S.N. Glazer Mine Seismology: Seismic Warning Concept Case Study from Vaal Reefs Gold Mine, South Africa Mine Seismology: Seismic Warning Concept S.N. Glazer Mine Seismology: Seismic Warning Concept Case Study from Vaal Reefs Gold Mine, South Africa 123 S.N. Glazer Retired Mine Seismology Consultant Phalaborwa SouthAfrica ISBN978-3-319-62352-8 ISBN978-3-319-62353-5 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-62353-5 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2017952934 ©SpringerInternationalPublishingAG2018 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission orinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfrom therelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authorsortheeditorsgiveawarranty,expressorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinor for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictionalclaimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. Disclaimer:Thefactsandopinionsexpressedinthisworkarethoseoftheauthor(s)andnotnecessarily thoseofthepublisher. Coverillustration:©bucky_za/GettyImages/iStockimage187345958 Printedonacid-freepaper ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbySpringerNature TheregisteredcompanyisSpringerInternationalPublishingAG Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland A wise man will receive warning, but a fool will sooner be smitten in the face. —Coverdale, Proverbs 10:8 I dedicate this book to all those who contributed towards mine seismology when it was based on analogue technology. At that time, being a seismologist analysing and interpreting data recorded by mine networks required not only sound knowledge but also exceptional commitment. It is not surprising that their research results are still validtoday and are not replaceable by the today’s research. My special appreciation goes to those that were associated with the Klerksdorp Mine Managers Association’s Regional Seismic Network. Preface The events described in this book took place between the years 1990 and 2000 at theSouthAfricangoldmineVaalReefs.Myfirstbook(Glazer2016)describesmy experience as a mine seismologist at Palabora Mining Company (PMC), a South African copper mine, from 2002 until 2013. These two periods of my life enabled metomakecertainstatementsontheconditionofmineseismologyinSouthAfrica as it stands at the end of 2016. Probably less controversial, my first conclusion is that there is a place for seismology in the mines. The problem is that most mining personnel are not convinced that there are any benefits from the use of seismic monitoring. The nonbelievers exist both among the mine managers and the tech- nical staff. The former are sceptical because they must balance the costs and ben- efits, which is understandable because this is their job. On technical matters, they depend on technical staff. The latter, on the other hand, can be divided into those that know nothing and those that think that they know everything about mine seismology. In my over twenty years of being a mine seismologist, I have come acrossonlytwominingengineerswhounderstoodmineseismology.WhatIfound strange was that very often the technical personnel were more concerned about saving money for the mine in the short term rather than investing in mine seis- mology for any future benefits. The reason for this situation is at least twofold. Installationoftheseismicnetworkinthemineonitsowndoesn’tintroduceany immediate benefits. These come with time, but only when the seismic network is managed by a professional mine seismologist. That is the second part of the problem: there are no professional mine seismologists available to work at the mines.Theminemanagerassuchisnotinterestedinexaminingrecordedseismicity inthebackanalysismode.Itdoesn’tmatterifthesebackanalysisexamplesareofa highstandardorarepurefiction.Theyareaboutthepastandofnohelptothemine. Whatcountsatthemineisproductionandwhatcanmakeincreaseitand/ormakeit safer.Thatiswhyrecordedseismicdatahastocontributetowardstoday’sneedsin themine.And thiscanbedoneonly when theprofessionalmineseismologistisat the place where the action is, which is at the mine. If he is a professional seis- mologist, then he will be able to prove to the mine management that seismic monitoringbenefitsthemine.I know this from my experience. The sad part ofthe ix x Preface story is that it was often easier to convince a mine manager than a rock engineer. My best practical applications of mine seismology came when I was not related to the Rock Engineering Section. At Vaal Reefs I was working directly for the KlerksdorpMineManagersAssociation,andatPMCtheseismicnetworkwaspart oftheCaveManagementSection.Forsure,theremusthavebeenareasonforthis. Ibelievethatmostoftherock-engineeringpersonnelemployedbythemines(at least in South Africa) have no proper knowledge of mine seismology. Knowledge of any technical subject must be based on sound science. If not, then it is fiction, anditdoesn’tmatterifthisfictionismixedwithsomescience.Itisstillfiction.This fiction, when introduced into industry, awakens false expectations that cannot be achieved. This then degrades mine seismology as a science. As a result, mine management doesn’t see any use for it. It will still purchase seismic systems and then appoint amateurs to operate them. In this way, they have done what a rea- sonable manager would do by installing the system. They are then doing what a goodmanagerwoulddobyreducingtheworkingcosts.Asaresult,thereareplenty of operational seismic systems at the mines but there are no practical results. Lack of those convinces the industry that mine seismology is of no use. At the present time, mine seismology is in serious regression. This applies to theory and practice. The good news is the recording hardware for digital seismic systems.Itisgoodand,whatisevenmoreimportant:ithasbeentestedinpractice. We know that the seismic-system hardware operates in difficult conditions, and there is no problem with this part of mine seismology. The setback starts with the use of the recorded data. With the introduction of digital seismic recording, it was assumed that all or most of the existing theory is wrong and that it has to be rewrittenfromthebeginning.Fromthestart,thiswasnotaconcepttotestbutwas treated as an axiom. The mining industry was bombarded with new ideas and concepts.Itbecameunclearwhatisaconceptthatstillrequirestestingandwhatisa pure concept. New theory was presented as being very complex and wrapped in terminology that was difficult to understand. In this way, mine seismology that, during the analogue age, had sound theory that resulted in numerous practical applications became a “black box”. Under such conditions, mine after mine out- sourcedmanagementofitsseismicsystems.Thesituationsbecameridiculous.The contractor assumed the role of deciding what the mine requirements from seismic monitoring might be. In this way, mine seismology and the mine industry went in two different directions. I hope that this book will be read not only by those that are interested in mine seismology but also by the present and future technical mine managers. This book is full of examples where properly used seismic data enabled solving production problems and increasing the underground safety standards. I want to believe that, when given the opportunity, mine seismology will return to the mines. Phalaborwa, South Africa S.N. Glazer Preface xi Reference GlazerSN(2016)Mineseismology:dataanalysisandinterpretation.Palaboraminecavingprocess as revealed by induced seismicity, Springer International Publishing, Switzerland, ISBN 978-3-319-32611-5 Contents 1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 2 Seismicity of the Klerksdorp Goldfields and the Resulting Seismic Hazard. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 2.1 History of Gold Mining in the Klerksdorp Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 2.2 Seismicity of South Africa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 2.3 The Klerksdorp Regional Seismic Network . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 2.4 Severity of the Klerksdorp Goldfields Seismic Hazard . . . . . . . . 29 2.5 Upgrade of the Klerksdorp Regional Seismic Network . . . . . . . . 39 2.6 Use of Seismic Data in the Calculation of Support Resistance for Rock-Burst Conditions at Vaal Reefs. . . . . . . . . . 44 2.7 Summary and Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 3 Concept of Apparent Stress Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 3.1 Apparent Stress Index and the Energy Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 3.2 Development of the Apparent Stress Index Concept 1991–1992. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 3.2.1 Contour Maps of Apparent Stress Index . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 3.2.2 Contour Maps of Apparent Stress Values . . . . . . . . . . . 65 3.3 Examples of Applications of the Stress Index Concept (1991–1993). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 3.3.1 Back Analysis of a Large Seismic Event that Occurred on 1 December 1991 at No. 5 Shaft Vaal Reefs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68 3.3.2 Interpretation of Seismic Data Recorded in the Vicinity of the Clemcor Dyke from September 1990 to September 1991 . . . . . . . . . . . 72 3.3.3 Back Analysis of a Large Seismic Event that Occurred on 19 June 1992 at No. 9 Shaft Vaal Reefs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 xiii
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