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Industrial Development In East Asia: A Comparative Look at Japan, Korea, Taiwan and Singapore (Economic Development & Growth) (Economic Development and Growth) PDF

346 Pages·2008·2.19 MB·English
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SerieS on economic Development 3 anD Growth Vol. Industrial Development in East Asia A Comparative Look at Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and Singapore Series on Economic Development and Growth (ISSN: 1793-3668) Series Editor: Linda Yueh (University of Oxford & London School of Economics and Political Science, UK) Advisory Board Members: John Knight (University of Oxford, UK) Li Shi (Beijing Normal University, China) Published Vol. 1 Globalisation and Economic Growth in China edited by Yang Yao & Linda Yueh Vol. 2 Elderly Entrepreneurship in an Aging U.S. Economy It’s Never Too Late by Ting Zhang Vol. 3 Industrial Development in East Asia A Comparative Look at Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and Singapore (With CD-ROM) by K. Ali Akkemik Juliet - Industrial Development.pmd 2 3/18/2009, 5:13 PM SerieS on e conomic Development 3 anD Growth Vol. Industrial Development in East Asia A Comparative Look at Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and Singapore K A l i A k k e m i k Baskent University, Turkey World Scientific NEW JERSEY • LONDON • SINGAPORE • BEIJING • SHANGHAI • HONG KONG • TAIPEI • CHENNAI Published by World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. 5 Toh Tuck Link, Singapore 596224 USA office: 27 Warren Street, Suite 401-402, Hackensack, NJ 07601 UK office: 57 Shelton Street, Covent Garden, London WC2H 9HE Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Akkemik, K. Ali (Kucik Ali), 1976- Industrial development in East Asia : a comparative look at Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and Singapore / by K. Ali Akkemik. p. cm. -- (Series on economic development and growth, ISSN 1793-3668 ; v. 3) Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN-13: 978-981-283-279-5 ISBN-10: 981-283-279-3 1. Industrial policy--East Asia. 2. Industrialization--East Asia. I. Title. HD3616.E183.A45 2008 338.095--dc22 2008040321 British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Copyright © 2009 by World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. All rights reserved. This book, or parts thereof, may not be reproduced in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or any information storage and retrieval system now known or to be invented, without written permission from the Publisher. For photocopying of material in this volume, please pay a copying fee through the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, USA. In this case permission to photocopy is not required from the publisher. Printed in Singapore. Juliet - Industrial Development.pmd 1 3/18/2009, 5:13 PM September30,2008 13:27 9inx6in B-655 b655-fm PREFACE Thisbookrevisitsthepuzzleofwhethergovernmentinterventioninindus- trialdevelopmentinEastAsialedtowelfareimprovement.Forthispurpose, four well-studied East Asian countries, Japan, Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan,aretaken.Thespecificfeaturesoftheselate-industrializingcoun- triesmakeupaheterogeneousgroup.Amongthefour,Singaporedeserves specialattentionasitsgovernmenthasmaintainedinterventionsinproduct andfactormarketstodatewhereastheotherthreehavereducedgovernment activismlargelyduringthelastoneandahalfdecades.Acommoncharac- teristic of these economies is that all of them exercised industrial policies ofsomesortduringthecourseofindustrialization.Thebookreassessesthe impactandconsequencesofsuchactivistpoliciesofthegovernments. Oneofthemostimportantconclusionsofthisbookwithregardstoindus- trial policies in Singapore is that industrial policy in Singapore has con- tributedtopositivegrowthandproductivityincreasesespeciallyafter1990. Thisfindingclearlycontrastsearlierfindingsintheliterature.Ihavealways been suspicious and critical of the validity of the findings of some highly influential studies for Singapore which found zero productivity growth. It seems quite unlikely for such a rapidly growing economy. Several recent studiesalsofoundsimilarresultsforimprovedTFPgrowthafter1985.The argumentofthisbookissuchthatpragmaticattitudeofthegovernmentand itsindustrialpolicieshadapositiveroleinthis.Anotherstrikingfindingis that interventions of the governments in Japan, Korea, and Singapore did notresultinwelfarelosses. The reader may find that the book is heavy on quantitative analyses and their detailed discussions. The techniques used in the analyses are standardones.However,itwasnecessarytoprovidethedetailsaboutpro- ductivityanalysisasitishighlydata-intensiveanddataconstructionprocess closelyfollowsthetechnicaldetails.Themethodologyisbasedonadetailed v September30,2008 13:27 9inx6in B-655 b655-fm vi IndustrialDevelopmentinEastAsia and very careful process of data construction. There is no doubt that data accuracy is highly important in productivity analysis. These data are also presentedintheappendixattheendofthebook. Withregardtocontributionofthebooktotheliterature,itcanbeaused as a resource material for economists interested in East Asian industrial policiesandforthoseinsimilarprofessions.Itprovidesacasestudyinquan- titative policy analysis using standard techniques. One of the anonymous reviewersoftheearliestdraftofthisbookrecommendedtousethebookas ateachingmaterialatgraduatelevelifprovidedwiththedatabaseandthe modelinanattachment.Followingthisrecommendation,thedatabaseand themodelareprovidedinaCD-ROMforthereaders.However,thereader shouldberemindedthatthemodelhasbeenbuiltusingGeneralAlgebraic Modeling System (GAMS) software, distributed by GAMS Development Corporation based in Washington, D.C. The demo (beta) version of this softwaredoesnotallowtherunningoflongmodels.Therefore,thelicensed versionofthesoftwareisneeded.Theprogrammingcodeofthemodelcan alsobeviewedwithastandardtexteditor. Part of this book is based on my doctoral dissertation submitted to NagoyaUniversity,GraduateSchoolofInternationalDevelopmentinJapan. Iamgratefultoanumberofpeoplewhoencouragedmeduringmyresearch. First and foremost, I wish to express deepest gratitude to Prof. Hiroshi Osada,Prof.MitsuoEzaki,andProf.ShigeruOtsuboatNagoyaUniversity fortheirguidanceandencouragementduringmyresearch.Ibenefitedalot from Prof. Osada’s suggestions and long discussions with him as well as thought-provoking questions by students at his seminar class. I benefited from fruitful discussions with Prof. Ezaki and Prof. Otsubo, especially on modelingpart.Thegeneralequilibriummodelinthisbookisdifferentfrom theoneIusedinthedissertation.Thecurrentmodelincludesmoresectors andisdifferentinequationspecificationsandspecialfeaturesregardingthe behavior of economic agents. I am grateful to the Ministry of Education, Culture,Sports,Science,andTechnology(Monbukagakusho)inJapanfor thegenerousfinancialsupportduringmygraduatestudy. Sincere thanks and deep appreciation are extended to Delfin Go at the World Bank for sending me the programming code for his model, to Assoc. Prof. Mahinda Siriwardana at the University of New England in Armidale(Australia)forsendingmehispapers,andtoDrPaulNormanat September30,2008 13:27 9inx6in B-655 b655-fm Preface vii theUniversityofManchesterforhissupportiniterativeproportionalfitting technique.Last,butnottheleast,furtherthanksgotothestaffofSingapore DepartmentofStatisticsfortheirtimelyresponsetomydatainquiries. Parts of this research were presented in academic conferences held in Middle EastTechnical University (Turkey) and Nihon Fukushi University (Japan). Comments, in particular, by Professors Shoichi Itoh and Toru Yanagihara are greatly acknowledged. Finally, I would like to thank four reviewersoftheEconomicDevelopmentandGrowthSeriesandtheseries editor,DrLindaYueh,fortheirinsightfulcommentsandcritiques.DrYueh ofOxfordUniversitymadeveryimportantsuggestionsontheearlierdrafts ofthebook.Commentsbyfouranonymousreviewershelpedmeaddnew perspectives. Special thanks and praise are due to Juliet Lee of World Scientificforhergreateffortduringtheeditingstageofthebook.Iamfor- tunatetohaveworkedwithsuchaniceeditor.Shemademefullyenjoymy first experience in writing a book. The editing team checked every word andcorrectedeventhesmallestmistakes.TheydidanexcellentworkandI feelindebtedtothem. Onadifferentnote,Iwouldliketothankfellowresearchersandfriends at GSID. Further gratitude goes to Prof.Aysit Tansel at METU and Prof. MeteTuncokuatCanakkaleOnsekizMartUniversity,myteachersduring my undergraduate years at METU, for their support and encouragement before and during my studies in Japan. I have accumulated many debts to a long list of friends for their intellectual and personal support. David Gregory,NorikoKanazawa,PohWei-Leong(forhisassistanceduringmy field work in Singapore), Dr Emre Saraoglu, and Semih Sunkar deserve specialrecognition.Iamespeciallyindebtedtomy“twofamilies”fortheir encouragementandforbearanceduringmysix-year-longstudyinJapan.My parents in Turkey always gave me the courage I needed especially during times when I was in distress living in a foreign country. I received great spiritualsupportfrommytwosisters,EsenandLatife.Manythanksaredue tomyin-laws,theNakanishis,inHachioji,Tokyo,whoalwaysencouraged meduringmystudy,hostedmeintheirhome,andtreatedmeliketheirown son.Deliciousdishesofmymother-in-law,Emiko(okasan),havebeenthe most important fuel of my research. GrandmaYukiko (obachan) and my sister-in-law (Miho) provided me personal encouragement and made my life in Japan more enjoyable. I learned a lot from them, especially from myfather-in-law(otosan),Osamu. September30,2008 13:27 9inx6in B-655 b655-fm viii IndustrialDevelopmentinEastAsia My wife, Tomomi, has always been there when I desperately needed support. I started my doctoral study soon after we got married. She has been a great wife to me and a wonderful mother to our son, Mert Shouei. She deserves more than half of the credits for this book. Mert was born sixmonthsbeforeIreceivedmydoctoraldegree.Duringthestressfulfinal months of my research where everything surely goes wrong and it takes a lottimetofixtheerrors,watchinghissmilingcutefacewasenoughforme to forget about all the trouble and gave me an extra power in completing myresearch. In the development economics discipline, there are many theories but not enough facts. This book is intended to deal with a special topic for whichtheoriesarecontentious.Ihopethatthisbookmeetstheexpectations ofpeopleinthefieldandthosewhohavesupportedandencouragedme. Ankara,September2008 September30,2008 13:27 9inx6in B-655 b655-fm CONTENTS Preface v Acronyms xiii 1. Introduction 1 1.1. EconomicDevelopmentinEastAsia . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.2. TheRoleofGovernmentinEastAsia . . . . . . . . . . . 3 1.3. ObjectivesandMethodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 1.4. OrganizationoftheBook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 2. IndustrialPoliciesinJapan,Korea,andTaiwan 9 2.1. IndustrialPolicy:DefinitionandTheoretical Underpinnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 2.2. TheObjectivesofIndustrialPolicy . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2.3. InstrumentsofIndustrialPolicy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2.3.1. Competitionpolicy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 2.3.2. Tradepolicy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 2.3.3. Taxandfinancialsectorpolicies . . . . . . . . . . 17 2.3.4. Labormarketpolicies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 2.3.5. Technologypolicies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 2.3.6. Foreigninvestmentpolicies . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 2.4. SummaryandConclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 3. IndustrialPoliciesinSingapore 27 3.1. SingaporeEconomyataGlance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 3.2. Singapore’sIndustrialPolicies:AHistorical Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 3.2.1. Industrialpoliciesbefore1985 . . . . . . . . . . . 33 3.2.2. Industrialpoliciesaftertherecession . . . . . . . . 47 ix

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