Operations Management Outlook APICS Connection Live May 19, 2009 The Economy Employment Trend In the last 16 months, the U.S. economy has lost 5.7 million jobs. 1990 Recession 2001 Recession February 2009 Recent Headlines Caterpillar Speeds Up Layoff Plans –Associated Press Alcoa Reaches Deal To Save Jobs, Cuts Aluminum Output -Wall Street Journal UK Manufacturers Report Pay Freezes, Deferments -Financial Times Honda North America Announces Production, Pay Cuts -Wall Street Journal 4 The Economic Outlook Recent Headlines Firms Race to Regain Control over Inventories –Wall Street Journal Manufacturing Crash Empties Inventories, Sets Stage for Rebound - Bloomberg Economy Sinks Under Weight of Inventory -Washington Post Durable Goods Orders Unexpectedly Rise 3.4 Percent -Bloomberg 6 Employment Outlook –Who Is Hardest Hit Nationally? (3/09) • In March 2009, states with the highest unemployment were – Michigan 12.6 percent – Oregon 12.1 percent – South Carolina 11.4 percent – California 11.2 percent * – North Carolina 10.8 percent * – Rhode Island 10.5 percent – Nevada 10.4 percent – Indiana 10.0 percent * Unemployment rates are the highest on record for these states. (All state series began in 1976.) Source: http://www.bls.gov/news.release/laus.nr0.htm Unemployment Trend Is Improving- But Difficulties Remain • The Conference Board Employment Trends Index (ETI) "While we see a continued sharp fall in the ETI, the decline was not as strong as in the previous four months, suggesting that the most intense stage of job losses may be behind us…” Source: www.conference-board.org/economics/employment.cfm • ISM April 2009 Report on Business Survey RESPONDENTS ARE SAYING ... – "International customers are having trouble getting cash for new orders, even though they need/want the equipment." (Computer & Electronic Products) – "Starting to see some signs of increased production and demand from some automotive customers." (Fabricated Metal Products) – "Business conditions continue to be soft, but agriculture-related products are still quite bullish." (Machinery) – "We are optimistic that things will change for the better in 3Q." (Chemical Products) – "Starting to hear of slight upticks in orders from some sectors of our business but not all." (Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components) Source: www.ism.ws/ISMReport/MfgROB.cfm?navItemNumber=12942 8 APICS Support APICS Support • In 2009, we added services and content to help members navigate this economy. – Enhanced APICS magazine and Operations Management Now editorial coverage of the economy – Continued distribution of economy related APICS content to higher level executives – Extended unemployed member benefits to up to 18 months to help our members – Developed a strategy for increasing Career Center job postings – Engaged career coach – Updated Market Yourself – Created a new e-membership option for young professionals – Collaborated with the Supply Chain Council – Launched a presence on Facebook, LinkedIn, and YouTube – Developed the new, quarterly APICS Compensation and Employment Outlook Survey – Expanded the focus of APICS to industries outside manufacturing 10
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