HANDBOOK ON CITIES AND COMPLEXITY PPOORRTTUUGGAALLII ((HHaannddbbooookk oonn CCiittiieess aanndd CCoommpplleexxiittyy)) CCOOLLOOUURR..iinndddd 11 2266//0088//22002211 1111::2288 RESEARCH HANDBOOKS IN URBAN STUDIES In this urban century the need for innovative and rigorous research on the challenges and opportunities facing our cities has never been so pressing. This timely series brings together critical and thought-provoking contributions on key topics and issues in urban research from a range of social science perspectives. Comprising specially commissioned chapters from leading academics these comprehensive Research Handbooks feature cutting-edge research and are written with a global readership in mind. Equally useful as reference tools or high-level introductions to specific topics, issues, methods and debates, these Research Handbooks will be an essential resource for academic researchers and postgraduate students. Titles in the series include: Handbook of Urban Segregation Edited by Sako Musterd Handbook of Megacities and Megacity-regions Edited by Danielle Labbé and André Sorensen Handbook on City and Regional Leadership Edited by Markku Sotarauta and Andrew Beer Handbook of Cities and Networks Edited by Zachary P. Neal and Céline Rozenblat Handbook on Cities and Complexity Edited by Juval Portugali PPOORRTTUUGGAALLII ((HHaannddbbooookk oonn CCiittiieess aanndd CCoommpplleexxiittyy)) CCOOLLOOUURR..iinndddd 22 2266//0088//22002211 1111::2288 Handbook on Cities and Complexity Edited by Juval Portugali Professor of Human Geography, Department of Geography and the Human Environment, Tel Aviv University, Israel RESEARCH HANDBOOKS IN URBAN STUDIES Cheltenham, UK • Northampton, MA, USA PPOORRTTUUGGAALLII ((HHaannddbbooookk oonn CCiittiieess aanndd CCoommpplleexxiittyy)) CCOOLLOOUURR..iinndddd 33 2266//0088//22002211 1111::2288 © The Editor and Contributors Severally 2021 Cover image: Pieter Bruegel the Elder, The Fight Between Carnival and Lent, 1559, oil on oak wood, 118 × 164 cm. Kunsthistorisches Museum, Vienna, Austria. Source: Wikimedia Commons – public domain. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical or photocopying, recording, or otherwise without the prior permission of the publisher. Published by Edward Elgar Publishing Limited The Lypiatts 15 Lansdown Road Cheltenham Glos GL50 2JA UK Edward Elgar Publishing, Inc. William Pratt House 9 Dewey Court Northampton Massachusetts 01060 USA A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Control Number: 2021943595 This book is available electronically in the Geography, Planning and Tourism subject collection http://dx.doi.org/10.4337/9781789900125 ISBN 978 1 78990 011 8 (cased) ISBN 978 1 78990 012 5 (eBook) Typeset by Cheshire Typesetting Ltd, Cuddington, Cheshire 2 0 PPOORRTTUUGGAALLII ((HHaannddbbooookk oonn CCiittiieess aanndd CCoommpplleexxiittyy)) CCOOLLOOUURR..iinndddd 44 2266//0088//22002211 1111::2288 Contents List of contributors vii Acknowledgements ix Introduction to the Handbook on Cities and Complexity 1 Juval Portugali PART I FOUNDATIONS 1 Cities, complexity and beyond 13 Juval Portugali 2 The emergence of complexity theories: an outline 28 Hermann Haken 3 City systems and complexity 48 Michael Batty 4 Major transitions in the story of urban complexity 64 Stephen Marshall and Nick Green PART II COMPLEXITY THEORIES OF CITIES 5 Complexity: the evolution and planning of towns and cities 86 Peter M. Allen 6 Synergetic cities 108 Juval Portugali and Hermann Haken 7 Co-evolution as the secret of urban complexity 136 Denise Pumain 8 Fractal geometry for analyzing and modeling urban patterns and planning sustainable cities 154 Pierre Frankhauser 9 Scaling, fractals and the spatial complexity of cities 176 Yanguang Chen 10 Cybernetic cities: designing and controlling adaptive and robust urban systems 195 Carlos Gershenson, Paolo Santi and Carlo Ratti v PPOORRTTUUGGAALLII ((HHaannddbbooookk oonn CCiittiieess aanndd CCoommpplleexxiittyy)) CCOOLLOOUURR..iinndddd 55 2266//0088//22002211 1111::2288 vi Handbook on cities and complexity PART III COMPLEXITY, LANGUAGE AND CITIES 11 New concepts in complexity theory arising from studies in the field of architecture: an overview of the four books of the nature of order with emphasis on the scientific problems which are raised 210 Christopher Alexander 12 The dialectic as driver of complexity in urban and social systems 233 Alan Penn PART IV MODELLING COMPLEX CITIES 13 Modelling car traffic in cities 260 Vincent Verbavatz and Marc Barthelemy 14 Studying the dynamics of urban traffic flows using percolation: a new methodology for real-time urban and transportation planning 274 Nimrod Serok, Orr Levy, Shlomo Havlin and Efrat Blumenfeld Lieberthal 15 The simple complex phenomenon of urban parking 295 Itzhak Benenson and Nir Fulman PART V COMPLEXITY, PLANNING AND DESIGN 16 Complexity and uncertainty: implications for urban planning 319 Stefano Moroni and Daniele Chiffi 17 Tailoring nudges to self-organising behavioural patterns in public space 331 Koen Bandsma, Ward Rauws and Gert de Roo 18 Evolutionary games in cities and urban planning 349 Sara Encarnação, Fernando P. Santos, Francisco C. Santos, Margarida Pereira, Jorge M. Pacheco and Juval Portugali 19 Homo faber, Homo ludens and the city: a SIRNIA view on urban planning and design 370 Juval Portugali Epilogue: cities and complexity in the time of COVID-19 391 Hermann Haken, Juval Portugali, Michael Batty, Stephen Marshall, Nick Green, Peter M. Allen, Pierre Frankhauser, Carlos Gershenson, Alan Penn, Vincent Verbavatz, Marc Barthelemy, Daniele Chiffi, Stefano Moroni, Koen Bandsma, Ward Rauws and Gert de Roo Index 415 PPOORRTTUUGGAALLII ((HHaannddbbooookk oonn CCiittiieess aanndd CCoommpplleexxiittyy)) CCOOLLOOUURR..iinndddd 66 2266//0088//22002211 1111::2288 Contributors Christopher Alexander, Professor Emeritus of Architecture at the University of California, Berkeley, USA. Peter M. Allen, Professor Emeritus, School of Management, Cranfield University, UK. Koen Bandsma, PhD student, Faculty of Spatial Sciences, University of Groningen, the Netherlands. Marc Barthelemy, Institut de Physique Théorique, Université Paris Saclay, CEA, CNRS, Gif-sur-Yvette and Centre d’Analyse et de Mathématique Sociales (CNRS/ EHESS), Paris, France. Michael Batty, Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis (CASA), University College London, UK. Itzhak Benenson, Department of Geography and the Human Environment, Tel Aviv University, Israel. Efrat Blumenfeld Lieberthal, The David Azrieli School of Architecture, Yolanda and David Katz Faculty of the Art, Tel Aviv University, Israel. Yanguang Chen, Department of Geography, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, People’s Republic of China. Daniele Chiffi, Politecnico di Milano, Italy. Sara Encarnação, Interdisciplinary Centre of Social Sciences – CICS.NOVA – FCSH/ UNL, Lisbon and ATP-group, Porto Salvo, Portugal. Pierre Frankhauser, Thema Research Institute, University of Bourgogn – Franche- Comté and LVMT (University Gustave Eiffel and Ecole des Ponts-ParisTech), France. Nir Fulman, PhD student, Department of Geography and the Human Environment, Tel Aviv University, Israel. Carlos Gershenson, Instituto de Investigaciones en Matemáticas Aplicadas y en Sistemas, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico. Nick Green, Chartered Town Planner and Senior Tutor in the School of the Environment, Education and Development, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK. Hermann Haken, Institute for Theoretical Physics, Center of Synergetics, Stuttgart University, Germany. Shlomo Havlin, Professor of Physics, Department of Physics, Bar-Ilan University, Israel. vii PPOORRTTUUGGAALLII ((HHaannddbbooookk oonn CCiittiieess aanndd CCoommpplleexxiittyy)) CCOOLLOOUURR..iinndddd 77 2266//0088//22002211 1111::2288 viii Handbook on cities and complexity Orr Levy, PhD, Department of Physics, Bar-Ilan University, Israel. Stephen Marshall, Professor of Urban Morphology and Urban Design, Bartlett School of Planning, University College London, London, UK. Stefano Moroni, Professor of Urbanism, Politenico di Milano, Italy. Jorge M. Pacheco, Centro de Biologia Molecular e Ambiental and Departamento de Matemática e Aplicações, Universidade do Minho, Braga, Portugal and ATP-group, Porto Salvo, Portugal. Alan Penn, Professor of Architectural and Urban Computing at The Bartlett School of Architecture, University College London and Chief Scientific Adviser, Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government, UK. Margarida Pereira, Interdisciplinary Centre of Social Sciences – CICS.NOVA – FCSH/UNL, Lisbon, Portugal. Juval Portugali, Department of Geography and the Human Environment, Tel Aviv University, Israel. Denise Pumain, Professor of Geography at University Paris I Pantheon Sorbonne, France. Carlo Ratti, SENSEable City Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA. Ward Rauws, Assistant Professor of Spatial Planning, Department of Planning, Faculty of Spatial Sciences, University of Groningen, the Netherlands. Gert de Roo, Professor of Spatial Planning, Department of Planning, Faculty of Spatial Sciences, University of Groningen, the Netherlands. Paolo Santi, SENSEable City Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA and Istituto di Informatica e Telematica, CNR, Italy. Fernando P. Santos, Informatics Institute, University of Amsterdam, the Netherlands, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, USA and ATP-group, Porto Salvo, Portugal. Francisco C. Santos, INESC-ID and Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, IST-Taguspark, Porto Salvo and ATP-group, Porto Salvo, Portugal. Nimrod Serok, The David Azrieli School of Architecture, Yolanda and David Katz Faculty of the Art, Tel Aviv University, Israel. Vincent Verbavatz, Institut de Physique Théorique, Université Paris Saclay, CEA, CNRS, Gif-sur-Yvette, France. PPOORRTTUUGGAALLII ((HHaannddbbooookk oonn CCiittiieess aanndd CCoommpplleexxiittyy)) CCOOLLOOUURR..iinndddd 88 2266//0088//22002211 1111::2288 Acknowledgements I would like to thank the authors of this Handbook – friends and colleagues who agreed to participate in this project and to contribute their insightful views on the multiple facets of Cities and Complexity. Special thanks to © ‘Christopher Alexander/Center for Environmental Structure Archive’ for giving me the permission to re-publish Christopher Alexander’s paper from 2003 (as Chapter 11 in this volume); specifically to Mrs Maggie Moore Alexander and to my good friend Dr Artemis Anninou who made the link to Mrs Moore Alexander. Many thanks to Senior Supervising Editor Alexandra O’Connell from Edward Elgar Publishing, who first invited me to start this project and helped along the way, and to the Elgar team for their excellent work in the production of this book. ix PPOORRTTUUGGAALLII ((HHaannddbbooookk oonn CCiittiieess aanndd CCoommpplleexxiittyy)) CCOOLLOOUURR..iinndddd 99 2266//0088//22002211 1111::2288