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Publication Bias in Meta-Analysis: Prevention, Assessment and Adjustments PDF

376 Pages·2005·7.92 MB·English
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Publication Bias in Meta-Analysis Prevention, Assessment and Adjustments Edited by HANNAH R. ROTHSTEIN ZicklinSchoolofBusiness,BaruchCollege,USA ALEXANDER J. SUTTON UniversityofLeicester,UK MICHAEL BORENSTEIN BiostatInc,USA Publication Bias in Meta-Analysis Publication Bias in Meta-Analysis Prevention, Assessment and Adjustments Edited by HANNAH R. ROTHSTEIN ZicklinSchoolofBusiness,BaruchCollege,USA ALEXANDER J. SUTTON UniversityofLeicester,UK MICHAEL BORENSTEIN BiostatInc,USA Copyright©2005 JohnWiley&SonsLtd,TheAtrium,SouthernGate,Chichester, WestSussexPO198SQ,England Telephone (+44)1243779777 Email(forordersandcustomerserviceenquiries):[email protected] VisitourHomePageonwww.wiley.com AllRightsReserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystemor transmittedinanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,recording,scanningor otherwise,exceptunderthetermsoftheCopyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988orunderthetermsof alicenceissuedbytheCopyrightLicensingAgencyLtd,90TottenhamCourtRoad,LondonW1T4LP, UK,withoutthepermissioninwritingofthePublisher.RequeststothePublishershouldbeaddressed tothePermissionsDepartment,JohnWiley&SonsLtd,TheAtrium,SouthernGate,Chichester,West SussexPO198SQ,England,[email protected],orfaxedto(+44)1243770620. 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OtherWileyEditorialOffices JohnWiley&SonsInc.,111RiverStreet,Hoboken,NJ07030,USA Jossey-Bass,989MarketStreet,SanFrancisco,CA94103-1741,USA Wiley-VCHVerlagGmbH,Boschstr.12,D-69469Weinheim,Germany JohnWiley&SonsAustraliaLtd,42McDougallStreet,Milton,Queensland4064,Australia JohnWiley&Sons(Asia)PteLtd,2ClementiLoop#02-01,JinXingDistripark,Singapore129809 JohnWiley&SonsCanadaLtd,22WorcesterRoad,Etobicoke,Ontario,CanadaM9W1L1 Wileyalsopublishesitsbooksinavarietyofelectronicformats.Somecontentthatappearsinprint maynotbeavailableinelectronicbooks. LibraryofCongressCataloginginPublicationData Rothstein,Hannah. Publicationbiasinmeta-analysis:prevention,assessmentandadjustments/HannahRothstein, AlexSutton,MichaelBorenstein. p. cm. Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. ISBN0-470-87014-1(cloth) 1. Meta-analysis. 2. Meta-analysis—Miscellanea. 3. Medicine—Research—Evaluation. I. Sutton,A.J. II. Borenstein,Michael. III. Title. R853.M48R682005 610(cid:1).72—dc22 2005021394 BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary ISBN-13978-0-470-87014-3(HB) ISBN-100-470-87014-1(HB) Typesetin10/12ptTimesbyIntegraSoftwareServicesPvt.Ltd,Pondicherry,India PrintedandboundinGreatBritainbyTJInternational,Padstow,Cornwall Thisbookisprintedonacid-freepaperresponsiblymanufacturedfromsustainableforestry inwhichatleasttwotreesareplantedforeachoneusedforpaperproduction. This book is dedicated to the memory of Richard Tweedie, who played a key role in planning this volume but, sadly, did not live to see it completed. This book is part of his legacy. Contents Preface ix Acknowledgements xi Notes on Contributors xiii Chapter 1 Publication Bias in Meta-Analysis 1 HannahR.Rothstein,AlexanderJ.Suttonand MichaelBorenstein Part A Publication bias in context 9 Chapter2 PublicationBias:RecognizingtheProblem,Understanding Its Origins and Scope, and Preventing Harm 11 KayDickersin Chapter 3 Preventing Publication Bias: Registries and Prospective Meta-Analysis 35 JesseA.BerlinandDavinaGhersi Chapter 4 Grey Literature and Systematic Reviews 49 SallyHopewell,MikeClarkeandSueMallett Part B Statistical methods for assessing publication bias 73 Chapter 5 The Funnel Plot 75 JonathanA.C.Sterne,BetsyJaneBeckerandMatthiasEgger Chapter 6 Regression Methods to Detect Publication and Other Bias in Meta-Analysis 99 JonathanA.C.SterneandMatthiasEgger Chapter 7 Failsafe N or File-Drawer Number 111 BetsyJaneBecker Chapter 8 The Trim and Fill Method 127 SueDuval viii CONTENTS Chapter 9 Selection Method Approaches 145 LarryV.HedgesandJackVevea Chapter 10 Evidence Concerning the Consequences of Publication and Related Biases 175 AlexanderJ.Sutton Chapter 11 Software for Publication Bias 193 MichaelBorenstein Part C Advanced and emerging approaches 221 Chapter 12 Bias in Meta-Analysis Induced by Incompletely Reported Studies 223 AlexanderJ.SuttonandThereseD.Pigott Chapter 13 Assessing the Evolution of Effect Sizes over Time 241 ThomasA.TrikalinosandJohnP.A.Ioannidis Chapter 14 Do Systematic Reviews Based on Individual Patient Data Offer a Means of Circumventing Biases Associated with Trial Publications? 261 LesleyStewart,JayneTierneyandSarahBurdett Chapter 15 Differentiating Biases from Genuine Heterogeneity: Distinguishing Artifactual from Substantive Effects 287 JohnP.A.Ioannidis Chapter 16 Beyond Conventional Publication Bias: Other Determinants of Data Suppression 303 ScottD.HalpernandJesseA.Berlin Appendices 319 Appendix A Data Sets 321 Appendix B Annotated Bibliography 331 HannahR.RothsteinandAshleyBusing Glossary 347 Index 353

Description:
Publication bias is the tendency to decide to publish a study based on the results of the study, rather than on the basis of its theoretical or methodological quality. It can arise from selective publication of favorable results, or of statistically significant results. This threatens the validity o
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