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Inside man : the discipline of modeling human ways of being PDF

297 Pages·2011·1.508 MB·English
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InsIde Man InsIde Man The Discipline of Modeling Human Ways of Being Mihnea C. Moldoveanu stanford Business Books an Imprint of stanford University Press stanford, California stanford University Press stanford, California ©2011 by the Board of Trustees of the Leland stanford Junior University. all rights reserved. no part of this book may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system without the prior written permission of stanford University Press. special discounts for bulk quantities of stanford Business Books are available to corporations, professional associations, and other organizations. For details and discount information, contact the special sales department of stanford University Press. Tel: (650) 736-1782, Fax: (650) 736-1784 Printed in the United states of america on acid-free, archival-quality paper Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication data Moldoveanu, Mihnea C. Inside man : the discipline of modeling human ways of being / Mihnea C. Moldoveanu. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. IsBn 978-0-8047-7304-1 (cloth : alk. paper) 1. Human behavior models. 2. Thought and thinking. 3. Psychology—Methodology. I. Title. BF39.3.M65 2011 150.1′1—dc22 2010024489 designed by Bruce Lundquist Typeset by newgen in 10.5/15 adobe Garamond To Ludwig Wittgenstein and Frank Ramsey, my most attuned thinking partners along the paths taken herein. What can be said at all can be said clearly, and what we cannot talk about we must pass over in silence. Ludwig Wittgenstein I have not worked out the mathematical logic of [my procedure] in detail, because this would, I think, be rather like working out to seven places of decimals a result only valid to two. Frank P. Ramsey ConTenTs Figures and Tables xi Prelude and an outline xv 1 Introduction: What are Models For? 1 2 decisions and Choices, Immediate and Planned 21 3 Beliefs and Believing 87 4 Calculating, Reasoning, and “doing Things with the Mind” 133 5 Learning and Learning to Learn 213 6 Communicating: Turning oral noises into speech acts 233 Coda a “Cruel science”: What ask Is Up To 251 Bibliography 257 Index 263

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