Financial Markets, Banking, and MMoonneettaarryy PPoolliiccyy Founded in 1807, John Wiley & Sons is the oldest independent publishing company in the United States. With offi ces in North America, Europe, Australia and Asia, Wiley is globally committed to developing and marketing print and electronic products and services for our customers’ professional and personal knowledge and understanding. The Wiley Finance series contains books written specifi cally for fi nance and investment professionals as well as sophisticated individual investors and their fi nancial advisors. Book topics range from portfolio management to e-commerce, risk management, fi nancial engineering, valuation and fi nancial instrument analysis, as well as much more. For a list of available titles, visit our website at www.WileyFinance.com. Financial Markets, Banking, and MMoonneettaarryy PPoolliiccyy THOMAS D. SIMPSON Cover image: © iStockphoto.com/LeeYiuTung Cover design: Wiley Copyright © 2014 by Thomas D. Simpson. All rights reserved. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey. Published simultaneously in Canada. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior written permission of the Publisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, (978) 750-8400, fax (978) 646-8600, or on the Web at www.copyright.com. Requests to the Publisher for permission should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, (201) 748-6011, fax (201) 748-6008, or online at www.wiley.com/go/ permissions. 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Banks and banking. 3. Monetary policy. 4. Finance. I. Title. HG4523.S568 2014 332—dc23 2014012264 Printed in the United States of America. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 To my partner in life, best friend, and wife—Cindy. CCoonntteennttss Preface xvii CHAPTER 1 Introduction 1 What You Will Learn in This Chapter 1 Overview 1 Where We Are Going in This Book 2 Contributions Made by the Financial System 4 Transfers of Resources from Surplus to Defi cit Units 4 Other Contributions 8 Recurring Themes in the Chapters Ahead 11 Resources 12 CHAPTER 2 Overview of the Financial System 17 What You Will Learn in This Chapter 17 Introduction 17 Features of an Effective Financial System 17 Direct Methods of Finance 18 Investment Banks 19 Debt versus Equity 20 Money versus Capital Markets 21 Asymmetric Information 21 Adverse Selection 21 Moral Hazard 22 Indirect Methods of Finance 22 Primary versus Secondary Markets 27 Primary-Market Transactions 27 Secondary-Market Transactions 28 Trading Platforms 29 Brokers 29 CHAPTER 3 The Special Role of Commercial Banks 33 What You Will Learn in This Chapter 33 Background 33 Commercial Bank Balance Sheet 34 Assets 35 Liabilities 35 Net Worth (Capital) 36 vii viii CONTENTS Payment System and Money 36 Commercial Banks and the Payment System 36 Payment System Infrastructure 40 Credit and Stored Value Cards 40 Payments Media in the Money Stock 41 Velocity (Turnover of Money) 42 Liquidity Provision 44 Dealing with Asymmetric Information 46 Maturity Transformation 46 The Safety Net and Regulatory Policy 47 CHAPTER 4 The Pricing of Financial Assets 55 What You Will Learn in This Chapter 55 Background 55 Present Value 56 Value of a Single Future Payment 57 Value of a Coupon Security 58 Other Applications 59 Solving for Yield to Maturity 59 Solving for Fixed Payments 60 The Special Case of a Consol 61 Maturity and Price Sensitivity 61 Holding Periods versus Maturities 63 Return versus Yield 63 Duration 64 Nominal versus Real Yields 66 Appendix A: Variations of the Valuation Relationship 69 Appendix B: Solutions Using a Financial Calculator 70 Future Value 70 Future Value—A Higher Interest Rate 70 Present Value of Single Cash Flow 71 Lottery Choice 71 Current Price of a Coupon Security 71 Price of an Aasset Providing Uneven Cash Flows 71 Yield to Maturity 72 CHAPTER 5 Factors Affecting Yields 75 What You Will Learn in This Chapter 75 Background 75 The Term Structure of Interest Rates 76 The Expectations Hypothesis 77 The Term Premium Hypothesis 81 Market Segmentation Hypothesis 83 Implicit Forward Rates 84 The Role of the Term Structure 85