National Aeronautics and Space Administration Environmentally Responsible Aviation (ERA) Project AAsssseessssiinngg PPrrooggrreessss TToowwaarrdd SSiimmuullttaanneeoouuss RReedduuccttiioonnss iinn NNooiissee, FFuueell Burn and NOx Craig Nickol VSI Systems Analysis Element Lead Environmentally Responsible Aviation (ERA) Project, NASA Topics Addressed • ERA Project Metrics Evolution • EERRAA PPoorrttffoolliioo AAnnaallyyssiiss SSttaattuuss Measuring Progress Towards our Goal ((TToopp ddoowwnn aanndd BBoottttoommss UUpp)) 2 ERA Project Overview, Flow And Key Decision Point for Phase 2 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 Prior Key Decision Formulation Research Point ffor PPhhase 22 External Phase 1 Investigations Input Initial NRAs Phase 2 EERRAA SSyysstteemmss AAnnaallyyssiiss PPhhase 22 IInvesttiigattiions Decision Support Task Planning $$6600.00MM $$6633.11MM $$6655.11MM $$6611.77MM $$5577.44MM $$5577.44MM Technical input from Fundamental Programs, NRAs, Industry, Academia, Other Gov’t Agencies Refer to Title Slide for Distribution Restrictions ERA Goals, Objectives & System Level Metrics ERA Goal N+1 = 2015** N+2 = 2020** N+3 = 2025** TTeecchhnnoollooggyy BBeenneeffiittss RReellaattiivvee TTeecchhnnoollooggyy BBeenneeffiittss RReellaattiivvee TTeecchhnnoollooggyy BBeenneeffiittss To a Single Aisle Reference To a Large Twin Aisle Configuration Reference Configuration NNooiissee -32 dB -42 dB -71 dB (cum below Stage 4) LTO NO Emissions x -60% -75% better than -75% (below CAEP 6) Performance: -33% -50% better than -70% Aircraft Fuel Burn Performance: -33% -50% expploit metro-pplex* conceppts FFiieelldd LLeennggtthh **Technology Readiness Level for key technologies = 4-6. ERA will undertake a time phased approach, TRL 6 by 2015 for “long-pole” technologies * Concepts that enable optimal use of runways at multiple airports within the metropolitan area 4 In 2005, market opportunities drove the development of the system level metrics The market was predicting there would be a single aisle ((BB773377//AA332200)) rreeppllaacceemmeenntt aaiirrccrraafftt bbyy 22001155* – This drove the N+1 focus and metrics to be referenced to SOA single aisle Also, we projected about 10 years later there would be a large twin aisle (B777) replacement – This drove the the N+2 focus, and metrics to be referenced to the SSOOAA llaarrggee ttwwiinn aaiissllee Chinese C919, 168-190 seat class and Russian MC-21, 150-212 seat class * First Flights in 2014? 5 Market Opportunities - Current Forecast • Beyond 2015, before 2020 – New engines (GTF, LEAP-X) – A320 New Engine Option – RRee-eennggiinnee BB773377?? • Beyond 2020, before 2025 – CONVENTIONAL THINKING – SSiinglle AAiislle RRepllacementt ((BB773377//AA332200)) • High probability tube and wing, adv engine (open rotor)/combustors, advanced structures, plus laminar flow – LLaarrggee TTwwiinn AAiissllee RReeppllaacceemmeenntt ((BB777777, eettcc)) • High probability tube and wing, advanced engine/combustors, advanced structures, laminar flow, but HWB likely to be evaluated as serious contender • 2025 and BEYOND – UNCONVENTIONAL THINKING – WHAT IF REPLACEMENTS SLIP TO RIGHT? – NNAASSAA NN++22 aanndd NN++33 ssttuddiieess iiddeennttiiffyiinngg kkeey, ttiimmee-pphhaasseedd tteecchhnnoollooggy rrooaaddmmaappss, aanndd “system ready” unconventional configurations • Joined wing, trussed braced wing, double bubble, HWB, etc. •• HHyybbrriidd//JJPP88//bbaatttteerryy, ccrryyoo-ccoooolliinngg, llooww eenneerrggyy nnuucclleeaarr rreeaaccttoorrss, eettcc…. 6 Assess impacts of technology investments on market opppportunities Re-engine/Retrofits Replacement Replacement 2010 Assessment Conventional Unconventional RRegiionall JJett RREEFF – CCRRJJ990000//CCFF3344-88 Re-engine/Retrofits Replacement Replacement REF – CRJ900/CF34-8 REF – CRJ900/CF34-8 2010 Assessment Conventional Unconventional Single Aisle Re-engine/Retrofits Replacement Replacement Noise 2010 Assessment Conventional Unconventional ((ccuumm bbeellooww SSttaaggee 44)) SSmallll TTwiin AAiislle Re-engine/Retrofits Replacement Replacement 2010N Aosisseessment Conventional Unconventional LTO NO Emissions x (cuLma rbgeelo Tww Sinta Ageis 4le) Re-engine/Retrofits Replacement Replacement (below CAEP 6) 2010N Aoissseessment Conventional Unconventional LTO NO Emissions ((ccummPP eebbrrVVffeeooeellrroommxxrrwyyaa nnLLSSccaatteeaarr::ggggeeee 44)) (below CAEP 6) Aircraft Fuel Burn Noise LTO NO Emissions (cumP ebrefolorxmwa nSctea:ge 4) TIME (below CAEP 6) NOWAircraft NFuoeisl eBurn 2025 + LTO NO Emissions ((ccuummPPee bbrrffeeoorrllooxxmmwwaann SScceettaa::ggee 44)) TIME (below CAEP 6) Aircraft Fuel Burn NOW 2025 + LTO NO Emissions x Performance: (below CAEP 6) TIME Aircraft Fuel Burn NOW 2025 + PPeerrffoorrmmaannccee:: TIME Aircraft Fuel Burn NOW 2025 + TIME NOW 2025 + 7 ERA Systems Analysis Overview ERA systems analysis tasks for measuring progress towards our goal • “Top Down” Methodology Overview • Conceppt Modelingg Results Summaryy • Large Twin Aisle Class Advanced Tube + Wing and HWB GGeeoorrggiiaa TTeecchh’ss AAeerroossppaaccee SSyysstteemmss DDeessiiggnn LLaabb ((AASSDDLL)) iiss supporting ERA to perform this analysis ERA N+2 Technology Database (3rd Iteration Completed August 2010) ERA Technology Database Development Approach: • Multiple Data Sources: ERA Phase 1 Project Plans GA Tech JPDO/FAA EDS Database NNAASSAA NN++33 NNRRAA RReeppoorrttss FAP/SFW Planning Reports ERA Project Engineers ERA Discipline Experts • Technologies with TRL too low or too high for ERA were removed TTeecchhnnoollooggyy DDaattaabbaassee AAnnaallyyssiiss RReeppoorrtt iinncclluuddeess:: • Technology Description Technology Compatibility Matrix Shows Interactions for 65 Technologies • Current and Projected TRLs • Technology Compatibility Matrix (interactions for 65 Technologies • Summary Spreadsheet (19 airframe technologies; 46 engine technologies) • Projected benefits and impacts • Modeling approach in EDS Initial Technology “Collectors” Advanced Tube and Wing Hybrid Wing Body Engine Options: Advanced direct drive GGearedd TTurbboffan Open Rotor • Potential ERA airframe and engine technology packages iinnssttaalllleedd oonn bbootthh ccoonnvveennttiioonnaall aanndd aaddvvaanncceedd ccoonnffiigguurraattiioonnss • Fuel burn, noise and emissions are estimated using models developed in NASA’s standard toolset (NPSS/WATE, FLOPS, ANOPP) which has been iinntteeggrraatteedd iinnttoo GGaa TTeecchh’’ss EEnnvviirroonnmmeennttaall DDeessiiggnn SSppaaccee ((EEDDSS)) ttooooll • EDS can feed global tools in AEDT for fleet level global impact estimates •• SSeeeekkiinngg aaddddiittiioonnaall tteecchhnnoollooggyy ccoolllleeccttoorr aaddvvaanncceedd ccoonnffiigguurraattiioonnss tthhrroouugghh NNRRAA aanndd in-house efforts