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Regional perspectives on aid for trade PDF

222 Pages·2014·6.3 MB·English
by  OECD
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The Development Dimension T h e Regional Perspectives on Aid for Trade D e v e lo p The Development Dimension Following up the OECD’s joint work with the WTO on aid for trade, this book examines how policy reforms m and aid for trade can be most effective for achieving economic growth, poverty reduction and development. e n Once a country has identifi ed the most binding constraints to its trade expansion, it should implement reform t D designed to tackle these specifi c constraints, making sure that the reform is both sustainable and supported im Regional Perspectives by complementary reforms that will increase the impact on economic growth. This analysis is supported by e n detailed econometric work underlining the importance of tackling a broad range of issues that impinge on the s io on Aid for Trade successful design and sequencing of aid for trade. It is made more concrete by a careful examination of the n conditions for success in groups of developing countries with particular characteristics: landlocked countries, small and vulnerable economies, and commodity exporters. Contents Overview Chapter 1. Regional aid for trade in a broader context Chapter 2. How aid for trade facilitates regional co-operation Chapter 3. Strategies for mainstreaming regional aid for trade Chapter 4. Case study of Southeast Asia Chapter 5. Case study of the Economic Community of West African States Chapter 6. Case study of Mesoamerica R e g io n a l P e r s p e c t iv e s o n A id f o r T r Consult this publication on line at http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264216037-en. a d e This work is published on the OECD iLibrary, which gathers all OECD books, periodicals and statistical databases. Visit www.oecd-ilibrary.org for more information. ISBN 978-92-64-21602-0 43 2014 05 1 P The Development Dimension Regional Perspectives on Aid for Trade ThisworkispublishedundertheresponsibilityoftheSecretary-GeneraloftheOECD.The opinionsexpressedandargumentsemployedhereindonotnecessarilyreflecttheofficial viewsofOECDmembercountriesorthoseoftheEuropeanUnion. This document and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereigntyoveranyterritory,tothedelimitationofinternationalfrontiersandboundaries andtothenameofanyterritory,cityorarea. Pleasecitethispublicationas: OECD(2014),RegionalPerspectivesonAidforTrade,TheDevelopmentDimension,OECDPublishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264216037-en ISBN978-92-64-21602-0(print) ISBN978-92-64-21603-7(PDF) Series:TheDevelopmentDimension ISSN1990-1380(print) ISSN1990-1372(online) EuropeanUnion Cataloguenumber:NG-01-14-704-EN-C(print) Cataloguenumber:NG-01-14-704-EN-N(PDF) ISBN978-92-79-39662-5(print) ISBN978-92-79-39661-8(PDF) ThestatisticaldataforIsraelaresuppliedbyandundertheresponsibilityofthe relevantIsraeliauthorities.Theuse ofsuchdatabytheOECDiswithoutprejudicetothestatusoftheGolanHeights,EastJerusalemandIsraeli settlementsintheWestBankunderthetermsofinternationallaw. CorrigendatoOECDpublicationsmaybefoundonlineat:www.oecd.org/about/publishing/corrigenda.htm. ©OECD2014 Youcancopy,downloadorprintOECDcontentforyourownuse,andyoucanincludeexcerptsfromOECDpublications,databasesand multimediaproductsinyourowndocuments,presentations,blogs,websitesandteachingmaterials,providedthatsuitable acknowledgmentofthesourceandcopyrightownerisgiven.Allrequestsforpublicorcommercialuseandtranslationrightsshouldbe submittedtorights@oecd.org.Requestsforpermissiontophotocopyportionsofthismaterialforpublicorcommercialuseshallbe addresseddirectlytotheCopyrightClearanceCenter(CCC)[email protected]çaisd’exploitationdudroitdecopie (CFC)[email protected]. 3 FOREWORD – Foreword Increased trade of goods and services has played a big part in the enormous development progress we have seen over the past decades. China alone has lifted more than 600 million people out of poverty after they opened up their economy in the late 1970’s and surged ahead to become the world’s largest exporter. But there is still much progress to be made. Global incomes could be increased by USD 400 billion simply by improving trade rules. Aid for Trade has been a great success and contributed to increased trade in developing countries. As we approach the deadline for the implementation for the Millennium Development Goals, it is becoming increasingly important to provide regional perspectives on the post 2015 development agenda. Progress achieved in the implementation of Millennium Development Goals has been mixed. We see that different regional circumstances require different approaches. The need to adapt global goals to regional and national ones will therefore be an important part of the new post 2015 sustainable development goals. This report on regional approaches to aid for trade is therefore timely and offers practical advice on how developing countries can set regional priorities and co-ordinate better with their neighbours. It is also important that development assistance providers align behind the priorities of developing country governments to promote regional integration. The beginning of a new railway connecting landlocked Burundi, Rwanda, South-Sudan and Uganda with the Kenyan port town of Mombasa is a great example. This Chinese funded project will cut transport costs in half, increase regional trade and improve access to the sea and global trade for four landlocked East African countries. The same factors that contribute to higher trade costs also inhibit regional integration. While there is significant theoretical and empirical evidence to support the view that developing countries can accrue huge benefits from regional cooperation, the ‘groundwork’ of economic integration needs to be in place. This includes transport networks and other infrastructure, human-resource capacity, trade facilitation, and a trade-enabling environment for regional integration. In just five years, exports from Colombia, Mexico and the Central American countries increased by 50% as a result of regional efforts to improve infrastructure and regulatory frameworks. The USD 155 billion of added trade is more than the combined gross domestic products of Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras and Nicaragua! The degree to which countries can benefit from regional integration will be a function of whether they can effectively overcome such trade constraints. As regional development banks and regional economic commissions have long argued, there is a strong case for regionally focused Aid for Trade. For example, the case study on the Economic Community for West African States shows that African countries have for many years embraced a variety of bilateral and regional accords. Still, there is much room for improvement, with intra-African trade remaining well below its potential. REGIONAL PERSPECTIVES ON AID FOR TRADE © OECD 2014 4 –FOREWORD Studies have underlined that African countries could improve regional integration with measures related to hard and soft infrastructure, capacity, trade-related information and contacts, and trade facilitation related issues. Governments, it seems, also tend to be hesitant about funding projects ifthey are unable to capture all the benefits themselves. In addition, implementing regional strategies is complicated by membership of overlapping regional organisations, lack of implementation of regional agreements, poor articulation within national strategiesand national and regional capacity constraints. Yet when developing countries work together and donors support their efforts, the case studies and case stories in this book show that aid for trade initiatives can be effective. As we have seen in Asia and Latin-America, regional aid for trade programmes can help promotegrowth that embraces profits, people and planetary concerns. In the post 2015 development agenda, aid for trade will have a key role to play and in particular in addressing the constraints to regional integration and development. Erik Solheim Chair of the Development Assistance Committee REGIONAL PERSPECTIVES ON AID FOR TRADE© OECD 2014 5 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS– Acknowledgements This study was made possible by a generous grant from the European Union. The principal consultant and main author of this study was Michael G. Plummer, Professor of International Economics, the Johns Hopkins University, SAIS Europe. Consultants for the project included Alissa Tafti (now at the International Trade Commission), RebeccaFreeman (the Johns Hopkins University, SAIS), and Michael Cornish (University of Adelaide). The case studies were undertaken by Federico Macaranas (Professor, Asian Institute of Management), Bernardin Senadza (Senior Lecturer, University of Ghana),and Jorge A. Tovar (Associate Professor of Economics, Los Andes University, Bogota), who were authors of Chapters 4, 5, and 6, respectively. The study benefited from extensive input at all phases of the project from DCD staff, in particular from Frans Lammersen, William Hynes, and Ann Gordon. Earlier drafts of the study were presented at several international conferences, from which the study team was able to receive extremely useful input. These conferences included the OECD Policy Dialogue on Aid for Trade (January 2013, Paris), the WTO Fourth Global Review of Aid for Trade (July 2013, Geneva), the Bali Trade and Investment Forum at the WTO Ninth Ministerial Meeting (December 2013, Bali), and the Experts Group Meeting on Regional Aid for Trade (December 2013, Bologna). The study benefitted greatly from ideas and suggestions from the very diverse views of participants at these meetings, including public officials from OECD, emerging-market, and other developing countries; international organisations; aid-related organisations; private-sector representatives; aid for trade experts; and NGOs. The study also profited from the numerous stakeholders consultations undertaken in Africa, Latin America, Asia, Europe, and the United States for the project. Insights gleaned from these consultations proved to be invaluable. In particular, the study team would like to thank Steven Groff (ADB), Antoni Estevadeordal, (IDB), JoaquinTresViladomat (IDB), Ganeshan Wignaraja (ADBI), Alisa DiCarprio (ADB), Mia Mikic (ESCAP), Alfredo Perdiguero (ADB), Michael Roberts (WTO), MatthewWilson (ITC), Luciana Garcia Nores (IDB), Lilia Mercedes Cordoba (APC-Colombia), Ramesh Subramaniam (ADB), Jerry Odotei (National Development Planning Commission, Ghana), Michael Assibi (Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Regional Integration, Ghana), Obideyi Gbenga (ECOWAS), Kolawale Sofola (ECOWAS), VictorHugo Arellana (SIECA), Reinaldo Morales (OIRSA), Jesús del Barrio Mañas (UE), Rene Rivera (IICA), Walter Leyva (SICA), S.K. Alabo, Lydia Amartey AlaindeRemes, Alejandro Guevara, Alejandro Sarasti, Alexandra Thorsberg, ÁngelAlberto Arita, Carolina Ramirez Patiño, Diego Gonzalez, Fransico Olivett, JorgeAsturias, Juan Carlos Montufar, Laura Escalante, Maria L Ortiz, Martha Zamora, Moises Arquímedes, Regina Vargas, Sandra Orozco, Silvia Constain, and MariaConcepción Alvarez. REGIONAL PERSPECTIVES ON AID FOR TRADE© OECD 2014 7 TABLE OF CONTENTS– Table of contents Acronyms and abbreviations.........................................................................................................11 Executive summary........................................................................................................................17 Overview..........................................................................................................................................19 Chapter 1 Regional aid for trade in a broader context................................................................33 Introduction...................................................................................................................................34 The economics of aid for trade.....................................................................................................36 Trade, structural change and development...................................................................................37 Why regional aid for trade matters in fostering development.......................................................41 Regionalism and development......................................................................................................41 Static and dynamic effects of regional co-operation.....................................................................43 Regional co-operation and integration..........................................................................................45 Conclusions...................................................................................................................................53 Notes.............................................................................................................................................53 References.....................................................................................................................................54 Chapter 2 How aid for trade facilitates regional co-operation...................................................59 Introduction...................................................................................................................................60 Boosting value chains via regional aid for trade...........................................................................62 Regionalism and production networks in developing economies.................................................64 What do partners report as main challenges?................................................................................70 Meeting the regional challenge: Situating regional aid for trade in overall flows........................73 Notes.............................................................................................................................................80 References.....................................................................................................................................81 Annex 2.A1 Regional aid for trade flows by commitments..........................................................82 Chapter 3Strategies for mainstreaming regional aid for trade..................................................87 Introduction...................................................................................................................................88 Regional aid for trade summary and synthesis of the case stories................................................88 Conclusions...................................................................................................................................94 Notes...........................................................................................................................................104 Annex 3.A1 Multi-country and regional aid for trade projects...................................................105 Economic infrastructure..............................................................................................................105 Building productive capacity......................................................................................................108 Trade policy and regulations.......................................................................................................115 Trade-related adjustment............................................................................................................124 Chapter 4Case study of Southeast Asia......................................................................................125 Introduction.................................................................................................................................126 Regional co-operation and integration initiatives in Southeast Asia..........................................128 Opportunities and challenges in regional integration.................................................................132 REGIONAL PERSPECTIVES ON AID FOR TRADE© OECD 2014 8 –TABLE OF CONTENTS Regional aid for trade in Southeast Asia.....................................................................................135 The case stories...........................................................................................................................141 Creating a higher profilefor regional aid for trade.....................................................................145 Co-operation and competition strategies....................................................................................148 Good practices............................................................................................................................149 Conclusions.................................................................................................................................152 Notes...........................................................................................................................................155 Annex 4.A1 Lessons learnt from case stories on binding constraints in Asia.............................157 Chapter 5Case study of the Economic Community of West African States...........................161 Introduction.................................................................................................................................162 Regional co-operation and integration initiatives in Africa........................................................163 Regional co-operation and integration initiatives in West Africa...............................................164 Regional aid-for-trade in ECOWAS...........................................................................................167 Summary.....................................................................................................................................174 Challenges to regional aid for trade in ECOWAS......................................................................175 Lessons learnt.............................................................................................................................178 Conclusions.................................................................................................................................179 Notes...........................................................................................................................................180 References...................................................................................................................................181 Chapter 6Case study of Mesoamerica........................................................................................183 Introduction.................................................................................................................................184 Mesoamerica in the global context.............................................................................................184 Aid for trade in Mesoamerica.....................................................................................................194 The status of regional and multi-country projects......................................................................201 Implementation issues and challenges of aidfor trade in Mesoamerica.....................................205 Lessons learnt.............................................................................................................................209 Conclusions.................................................................................................................................212 Notes...........................................................................................................................................216 References...................................................................................................................................218 Tables Table 2.1. Overview of constraints to intra-and extra-regional trade.......................................71 Table 4.1. SWOT matrix for increasing regional aid for trade to ASEAN.............................145 Table 5.1 Exportsof ECOWAS to the ECOWAS sub-region and the rest of the world........166 Table 5.2. Sub-regional aid for trade disbursements...............................................................168 Table 5.3. Aid for trade flows to ECOWAS sub-region, 2006-11..........................................169 Table 6.1. Roads in Mesoamerica (2009)................................................................................191 Table 6.2. Infrastructure, business and trade facilitation indicators........................................194 Table 6.3. Aid for trade strategy priority ranking....................................................................197 Table 6.4. Project distribution per sector.................................................................................201 Table 6.5.A. Mesoamerican FTA agreements compared to rest of world...................................214 Table 6.5.B. Trade agreements within Mesoamerica..................................................................215 Table 6.5.C. Infrastructure, business and trade facilitation indicators: Mesoamerica.................215 REGIONAL PERSPECTIVES ON AID FOR TRADE© OECD 2014

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