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Lecture Notes in Mathematics 2120 Editor Volker Schmidt Stochastic Geometry, Spatial Statistics and Random Fields Models and Algorithms Lecture Notes in Mathematics 2120 Editors-in-Chief: Jean-Michel Morel,Cachan CX Bernard Teissier,Paris AdvisoryBoard: CamilloDeLellis(Zürich) MariodiBernardo(Bristol) AlessioFigalli(Austin) DavarKhoshnevisan(SaltLakeCity) IoannisKontoyiannis(Athens) GaborLugosi(Barcelona) MarkPodolskij(Aarhus C) SylviaSerfaty(Paris) CatharinaStroppel(Bonn) AnnaWienhard(Heidelberg) More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/304 Volker Schmidt Editor Stochastic Geometry, Spatial Statistics and Random Fields Models and Algorithms 123 Editor Volker Schmidt Ulm University Institute of Stochastics Ulm, Germany ISBN978-3-319-10063-0 ISBN978-3-319-10064-7 (eBook) DOI10.1007/978-3-319-10064-7 SpringerChamHeidelbergNewYorkDordrechtLondon LectureNotesinMathematicsISSNprintedition:0075-8434 ISSNelectronicedition:1617-9692 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2014949195 MathematicsSubjectClassification(2010):60D05, 60G55, 60G60, 62H11, 62M40, 62P30, 62P10 ©SpringerInternationalPublishingSwitzerland2015 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartof thematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation, broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionorinformation storageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodology nowknownorhereafterdeveloped.Exemptedfromthislegalreservationarebriefexcerptsinconnection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the Copyright Law of the Publisher’slocation,initscurrentversion,andpermissionforusemustalwaysbeobtainedfromSpringer. PermissionsforusemaybeobtainedthroughRightsLinkattheCopyrightClearanceCenter.Violations areliabletoprosecutionundertherespectiveCopyrightLaw. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication,neithertheauthorsnortheeditorsnorthepublishercanacceptanylegalresponsibilityfor anyerrorsoromissionsthatmaybemade.Thepublishermakesnowarranty,expressorimplied,with respecttothematerialcontainedherein. Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Preface Thisvolumeisanattempttoprovideagraduatelevelintroductiontovariousaspects of stochastic geometry, spatial statistics and random fields, with special emphasis placedonfundamentalclassesofmodelsandalgorithmsaswellasontheirappli- cations. This book has a strong focus on simulations and includes extensive code inMatlabandR,whicharewidelyusedinthemathematicalcommunity.Itcanbe seenasacontinuationoftherecentvolume2068ofLectureNotesinMathematics, whereotherissuesofstochasticgeometry,spatialstatisticsandrandomfieldswere consideredwithafocusonasymptoticmethods. The present volume comprises selected contributions to the Summer Academy on Stochastic Analysis, Modelling and Simulation of Complex Structures (cf. http://www.uni-ulm.de/mawi/summer-academy-2011.html) which took place dur- ing September 11-24, 2011 at the Söllerhaus, an Alpine conference center of the University of Stuttgart and RWTH Aachen, in the village of Hirschegg (Klein- walsertal). It was organized by the Institute of Stochastics of Ulm University. In contrast with previous summer schools on this subject (Sandbjerg 2000, Martina Franca 2004, Sandbjerg 2007, Hirschegg 2009), the focus of this summer school wasonmodelsandalgorithmsfromstochasticgeometry,spatialstatisticsandran- dom fields which can be used for the analysis, modelling and simulation of geo- metrically complex microstructures. Examples of such microstructures are com- plex point patterns and networks which appear in advanced functional materials andwhosegeometricalstructuresarecloselyrelatedtothe(macroscopic)physical propertiesoftheunderlyingtechnicalandbiologicalmaterials. This summer school hosted 43 young participants from 8 countries (Australia, Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Germany, Russia, Switzerland, UK). Fourteen internationalexpertsgavelecturesonvariousaspectsofstochasticgeometry,spatial statisticsandrandomfields.Inaddition,studentsandyoungresearcherswereable togivetheirownshorttalks. As stated above, this volume is focused on fundamental classes of models and algorithms from stochastic geometry, spatial statistics and random fields as well asontheirapplicationstotheanalysis,modellingandsimulationofgeometrically v vi Preface complexobjectslikepointspatterns,tessellations,graphs,andtrees.Itreflectsrecent progressintheseareas,withrespecttoboththeoryandapplications. Point processes play an especially important role in many parts of the book. Poissonprocesses,themostfundamentalclassofpointprocesses,areconsideredin Chapter1asapproximationsofother(notnecessarilyPoisson)pointprocesses.In Chapter2,theyareusedasabasicreferencemodelwhencomparingtheclustering properties of various point processes and, in Chapters 3 and 5, they are used in ordertoconstructsomebasicclassesofrandomtessellationsandBooleanrandom functions,respectively.Severalfurtherclassesofpointprocessesconsideredinthis bookcanbeseenasgeneralizationsofPoissonprocessesandarederivedinvarious ways from Poisson processes. For example, Gibbs processes (Chapters 1 and 2), Poisson cluster processes (Chapters 2, 4 and 13), Cox processes (Chapters 2, 4, 7 and13),andhard-coreprocesses(Chapters2and4). Fromanotherperspective,pointprocessescanbeseenasaspecialclassofran- domclosedsets,whicharealsofundamentalobjectsinstochasticgeometry.Inad- ditiontopointprocesses,anumberofotherclassesofrandomclosedsetsarecon- sideredinthebook;inparticular,germ-grainmodels(Chapters2,4and5),random fiberprocesses(Chapters4and6),randomsurfaceprocesses(Chapter5),random tessellations (Chapters 3 and 6), random spatial networks (Chapters 2 and 4) and isotropic convex bodies (Chapter 8). Random marked closed sets (Chapter 6) – in particular, random marked point processes (Chapter 13) – also play an important roleinthebook. Anotherfocusofthebookisonvariousaspectsofrandomfields.InChapter5, a class of random fields is considered which can be seen as a generalization of randomclosedsetsand,inparticular,ofgerm-grainmodels.InChapter6,random fieldsareusedinordertoconstructrandommarkedsets.Somebasicideasofprinci- palcomponentanalysisforrandomfieldsarediscussedinChapter9.Geneticmod- els involving random fields are considered in Chapter 10. Chapter 11 deals with extrapolation techniques for two large classes of random fields: square-integrable stationary random fields and stable random fields. In addition, various simulation algorithmsforrandomfieldsarediscussedinChapters12and13,inparticularfor GaussianMarkovrandomfields,fractionalGaussianfields,spatialLévyprocesses andrandomwalks. The book is organized as follows. The first four chapters deal with point pro- cesses, random tessellations and random spatial networks, with a number of dif- ferent examples of their applications. Chapter 1 gives an introduction to Stein’s method,apowerfultechniqueforcomputingexpliciterrorboundsfordistributional approximation.Theclassicalcaseofnormalapproximationisusedasaninitialmo- tivation.Then,themainpartofthechapterisdevotedtopresentingthekeyconcepts of Stein’s method in a much more general framework, where the approximating distribution and the space it lives on can be almost arbitrary. This is particularly appealingfordistributionalapproximationofvariouspoint-processmodelsconsid- eredinstochasticgeometryandspatialstatistics.Chapter2reviewsexamples,meth- ods,andrecentresultsconcerningthecomparisonofclusteringpropertiesofpoint processes. The approach is founded on the observation that void probabilities and Preface vii moment measures can be used as two complementary tools for capturing cluster- ingphenomenainpointprocesses.Variousglobalandlocalfunctionalsofrandom geometric models driven by point processes are considered which admit more or lessexplicitboundsinvolvingvoidprobabilitiesandmomentmeasures.Directional convex ordering of point processes is also discussed. Such an ordering turns out tobeanappropriatechoice,combinedwiththenotionof(positiveornegative)as- sociation, when comparison to the Poisson point process is considered. Chapter 3 introducesvarioustessellationmodelsanddiscussestheirapplicationasmodelsfor cellularmaterials.First,thenotionofarandomtessellationisintroduced,alongwith themostwell-knownmodeltypes(VoronoiandLaguerretessellations,hyperplane tessellations,STITtessellations),andtheirbasicgeometriccharacteristics.Assum- ingthatacellularmaterialisarealizationofasuitablerandomtessellationmodel, characteristicsofthesemodelscanbeestimatedfrom3Dimagesofthematerial.An explanationisgivenofhowsuchestimatesareobtainedandhowtheycanbeusedto fittessellationmodelstotheobservedmicrostructure.InChapter4,threeclassesof stochastic morphology models are presented. These describe different microstruc- turesoffunctionalmaterialsbymeansofmethodsfromstochasticgeometry,graph theory and time series analysis. The structures of these materials strongly differ from one another. In particular, the following are considered: organic solar cells, whichareanisotropiccompositesoftwomaterials;nonwovengas-diffusionlayers inprotonexchangemembranefuelcells,whichconsistofasystemofcurvedcarbon fibers;and,graphiteelectrodesinLi-ionbatteries,whichareanisotropictwo-phase system (i.e., consisting of a pore and a solid phase). The goal of this chapter is to give an overview of how models from stochastic geometry, graph theory and time seriesanalysiscanbeappliedtothestochasticmodelingoffunctionalmaterialsand howthesemodelscanbeusedformaterialoptimizationwithrespecttofunctional- ity. The three following chapters deal with Boolean random functions, random markedsetsandspace-timemodelsinstochasticgeometry.InChapter5,thenotion of Boolean random functions is considered. These are generalizations of Boolean random closed sets. Their construction is based on the combination of a sequence ofprimaryrandomfunctionsusingtheoperationsofsupremumorinfimum.Their main properties are given in the case of scalar random functions built on Poisson point processes. Examples of applications to the modeling of rough surfaces are alsogiven.InChapter6,randommarkedclosedsetsareinvestigated.Specialmodels with integer Hausdorff dimension are presented based on tessellations and numer- ical solutions of stochastic differential equations. Statistical analysis is developed which involves the random-field model test and estimation of first and second or- der characteristics. Real data analyses from neuroscience (track modeling marked by spiking intensity) and materials research (grain microstructure with disorienta- tionsoffaces)arepresented.DimensionreductionofpointprocesseswithGaussian randomfieldsascovariates,arecentdevelopment,isgeneralizedinthreedifferent ways. Chapter 7 deals with space-time models in stochastic geometry which are usedinmanyapplications.Mostsuchmodelsarespace-timepointprocesses.Other commonmodelsarebasedongrowthmodelsofrandomsets.Thischapteraimsto viii Preface presentmoregeneralmodels,wheretimeisconsideredtobeeitherdiscreteorcon- tinuous. In the discrete-time case the authors focus on state-space models and the use of Monte Carlo methods for the inference of model parameters. Two applica- tionstorealsituationsarepresented:evaluationofaneurophysiologicalexperiment and models of interacting discs. In the continuous-time case, the authors discuss space-timeLévy-drivenCoxprocesseswithdifferentsecond-orderstructures. The following four chapters are devoted to different issues of spatial statistics andrandomfields.Chapter8containsanintroductiontorotationalintegralgeome- try.Thisisthekeytoolinlocalstereologicalproceduresforestimatingquantitative propertiesofspatialstructures.Inrotationalintegralgeometry,thefocusisoninte- gralsofgeometricfunctionalswithrespecttorotationinvariantmeasures.Rotational integrals of intrinsic volumes are studied. The opposite problem of expressing in- trinsic volumes as rotational integrals is also considered. An explanation is given of how intrinsic volumes can be expressed as integrals with respect to geometric functionals defined on lower dimensional linear subspaces. The rotational integral geometryofMinkowskitensorsisbrieflydiscussedaswellasaprincipalrotational formula.Thesetoolsarethenappliedinlocalstereologyleadingtounbiasedstereo- logicalestimatorsofmeanintrinsicvolumesforisotropicrandomsets.Attheendof thechapter,emphasisisputonhowtheseprocedurescanbeimplementedwhenau- tomaticimageanalysisisavailable.Chapter9givesanintroductiontothemethods of functional data analysis. The authors present the basics from principal compo- nent analysis for functional data together with the functional analytic background aswellasthedataanalyticcounterpart.Asprerequisites,theygiveanintroduction intopresentationtechniquesforfunctionaldataandsomesmoothingtechniques.In Chapter10,achallengingstatisticalprobleminmoderngeneticsisconsidered:how to identify the collection of factors responsible for increasing the risk of specified complexdiseases.Enormousprogressinthefieldofgeneticshasmadepossiblethe collection of very large genetic datasets for analysis by means of various comple- mentarystatisticaltools.Thus,onehastooperatewithdataofhugedimensionsand thisisoneofthemaindifficultiesindetectionofgeneticsusceptibilitytocommon diseasessuchashypertension,myocardialinfarctionandothers.Inthischapter,the authorconcentratesonthemultifactordimensionalityreductionmethod.Modifica- tionsandextensionsarealsodiscussed.Recentresultsonthecentrallimittheorem related to this method are provided as well. In addition, the main features of lo- gisticregressionarediscussedandsimulatedannealingforstochasticminimization of functions defined on a graph with forests as vertices is tackled. Chapter 11 in- troducesbasicstatisticalmethodsfortheextrapolationofstationaryrandomfields. The problem of extrapolation (prediction) of random fields arises in geosciences, mining,oilexploration,hydrosciences,insurance,andmanyotherfields.Thetech- niquestosolvethisproblemarefundamentaltoolsingeostatisticsthatprovidesta- tistical inference for spatially referenced variables of interest. Examples of such quantitiesaretheamountofrainfall,concentrationofmineralsandvegetation,soil texture, population density, economic wealth, storm insurance claim amounts, etc. For square integrable fields, kriging extrapolation techniques are considered. For (non–Gaussian)stablefields,whichareknowntobeheavy-tailed,furtherextrapo- Preface ix lationmethodsaredescribedandtheirpropertiesarediscussed.Twoofthemcanbe seenasdirectgeneralizationsofkriging. The book concludes with two chapters which deal with algorithms for Monte Carlosimulationofrandomfields.Thegenerationofrandomspatialdataonacom- puterisanimportanttoolforunderstandingthebehaviorofspatialprocesses.Chap- ter12describeshowtogeneraterealizationsofthemaintypesofspatialprocesses, includingGaussianandMarkovrandomfields,pointprocesses(includingthePois- son,compoundPoisson,cluster,andCoxprocesses),spatialWienerprocesses,and Lévyfields.ConcreteMatlab codeisalsoprovided.ThepurposeofChapter13 is to exemplify construction of selected coupling-from-the-past algorithms, using simple examples and discussing code which can be run in the statistical scripting languageR.Thesimpleexamplesarethesymmetricrandomwalkwithtworeflect- ingboundaries;averybasiccontinuousstate-spaceMarkovchain;theIsingmodel withexternalfield;and,arandomwalkwithnegativedriftandareflectingboundary attheorigin.Inparallelwiththis,adiscussionisgivenoftherelationshipbetween coupling-from-the-pastalgorithmsontheonehand,anduniformandgeometricer- godicityontheother. Theauthorsofthisbookhavetriedtopresentmanydifferentmethodsdeveloped invariousfieldsofstochasticgeometry,spatialstatisticsandrandomfieldsthatmerit communication to a broader audience. All chapters contain introductory sections whichareeasilyaccessiblefornon-specialistswhowanttobecomeacquaintedwith moderntechniquesofstochasticgeometry,spatialstatisticsandrandomfields.New results, which have been obtained only recently, are also presented. Each chapter provides a number of exercises which will help the reader to use the stochastic modelsandalgorithmsconsideredinthisbookautonomously. Ulm VolkerSchmidt December2013

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