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356 Pages·2009·3.096 MB·English
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Macroeconomic Theory and Macroeconomic Pedagogy Macroeconomic Theory and Macroeconomic Pedagogy Editedby Giuseppe Fontana UniversityofLeeds,UK,andUniversityofSannio,Italy and Mark Setterfield TrinityCollege,Hartford,USA Selectionandeditorialcontent©GiuseppeFontanaandMarkSetterfield2009 Foreword©CarlE.Walsh2009 Individualchapters©contributors2009 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2009 978-0-230-20203-0 Allrightsreserved.Noreproduction,copyortransmissionofthis publicationmaybemadewithoutwrittenpermission. Noportionofthispublicationmaybereproduced,copiedortransmitted savewithwrittenpermissionorinaccordancewiththeprovisionsofthe Copyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988,orunderthetermsofanylicence permittinglimitedcopyingissuedbytheCopyrightLicensingAgency, SaffronHouse,6–10KirbyStreet,LondonEC1N8TS. Anypersonwhodoesanyunauthorizedactinrelationtothispublication maybeliabletocriminalprosecutionandcivilclaimsfordamages. Theauthorshaveassertedtheirrightstobeidentified astheauthorsofthisworkinaccordancewiththeCopyright, DesignsandPatentsAct1988. Firstpublished2009by PALGRAVEMACMILLAN PalgraveMacmillanintheUKisanimprintofMacmillanPublishersLimited, registeredinEngland,companynumber785998,ofHoundmills,Basingstoke, HampshireRG216XS. PalgraveMacmillanintheUSisadivisionofStMartin’sPressLLC, 175FifthAvenue,NewYork,NY10010. PalgraveMacmillanistheglobalacademicimprintoftheabovecompanies andhascompaniesandrepresentativesthroughouttheworld. Palgrave®andMacmillan®areregisteredtrademarksintheUnitedStates, theUnitedKingdom,Europeandothercountries. ISBN 978-0-230-27763-2 ISBN 978-0-230-29166-9 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-0-230-29166-9 Thisbookisprintedonpapersuitableforrecyclingandmadefromfully managedandsustainedforestsources.Logging,pulpingandmanufacturing processesareexpectedtoconformtotheenvironmentalregulationsofthe countryoforigin. AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary. AcatalogrecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheLibraryofCongress. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 09 Transferred to Digital Printing in 2010 Contents ListofFigures vii ListofAppendices x NotesontheContributors xi ForewordbyCarlE.Walsh xix MacroeconomicTheoryandMacroeconomicPedagogy: AnIntroduction 1 GiuseppeFontanaandMarkSetterfield PartI The3-EquationNewConsensus MacroeconomicModel 1 TeachingIntermediateMacroeconomicsusing the3-EquationModel 13 WendyCarlinandDavidSoskice 2 BringingUndergraduateMacroeconomicsTeachingUptoDate 36 SimonWren-Lewis 3 MonetaryPolicyAnalysis:AnUndergraduateToolkit 55 JagjitS.Chadha 4 RescuingtheLM Curve(andtheMoneyMarket)in aModernMacroCourse 76 RobertoTamborini 5 TheNewConsensusinMacroeconomics:ACriticalAppraisal 100 PhilipArestis 6 ComplexityandMacroPedagogy:TheComplexityVision asaBridgebetweenGraduateandUndergraduateMacro 118 DavidColanderandCaseyRothschild PartII AnEndogenous-MoneyTheoryAmendmentof theNewConsensusMacroeconomicModel 7 TeachingMacroeconomicsWhentheEndogeneityof MoneyisTakenSeriously 131 MalcolmSawyer v vi Contents 8 ASimple(andTeachable)MacroeconomicModel withEndogenousMoney 144 GiuseppeFontanaandMarkSetterfield 9 MoneyandBankinginaRealisticMacroModel 169 PeterHowells PartIII FinancialFragility,LiquidityPreference, UnemploymentHysteresisand OtherAmendments 10 TamingtheNewConsensus:Hysteresisand SomeOtherPostKeynesianAmendments 191 MarcLavoie 11 MinskyMeetWicksell:UsingtheWicksellianModel toUnderstandtheTwenty-FirstCenturyBusinessCycle 214 CharlesL.WeiseandRobertJ.Barbera 12 MacroeconomicsMeetsHymanP.Minsky: TheFinancialTheoryofInvestment 234 L.RandallWrayandEricTymoigne PartIV TheRealInterestRate,IncomeDistribution, andAlternativeViewsofStabilizationPolicies 13 TeachingtheNewConsensusModelof ‘ModernMonetaryEconomics’from aCriticalPerspective:PedagogicalIssues 255 JohnSmithin 14 APostKeynesianAlternativetotheNewConsensus Model 273 EckhardHeinandEngelbertStockhammer 15 TheCentralBankeras‘RegulatorofConflict’: A‘Reversed’ReadingoftheSolowand NewConsensusModels 295 EmilianoBrancaccio 16 Institutions,ExpectationsandAggregateDemand 309 JesusFerreiroandFelipeSerrano Author/NameIndex 323 SubjectIndex 326 List of Figures 1.1 ThelagstructureintheC–S3-equationmodel 15 1.2 ISandPCcurves 18 1.3 Howthecentralbankdecidesontheinterestrate 19 1.4 Responseofthecentralbanktoapositive supply-sideshock,ariseinequilibriumoutput 22 1.5 Combinedcreditcrisisandoilpriceshock: lowerequilibriumoutput 24 1.6 Combinedcreditcrisisandoilpriceshock: unchangedequilibriumoutput 26 1.7 Themonetarypolicyresponsetoapermanent ISshock:theroleoftheslopeoftheIScurve 28 1.8 Inflationshock:theeffectof(a)greaterinflation aversionofthecentralbankand (b)steeperPhillipscurve 29 1.9 Doublelagstructureinthe3-equationmodel 31 1.10 Centralbanklossfunctions:utilitydeclineswith distancefromthe‘blisspoint’ 34 2.1 Usingthetwo-periodmodeltogetanIScurve 42 2.2 Forward-andbackward-lookingPhillipscurves 44 2.3 Atime-linerepresentationofUIP 47 2.4 UIPininterestrate,exchangeratespace 47 3.1 Interestratesandinflationtargets 63 3.2 Two-quadrantdiagram–demandshock 64 3.3 Two-quadrantdiagram–supplyshock 65 3.4 Inflationexpectationaccommodated 66 3.5 Thezeroboundproblem 67 3.6 Thefour-quadrantdiagram 69 4.1 TheADandAS‘gapfunctions’ 86 4.2 Simulationof1%exogenousfallinaggregatedemand 87 4.3 Simulationof1%temporaryincreasein themoneygrowthrate 88 4.4 Simulationof1%exogenousfallinaggregatedemand 90 4.5 Pathofthemoneygrowthrateaftera1%fall inaggregatedemandundertheTaylorrule 92 4.6 (a)Simulationof−1%interest-rategapunder theTaylorrule;(b)pathofthemoneygrowthrate 93 7.1 Simplifiedbalancesheetofabank 134 8.1 Theendogenousmoneysupplyprocess 147 vii viii ListofFigures 8.2 Aconventional(downward-sloping) aggregatedemandschedule 151 8.3 Theaggregateproductionfunction 152 8.4 Theaggregatesupplyschedule 153 8.5 Thegoodsmarket 153 8.6 Equilibriumoutputandemployment 154 8.7 Thelabourmarket 155 8.8 Thestructureofourendogenousmoneymodel 156 8.9 (a)The2007–2008creditcrunchandtheendogenous moneysupplyprocess;(b)theeffectsof the2007–2008creditcrunchonequilibriumoutput andemployment;(c)theeffectsofthe2007–2008 creditcrunchinthelabourmarket 158 8.10 (a)Theclassicalviewandthe(stabilizing)effectsof wageflexibilityinthegoodsmarket;(b)theclassical viewofequilibriumoutputandemployment; (c)theclassicalviewandtheeffectsofwage flexibilityinthelabourmarket 162 8.11 (a)TheKeynesianviewandthe(destabilizing)effects ofwageflexibilityinthegoodsmarket; (b)theKeynesianviewofequilibriumoutputand employment;(c)theKeynesianviewand theeffectsofwageflexibilityinthelabourmarket 164 9.1 Respondingtoaninflationshock 174 9.2 IntroducingtheIScurve 175 9.3 Themonetarysector 178 9.4 ThemonetarysectorandIS–PC–MR 180 9.5 Respondingtoinflation 181 9.6 Thecreditcrunch 183 10.1 Thebasicfour-quadrantNewConsensusmodel 195 10.2 ThePUP:theflatPhillipscurvesegment 198 10.3 TheNewConsensusmodelamendedwithaflat Phillipscurvesegment 198 10.4 Impactofreducingtheinflationtargetin thenewconsensusmodelamendedwith anendogenousnaturalrateofgrowth 204 10.5 Hysteresisingrowthrates:acontinuumofequilibria 206 10.6 Threeviewsofthelong-runimpactofrestrictive monetarypolicies 207 10.7 Thefour-quadrantNewConsensusmodelupgraded withliquiditypreference 209 11.1 The1990stechnologyboomandbust 217 11.2 The2000shousingboomandbust 217 ListofFigures ix 11.3 Creditspreads(BAAcorporatebondrateminus 10-yearTreasuryrate),1960–2008 219 11.4 TheWicksellian(TS–IS–AS)model 221 11.5 Theeffectofariskpremiumshock(increaseinη ) 222 t 11.6 Theeffectofanaturalinterestrateshock (increaseinz ) 223 t 11.7 AMinskyanboom 224 11.8 AMinskyanbust 224 11.9 Estimatednaturalrate,1997–2008 226 11.10 Riskpremium,1997–2008 227 11.11 FederalfundsrateandTaylorrulewithand withoutresponsetoriskpremiumshock,2003–2008 228 12.1 Determinationofthelevelofinvestment 238 13.1 Theeffectsofademandexpansion 261 13.2 Alowerinflationtarget 262 13.3 Ademandexpansioninthealternative monetarymodel 267 13.4 Alowerinflationtargetinthealternative monetarymodel 267 14.1 Conflictingclaims,inflationanddistribution 277 14.2 TheNAIRU:anon-attractor 280 14.3 Aninflationtargetingcentralbankstabilizing theNAIRU 282 14.4 Labourmarketpersistencemechanismsand theNAIRU 284 14.5 Endogenouswageandprofitaspirationsand theNAIRU 285 14.6 Lowinvestment,slowcapitalstockgrowthand theNAIRU 286 14.7 Persistentchangeinthe‘exante’realrateof interestandtheNAIRU 287 14.8 ResultofthePostKeynesianmacroeconomicpolicymix 289

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