DDIIRREECCTTIIOONNSS IINN DDEEVVEELLOOPPMMEENNTT THE WORLD BANK Reforming Fiscal and Economic Management in Afghanistan MICHAEL CARNAHAN, NICK MANNING, RICHARD BONTJER, STÉPHANE GUIMBERT, EDITORS DIRECTIONS IN DEVELOPMENT Reforming Fiscal and Economic Management in Afghanistan Michael Carnahan, Nick Manning, Richard Bontjer, and Stéphane Guimbert Editors Islamic Republic of Afghanistan THE WORLD BANK Washington, D.C. © 2004 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/THEWORLDBANK 1818 H Street, NW Washington, DC 20433 USA Telephone 202-473-1000 Internet www.worldbank.org E-mail [email protected] All rights reserved First printing 1 2 3 4 07 06 05 04 The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed here are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Board of Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. 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Cover design by Richard Fletcher of Fletcher Design. ISBN 0-8213-5786-7 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Datahas been applied for. Contents Contributors vii Acknowledgments viii Acronyms ix Glossary of Dari Terms xi Dates and Currency xiii Calendar xiii Currency xiii Preface xiv Introduction xvii PARTI. THE JOURNEY SO FAR 1 1. Fiscal Management in Afghanistan—Major Achievements and Current challenges 3 Introduction 3 The Consequences of Conflict on Fiscal Management 4 Fiscal Management in Afghanistan 6 Progress in Revenue 7 Developments in the Ordinary Budget 12 Financial Management System 20 Procurement 21 Audit 22 Development Budget 23 Conclusion 29 Notes 29 iii iv CONTENTS 2. Executing the Budget Outside of Kabul 31 The Problem 31 Provincial Allotments for Non-Salary Expenditures Are Generally Low 32 Non-Salary Expenditures Are Even Lower Than the Allotments 34 Cash Flow Restrictions Exacerbate Execution Problems 38 Provincial Budget Allotments for Salary Expenditures Can Be Low 39 Challenges in the Payroll Process 40 Policy Implications 43 Notes 47 3. Case Studies in Post-Conflict Budgeting 48 Introduction 48 Post-Conflict Budgeting in East Timor 50 Post-Conflict Budgeting in Eritrea 59 Post-Conflict Budgeting in Uganda 62 Notes 64 PART II. CURRENT PRIORITIES 65 4. Priorities for Reform in Post-Conflict Finance Ministries 67 Introduction 67 Desirable Functions for a Ministry of Finance 68 Political Accountabilities—One Minister or More? 72 Note 80 5. Making the New Fiscal Constitution Work 81 APresidential System for a Unitary State 81 Implications of the 2004 Constitution 82 The Role of the Parliament 89 Conclusions and Recommendations 91 Notes 92 6. Budget Law Reform 94 Introduction 94 The Objectives of a Budget System Law 94 The Current Budget law 100 ANew Budget System Law 101 Implementation of the New Budget System Law 106 Note 106 CONTENTS v 7. Fiscal Management for the Provincial Municipalities 107 Summary 107 Municipalities within the Larger Public Sector 108 Municipal Institutional Structures 109 The Future Role of Municipalities in Implementation 114 AStrategy for Extending the Role of Afghanistan Municipalities in Reconstruction 120 Notes 122 8. Next Steps in Reforming the Ministry of Finance 123 Introduction 123 Developing Consensus on the Core Business 124 From Theory to Practice 131 Tasks That the Ministry Should Not Undertake 142 Managing Transition 144 Notes 148 References 150 Tables 1. Traditional Process for Executing Non-Salary Payments 35 2. SY1381 Budget Execution, by Expenditure Category 37 3. Problems and Solutions in the Payroll Process 44 4. Functions and organizational responsibilities in the Ministry of Finance 73 5. Options for Political Accountability 78 6. Budget Amendment Powers of National Legislatures 86 7. Legal and Institutional Framework of Budget Systems 103 8. Structure of the Public Expenditure and Financial Management Law for Afghanistan 104 9. Provincial Municipalities: Revenues and Expenditures for 1381, in afghanis 112 10. Provincial Municipalities: Staffing Structure for 1381 113 11. Employment Authorities for Staff 113 12. District Administrations by Province 115 13. Formal Central/Local Relationships in Afghanistan 117 14. Sources of, and Means of Reducing, Fiduciary Risk 119 Figures 1. Delays in Salary Payments for the Provinces(excluding police) 21 2. Execution of the Development Budget—SY1382 28 3. Distribution of SY1382 First-Quarter Allotments, Center versus Provinces 34 vi CONTENTS 4. The Budget Cycle 125 5. Planned Structure of the Ministry of Finance 134 6. Planned Revenue Structures (Headquarters) 136 7. Planned Revenue Structures (Provinces) 137 8. Planned Customs Department 138 9. Planned Treasury Department 139 10. Planned Budget Department 140 11. Planned Department for Administrative Services 141 Boxes 1. Passage of the 1381 Budget 14 2. The Politics of the Defense Budget 15 3. Developments in Payroll Processing and Salary Payments 22 4. Issues in Managing the Development Budget 24 5. The National Development Framework 26 6. Tashkeel versus Takhsis (Allotment) 40 7. Managing the Payroll in Remote Districts 42 8. New Allotment Procedures for 1383 46 9. Organizational Restructuring Needed in Kabul Municipality 118 10. Who Is Responsible for Civil Service Policy? 143 Contributors Ehtisham Ahmad: Division Chief, IMF Richard Bontjer: Advisor, Ministry of Finance, Transitional Islamic State of Afghanistan Nicholas Calcoen: Technical Assistance Advisor, IMF Michael Carnahan: Advisor, Ministry of Finance, Transitional Islamic State of Afghanistan Piyush Desai: Senior Economist, IMF Bill Dorotinsky: Lead Public Sector Specialist, World Bank Anne Evans: Consultant, World Bank Ashraf Ghani: Minister of Finance, Transitional Islamic State of Afghanistan Soraya Goga: Urban Specialist, World Bank Stéphane Guimbert: Economist, World Bank Malcolm Holmes: Consultant, World Bank Thierry Kalfon: Economist, IMF Peter Kohnert: Technical Assistance Advisor, IMF Ian Mackintosh:Manager, World Bank Nick Manning: Lead Public Sector Management Specialist, World Bank Peter Middlebrook: Consultant, World Bank Allister Moon: Lead Public Sector Management Specialist, World Bank, formerly Chief Economic Advisor to the Ugandan Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development Bernard Myers: Consultant, World Bank Dimitar Radev:Technical Assistance Adviser, IMF Eivind Tandberg: Deputy Division Chief, IMF Linda van Gelder:Senior Economist, World Bank Gebreselassie Yosief Tesfamichael: Finance Minister of Eritrea from 1997 to 1999, formerly Head of the Office of Management and Budget in the President’s Office Joachim Wehner: Department of Government, London School of Economics and Political Science vii Acknowledgments This edited volume presents an updated series of papers that were first presented at a workshop jointly organized by the World Bank and the Transitional Islamic State of Afghanistan in April 2003. The workshop was proposed by Nick Stern, then Chief Economist of the World Bank, and Ashraf Ghani, Minister of Finance of the Transitional Islamic State of Afghanistan. Materials for the workshop were prepared with guidance from Alastair Mckechnie, World Bank Country Director for Afghanistan, and Sadiq Ahmed, Director, South Asia PREM network, World Bank. Linda van Gelder and Sarah Cliffe, from the World Bank, and James Wallar, from the U.S. Treasury, sent additional materials and useful comments. Many other colleagues from the Government of Afghanistan and from the World Bank are also acknowledged and thanked for their valuable contributions and comments. Al Friendly and Juliet Teodosio assisted in the preparation of the papers for this publication. The study builds on an array of previous analytic and operational reports prepared by the Transitional Islamic State of Afghanistan, the World Bank, and other organizations—very particularly including: “Securing Afghanistan’s Future: Accomplishments and the Strategic Path Forward—Prepared for International Conference, March 31–April 1, 2004.” 2004. Kabul: Transitional Islamic State of Afghanistan and interna- tional agencies. Found on the Internet at http://www.af/recosting/index.html. “Mid Term Budget Review.” 2003. Kabul: Transitional Islamic State of Afghanistan. Many more detailed explanations of the existing institutional arrange- ments are provided in a joint Afghanistan Research and Evaluation Unit/World Bank publication: Evans, Anne, Nick Manning, Yasin Osmani, Anne Tully, and Andrew Wilder. 2004. AGuide to Government in Afghanistan. Kabul: AREU and the World Bank. viii
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