemoes Jensen, Vivi Mikkelsen and Berit Møller. In addition to the technical support, financial support from the Department of Political Science, Aarhus University enabled me to conduct fieldwork in Tbilisi, Georgia where I col- lected valuable data for this dissertation. 9 In Tbilisi, I met numerous kind and open people, who were willing to help collect data on the Georgian tax system during a time of political instability. During my fieldwork I was generously hosted by Dr. Aleko Rondeli at the Cen- ter on Strategic Studies and Research in Tbilisi, Georgia. And I would very much like to render my gratitude to him for that. Moreover, the technical sup- port from his staff has been greatly appreciated. My gratitude goes to all who did not spare their time and efforts to help me during and after my fieldwork. Their help in the crucial parts of my research such as finding contacts or setting up meetings with respondents, providing documents and information I needed or requested enthusiastically has been invaluable. Among many of them, I must thank Dr. Lade Papava, Dr. Niko Orvelashvili, Mr. David Koguashvili and Ms. Nana Patsia. Moreover, I am grateful to all my respondents who so gene- rously shared their knowledge of the Georgian tax system with me. After returning to Aarhus, where I had to put the bits and pieces of the col- lected data together, I found a shelter at the International Center for Business and Politics (CBP) at Copenhagen Business School, where the welcoming and intellectually inspiring environment kept me thriving to complete the disserta- tion. Among all others at the Center I would like to thank Dr. Ove Kaj Pedersen, Dr. Lars Bo Christiansen, Dr. Leonard Seabrooke and Mr. Bo Bogekov for hosting me at their research center, where their hospitality and work environment made my stay both enjoyable and productive. Dr. Seabrooke’s comments helped me find my way out of the cul-de-sac that all PhD students find themselves in once in a while. While being hosted at CBP, I had the opportunity and great pleasure to discuss my work with Dr. John Campbell, whose comments were constructive and insightful and helped me to sharpen my analysis and arguments. All those who ever followed the path of PhD studies will probably agree that there are times when this journey seems a tiring, long and lonely process, which is only possible to complete with the love and support from our loved ones. I must say that my family and friends did a great job in this. Tons of thanks go to my parents, Tariel and Tsiala, and my brother Giorgi, who taught me that commitment and hard work pay off and if you dream high, you achieve high. Those three years when I was ‘hiding’ behind a computer screen, my friends kept reminding me that life is much larger and more colorful than my research interests. Without their support and inspiration, you would not be reading this passage of acknowledgments. Finally, I would like to dedicate this work to the sweet memory of my child- hood friend, Khatuna Chankseliani. Her sense of humour and cordiality brought a light of joy to my PhD studies. Her emotional support made it possi- ble to believe that the final result of this journey would be worth my time spent 10
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