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K KUWA AIT PDF

41 Pages·2015·2.92 MB·English
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ECONNOMIC AND SOCIALL COMMISSSION FORR WESTERRN ASIA Unitedd Nations DDevelopmeent Accounnt project Promoting Eneergy Efficieency Investments for Cllimate Chaange Mitiggation andd Sustainaable Devellopment Case studdy KKUWAAIT ANALYYSIS OF EECONOMICCAL AND ENVIRONNMENTAL BENEFITSS OF PROOMOTING ENERGY EFFFICIENCYY IN BUILDDINGS DDeveloped by: MMoncef Krrarti Table of Contents   Abstract .....................................................................................................................................................6  Background ...............................................................................................................................................7  Energy Sector Characteristics....................................................................................................................8  Current Building Energy Efficiency Policies ......................................................................................... 12  Potential of Energy Efficiency in Buildings ........................................................................................... 14  Potential for Commercial Buildings ................................................................................................... 15  Potential for Residential Buildings ..................................................................................................... 16  Assessment Analysis Methodology ........................................................................................................ 20  Economic, Environmental, and Policy Analysis .................................................................................... 22  Energy Savings Analysis .................................................................................................................... 22  Economical and Environmental Analysis........................................................................................... 24  Policy Design Considerations................................................................................................................. 27  Cost-Effectiveness Analysis ............................................................................................................... 27  Job Creation Analysis ......................................................................................................................... 29  Barriers for Energy Efficiency Policies Implementation ....................................................................... 30  Conclusions and Recommendations ....................................................................................................... 31  References .............................................................................................................................................. 33  Appendix A: Building Energy Conservation Code of Practice of 1983 and 2010 ................................. 35  Appendix B: Cost-Effectiveness of Optimal Energy Efficient Designs for Residences in Kuwait ....... 39 List of Figures   Figure 1: Per Capita Carbon Emissions for Selected Countries ....................................................................7  Figure 2: Per Capita Electricity Consumption for Selected MENA Countries (Source: IEA, 2006) ............8  Figure 3: Country Ranking and Level of Energy Consumption Subsidies per Person in US Dollars during 2011 (Source: Capital Standards, 2013) ........................................................................................................8  Figure 4: Annual per Capita Energy Use and Population Levels for Kuwait ...............................................9  Figure 5: Variation of Annual Electrical Peak Demand between 2002 and 2011 in Kuwait with Projected Peaks for 2020 and 2030 ............................................................................................................................ 10  Figure 6: Electrical Demand End-use Distribution in Kuwait during 2011 ............................................... 11  Figure 7: Monthly Electrical Load versus Monthly Average Outdoor Temperature for Kuwait in 2005 and 2011 ............................................................................................................................................................ 12  Figure 8: End-Use Distribution for a Kuwaiti Office Building Associated with (a) Annual Electricity Energy Consumption and (b) Electricity Peak Deamnd (Source: Krarti and Hajiah, 2011) ...................... 16  Figure 9: End-USe Distribution for a Kuwaiti Residence Associated with (a) Annual Electricity Energy Consumption and (b) Electricity Peak Demand (Source: Krarti and Hajiah, 2011)................................... 17  Figure 10: Life Cycle Cost Relative Ratio as a Function of Source Energy Savings for a Residence Located in Five Selected GCC Cities ....................................................................................................................... 19  Figure 11: Rendering for the Existing Kuwaiti House Energy Model Used in the Simulation Analysis .. 20  Figure 12: Maximum Percent Savings in Annual Energy Consumption for Some Energy Efficiency Measures Applied to an Existing House in Kuwait .................................................................................... 21  Figure 13: Annual Electrical Consumption for Five House Design Configurations .................................. 23  Figure 14: Annual Electrical Consumption Percent Savings by Applying Code 2010 on Code 1983 and Basecase House Configurations ................................................................................................................. 23  Figure 15: Impact of Market Share on the Economical and Environmental Benefits of the Building Energy Efficiency Retrofit Program ....................................................................................................................... 26 List of Tables Table 1: Electrical Power Stations, their Capacity, and their Peak Load in Kuwait during 2011 .................9  Table 2: CO Emissions Intensity for Select MENA Countries ................................................................. 10  2 Table 3: Types and Number of Buildings in Kuwait at the end of 2011 .................................................... 11  Table 4: Comparative Summary of the Requirements for Kuwait Energy Conervation Code of Practice of 1983 and 2010 ............................................................................................................................................ 13  Table 5: General Characteristics and Annual Energy Use of Office Buildings in Kuwait ........................ 15  Table 6: List of EEMs for the Optimal LCC Case and Associated Initiated Costs and Annual Energy Use Savings ....................................................................................................................................................... 19  Table 7: Main Characteristics for 5 House Energy Models Considered in the Analysis ........................... 21  Table 8: Number, Annual Energy Use, and Peak Demand for all Building Types Considered in the Analysis  .................................................................................................................................................................... 22  Table 9: Economical and Environmental Benefits for Level-1 Building Energy Efficiency retrofit Program for Kuwait Based on 2011 Building Stock Statistics ................................................................................. 24  Table 10: Economical and Environmental Benefits for Level-2 Building Energy Efficiency Retrofit Program for Kuwait Based on 2011 Building Stock Statistics ................................................................... 25  Table 11: Economical and Environmental Benefits for Level-3 Building Energy Efficiency Retrofit Program for Kuwait Based on 2011 Building Stock Statistics ................................................................... 25  Table 12: Average Costs for Energy Retrofits of Buildings in Kuwait (in US Dollars) ............................ 27  Table 13: Total Implementation Costs for Level-1 Building Energy Efficiency Retrofit Program ........... 28  Table 14: Total Implementation Costs for Level-2 Building Energy Efficiency Retrofit Program ........... 28  Table 15: Total Implementation Costs for Level-3 Building Energy Efficiency Retrofit Program ........... 28  Table 16: Cost-Effectiveness of Energy Efficiency Retrofit Programs for all Kuwaiti Building Stock .... 29  Table 17: Cost-Effectiveness of Energy Efficiency Retrofit Programs for only Private Residential Buildings in Kuwait .................................................................................................................................................... 29  Table 18: Employment Creation Impacts for Various Energy Sources from $1 Million of Expenditures (Source: Pollin et al., 2009) ........................................................................................................................ 30  Table 19: Number of Job Years that Could be Created from Building Energy Efficiency Retrofit Programs in Kuwait .................................................................................................................................................... 30 Acronyms A/C: Air Conditioning CFLs: Compact Fluorescent Lamps COP: Coefficient of Performance ECMs: Energy Conservation Measures EEMs: Energy Efficiency Measures GCC: Gulf Cooperation Council HVAC: Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning IEA: International Energy Agency KD: Kuwaiti Dinar KISR: Kuwait Institute for Scientific Research LCC: Life Cycle Cost MENA: Middle East and North Africa MEW: Ministry of Electricity and Water WWR: Window to Wall Ratio Abstract In this report, an overview of the Kuwaiti energy sector characteristics is presented to include its generating capacity as well as its end-use consumption over the last two decade. Moreover, a detailed analysis of the total and end-use energy consumption attributed to various building types is provided. The report presents the specific regulations of the building energy conservation code of practice using its original version of 1983 and its revised version of 2010. The code enforcement mechanism is also outlined in the report. Based on a detailed review of the reported literature, the potential energy savings opportunities and their cost-effectiveness for Kuwaiti buildings are discussed. Using a comprehensive series of analyses, the report summarizes the economical and environmental benefits of improving energy efficiency for both new and retrofitted buildings in Kuwait. It is found that the 2010 revised version of the energy conservation code of practice can provide an additional 23% savings compared to the original version of the code developed and implemented in 1983. Moreover, it is found that without a gradual reduction of energy subsidies, the establishment of a mandatory energy efficiency retrofit program in Kuwaiti through implementation of basic energy efficiency measures and improved operating strategies for the existing building stock can provide significant economical and environmental benefits to Kuwait as well as the creation of significant job opportunities. Backgroound Worldwiide, buildinggs account for about 440% of the primary ennergy consuumption. Inn the Middlee East andd North Afrrica (MENAA region, bbuildings coonsumes even higher ffraction of the primaryy energy cconsumptionn. For insttance, 70% of total eelectrical ennergy consuumption inn Kuwait iss attributedd to buildinngs. Considdering all thhe sectors ((i.e., buildinngs, industrry, and trannsportation)), Qatar andd Kuwait haave the highhest per cappita carbon eemissions inn the world as depictedd in Figure 11 (WBCDSS, 2009).   Figuure 1: Per Capita Carrbon Emisssions for Seelected Couuntries Figure 2 shows the per capita eelectricity cconsumptionn in severall MENA coountries. It iis should bee noted thaat for severral MENA ccountries inncluding Kuuwait, the mmajority of tthe electriccal energy iss used to ooperate builddings (EIA,, 2006). Thee trend for hhigh energyy demand foor buildings in the Arabb region is expected too continue over the neext decade ddue to high population growth andd significannt urbanizattion. Indeedd, the annuaal urban poppulation groowth rates iin Arab couuntries range between 22 to 6% wwith an averrage for thee region off 3.8% accoording to aa UN-Habittat report (UUN-Habitatt, 2012). AAs a result, the buildinng sector is one of thee fastest groowing sectoors in the AArab regionn. Specificaally, accordding to a reecent reporrt, a total oof $4.3 trilllion is foreecasted to bbe spent onn constructtion in the MMENA regiion over thee next decadde, represennting a cummulative groowth of 80%% (Oxford EEconomics,, 2009). Electricityy consumpption per capita (kWWh/persoon) 180000 160000 140000 120000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 Figure 2: Per Cappita Electriccity Consumption forr Selected MMENA Couuntries (Souurce: IEA, 2006) Moreoveer, several MMENA couuntries provvide significcant energyy subsidies in order too reduce thee electricityy and fuel prices to ttheir citizenns. In partiicular, Unitted Arab off Emirates (UAE) andd Kuwait aare the top two countrries in the world for eenergy consumption ssubsidies peer person ass illustrated from Figgure 3. It is reported thhat for its 22012/2013 budget, Kuuwait allocaates KD 3.11 billion of the 6.3 bbillion susiddization forr the consuumer servicees to the eelectricity suubsidizationn (Capital Standards, 2013). It iss also reporrted that thee actual cossts for geneerating and distributingg electricityy in Kuwaiit during 20011 is 37 fills/kWh (i.e., $0.134/kWWh) but it iss sold to thhe customerss for only 22 fils (i.e., $$006/kWh),, resulting inn 95% subsidies from tthe governmment (MEWW, 2011). Figure 3: Countryy Ranking and Level of Energy Consumption Subsiddies per Perrson in US Dollars duuring 2011 (Source: CCapital Stanndards, 20113) Energy Sector Chharacteristtics The Minnistry of EElectricity aand Water (MEW) is the sole ssupplier off electricityy and water resourcess in Kuwaitt. The increaasing popullation in Kuuwait and the scarce waater resourcees is forcingg MEW too increase itts generatinng capacitiess with highher investmeents in neww power plaants. Indeedd, over the last decadee, Kuwait has seen its ppopulation as well as its per capiita energy cconsumptionn increase steadily as shown in FFigure 4. Thhe data obtaained from MMEW indiccate that thee energy usee per person has moore than doubled bettween 19800 and 20055 (MEW, 2012). Mooreover, thee populatioon has douubled from 1992 to 20005 due too high demand in laboor force affter the Iraqq invasion of 1990-19991. The grrowth in thee populatioon combinedd with highh energy use by personn has signiificantly inccreased the requiremennts for elecctrical poweer generatioon to meet the nationaal needs esppecially in tthe growingg residentiall sector. 3.00 Popuulation 2.50 2 9 9 1 e  2.00 v ti a el R 1.50 o  ti a R 1.00 0.50 19992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 20006 2008 2010   Figure 4: Annual perr Capita Ennergy Use and Populaation Levells for Kuwaait The seawwater desaliination proccess used inn Kuwait ass well as inn most of thhe gulf region requiress about 10 times moree energy thaan surface ffresh water productionn. In 2011, KKuwait hadd 8 electricaal power sttations withh a combineed capacityy of 13115 MW servinng a peak lload of 112220 MW ass detailed iin Table 1 ((MEW, 2012). Table 1: Electricaal Power Sttations, theeir Capacitty, and their Peak Loaad in Kuwaait during 2011 Power stattion  Capacity    Peeak Load on JJuly 27, 20111  (MW)   (MWW)  Shuwaikh  Station  120  1200  Shuaiba Soouth Station  660  5400  Shuaiba Noorth Station  600  6000  Doha East  Station  1018  7700  Doha Westt  Station  2381  17220  Az‐Zour Soouth Station  4646  41110  Sabiya Stattion  3690  33660  All Stations  13115  11220  Kuwait ccurrently uttilizes almoost 300,0000 barrels off oils per day for elecctricity geneeration. Thee consumpption is exppected to inncrease to as high as 900,000 bbarrels per day or 20%% of its oiil productioon by 20300, thus signiificantly redducing oil rrevenues off the countrry. Moreovver, the totaal energy suubsidies to consumers are estimatted to exceeed KWD 9 bbillion by 22030. It is exxpected thaat Kuwait mmay face ennergy shortaage during the summeer of 2014 and 2015 iif the projeccts aimed aat increasinng daily prooduction at Subbiya poower plant and the Soouth Az-Zouur power pplant by 5000 megawattts each as wwell as the cconstructionn of the Norrth Zour powwer plants aare not impllemented onn time (MEEW, 2012).   Accordinng to an IEAA study (IEA, 2012), KKuwait has one of the hhighest carbbon emissioons intensityy in the MMENA regioon due to itts high reliaance on oill to producee electricityy and desalinate waterr. Table 2 summarizees the CO emissions intensity expressed inn gCO /kWWh for seleccted MENAA 2 2 countriess during 2009. Kuwaitt generates 870 of gCOO for eachh kWh of eelectricity, ssignificantlyy 2 higher thhat the worrld average of 573 gCCO /kWh. IIt should bee noted thaat countries that utilizee 2 natural ggas to generate a siggnificant poortion of thheir electricity have low carbonn emissionss intensity.. For instannce, the shaare of naturral gas in thhe total elecctricity geneerated in QQatar is over 85% (IEAA, 2012). Tabble 2: CO Emissions Intensity ffor Select MMENA Couuntries 2 Couuntry COO emissionns intensityy 2 (gCO /kkWh) 2 Libyya 8722 Kuwwait 8700 Sauudi Arabia 7577 Syriia 641 UAE 631 Jorddan 581 Tunnisia 5388 Qatar 4944 Egyypt 4666 Worrld (Averagge) 5733 Figure 55 illustrates the annuaal electricall peak demmand variatiion from 22002 througgh 2011. AA regressioon analysis oof the data indicates thhat there is aa consistentt growth ratte of the eleectrical peakk demand over the 1980’s peakk with abouut 6% averaage increase rate in thhe last decade (MEWW, 2012). BBased on thhe rate of inncrease of 6% observved in Figuure 5, the aannual peakk demand iss predictedd to be 15,0000 MW byy 2020 and over 20,000 MW (almmost doublee the currentt peak loadd) by 2030.   20000 d 18000 n 16000 a m 14000 e y = 4533.03x + 6571.3 D 12000 k W) R²² = 0.9846 a 10000 eM P( 8000 l a 6000 u n n 4000 A 2000 0 22002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2020 20300 Figuree 5: Variatiion of Annuual Electriccal Peak Deemand betwween 2002 and 2011 in Kuwait witth Projecteed Peaks foor 2020 andd 2030

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Figure 6: Electrical Demand End-use Distribution in Kuwait during 2011 . While, Kuwait Municipality inspect that the required thermal insulation
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