CONGRESS OF THE UNITED STATES CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE AUGUST 1990 Federal Taxation of Tobacco, Alcoholic Beverages, and Motor Fuels A CBO STUDY S U M M A RY CBO Publication #519 June 1990 CBO STUDY ON FEDERAL TAXATION OF TOBACCO, ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, AND MOTOR FUELS The federal government draws only a small portion of its revenues from excise taxes on tobacco, alcoholic beverages, and motor fuels. Over the last 40 years, the share of these taxes in federal revenues has been declining. Some sentiment has been expressed for reconsidering the role of these taxes, partly to reduce the budget deficit but also because of the role that such excise taxes might play in federal health, safety, energy, and environmental programs. The CBO study, Federal Taxation of Tobacco, Alcoholic Beverages, and Mo- tor Fuels, analyzes some illustrative tax increases. It focuses on how the in- creases would affect family incomes, and to a lesser degree on whether they would serve other policy goals. The options in CBO's study are: doubling the cig- arette tax from 16 cents to 32 cents per pack; equalizing the tax on all alcoholic beverages at $16.00 per proof-gallon ($0.25 per ounce of pure alcohol); and rais- ing the gasoline tax from 9 cents to 21 cents per gallon and the tax on highway diesel fuel from 15 cents to 27 cents per gallon. Because excise taxes are thought to place a disproportionate burden on lower-income families, the report also ana- lyzes measures that would reduce the burden for these families—through in- creases in the Food Stamp program and in the earned income tax credit. The tax increases would burden lower-income families relatively more than other families, when the increases are measured relative to family incomes. Taking account of the effects of the tax increases on the price level and, as a re- sult, on income taxes and transfer payments, would reduce but not eliminate the relatively greater burden on lower-income families. If the effects of the excise tax increases are measured relative to total annual family expenditures, which some people view as a better reflection of a family's economic circumstances than is its income for a single year, the net tax increases for lower-income families would be similar to those for other families. Questions regarding the analysis should be directed to Frank Sammartino of CBO's Tax Analysis Division at (202) 226-2692. The Office of Intergovern- mental Relations is CBO's Congressional liaison office and can be reached at 226-2600. For additional copies of the report, please call the CBO Publications Office at 226-2809. CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE Second and D Streets, S.W. Washington, D.C. 20515 FEDERAL TAXATION OF TOBACCO, ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, AND MOTOR FUELS The Congress of the United States Congressional Budget Office For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Washington, D.C. 20402 PREFACE In 1989, federal excise taxes on tobacco, alcoholic beverages, and motor fuels raised $24.4 billion in revenue-about 2.5 percent of total federal revenues. At the request of the Subcommittee on Human Resources of the House Committee on Ways and Means, this study examines cur- rent federal taxation of tobacco, alcoholic beverages, and motor fuels, and the likely effects of an illustrative set of increases in those taxes. In accordance with the mandate of the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) to provide objective and impartial analysis, the study contains no recommendations. Frank Sammartino of CBO's Tax Analysis Division prepared the study under the direction of Rosemary Marcuss and Joseph Cordes. Len Burman, Maureen Griffin, and Eric Nicholson made important contributions to the report. Many people provided valuable comments on earlier drafts, including Robert Hartman, Richard Kasten, Stephen Long, David Montgomery, Rosemarie Nielsen, Kathleen O'Connell, Linda Radey, Frederick Ribe, Steven Sheingold, Frances Sussman, and Roberton Williams. Richard Kasten and Frank Sammartino developed the CBO tax simulation models used in the study. Eric Nicholson pre- pared the background tables contained in Appendix A. Francis Pierce and Sherry Snyder edited the manuscript, Nancy H. Brooks provided editorial assistance, Denise Thomas typed the many tables, and Kathryn Quattrone prepared the paper for publi- cation. Robert D. Reischauer Director August 1990 CONTENTS SUMMARY AND INTRODUCTION xiii I THE ROLE OF FEDERAL EXCISE TAXES 1 Are Excise Taxes Fair? 2 Do Excise Taxes Interfere with Consumer Choice? 4 Federal Excise Taxes and State Revenues 5 H AN OVERVIEW OF FEDERAL TOBACCO, ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGE, AND MOTOR FUELS TAXATION 7 Trends in Federal Revenues and Rates 7 Trends in Tobacco, Alcohol, and Motor Fuel Consumption 15 The Total Tax Burden on Tobacco, Alcoholic Beverages, and Motor Fuels 19 m WHO BUYS TOBACCO, ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, AND MOTOR FUELS? 25 Average Family Expenditures 25 Families with Tobacco, Alcoholic Beverage, and Motor Fuel Expenditures 33 IV THE ECONOMIC COSTS OF SMOKING, DRINKING, AND DRIVING 39 Tobacco and Alcohol 40 Motor Fuels 56 vi FEDERAL EXCISE TAXES August 1990 V THE DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECTS OF INCREASES IN FEDERAL TAXES ON TOBACCO, ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, AND MOTOR FUELS 65 Excise Taxes, Prices, and Consumption 67 The Distribution of Excise Tax Increases Among Families 75 Options That Would Offset the Regressivity of an Excise Tax Increase 80 VI OTHER EFFECTS OF EXCISE TAX INCREASES 87 Effects on the Economy of an Increase in Excise Taxes on Motor Fuels 88 Regional Effects 91 Tax Collection and Compliance 93 APPENDIXES A Background Data on Excise Tax Revenues and Tax Rates 101 B Sources and Treatment of the Data 123 CONTENTS vu TABLES 1. Projected Weighted-Average Poverty Thresholds in 1990, by Size of Family 27 2. Average Family Income and Expenditures, by Adjusted Post-Tax Income Quintiles, Age of Family Head, and Region, 1990 28 3. Expenditures on Tobacco, Alcoholic Beverages, and Motor Fuels as Percentages of Post-Tax Family Income and Total Expenditures, by Adjusted Post-Tax Income Quintiles, Age of Family Head, and Region, 1990 29 4. Expenditures on Distilled Spirits, Beer, and Wine as a Percentage of Post-Tax Family Income and of Total Expenditures, by Adjusted Post-Tax Income Quintiles, 1990 31 5. Share of Family Income and Expenditures by Adjusted Post-Tax Income Quintiles, Age of Family Head, and Region, 1990 33 6. Expenditures on Tobacco, Alcoholic Beverages, and Motor Fuels for Families With Expenditures, by Adjusted Post-Tax Income Quintiles, Age of Family Head, and Region, 1990 34 7. Expenditures on Tobacco, Alcoholic Beverages, and Motor Fuels as a Percentage of Post-Tax Family Income and of Total Expenditures for Families with Expenditures, by Adjusted Post-Tax Income Quintiles, 1990 36 viii FEDERAL EXCISE TAXES August 1990 8. Distribution of Expenditures on Tobacco, Alcoholic Beverages, and Motor Fuels, by Adjusted Post-Tax Income Quintiles, Age of Family Head, and Region, 1990 37 9. Effects of Increasing Cigarette, Alcoholic Beverage, and Motor Fuel Taxes, by Adjusted Post-Tax Income Quintiles, Age of Family Head, and Region, 1990 78 10. Average Net Tax Increase and Average Benefit Increase from Food Stamp and EITC Options, by Adjusted Post-Tax Income Quintiles, 1990 84 11. Average Net Tax Increase for Families in the Lowest Income Quintile, by Age of Head of Family, 1990 85 12. Average Net Tax Increase and Average Benefit Increase from Food Stamp and Earned Income Tax Credit Options for Families in the Lowest Income Quintile with Age of Family Head Under 60,1990 86 A-l. Total Federal Excise Tax Revenues, Fiscal Years 1950-1989 102 A-2. Federal Tobacco Tax Revenues, Fiscal Years 1950-1989 103 A-3. Federal Alcoholic Beverage Tax Revenues, Fiscal Years 1950-1989 104 A-4. Federal Motor Fuel Tax Revenues, Fiscal Years 1950-1989 105
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