University of Kentucky UKnowledge Theses and Dissertations--Psychology Psychology 2013 Expression of Borderline Personality Disorder Symptoms across the Ovulatory Cycle: A Multilevel Investigation Tory A. Eisenlohr-Moul University of Kentucky, STUDENT AGREEMENT: I represent that my thesis or dissertation and abstract are my original work. Proper attribution has been given to all outside sources. I understand that I am solely responsible for obtaining any needed copyright permissions. I have obtained and attached hereto needed written permission statements(s) from the owner(s) of each third-party copyrighted matter to be included in my work, allowing electronic distribution (if such use is not permitted by the fair use doctrine). I hereby grant to The University of Kentucky and its agents the non-exclusive license to archive and make accessible my work in whole or in part in all forms of media, now or hereafter known. I agree that the document mentioned above may be made available immediately for worldwide access unless a preapproved embargo applies. I retain all other ownership rights to the copyright of my work. I also retain the right to use in future works (such as articles or books) all or part of my work. I understand that I am free to register the copyright to my work. REVIEW, APPROVAL AND ACCEPTANCE The document mentioned above has been reviewed and accepted by the student’s advisor, on behalf of the advisory committee, and by the Director of Graduate Studies (DGS), on behalf of the program; we verify that this is the fnal, approved version of the student’s dissertation including all changes required by the advisory committee. The undersigned agree to abide by the statements above. Tory A. Eisenlohr-Moul, Student Dr. C. Nathan DeWall, Major Professor Dr. David T. Berry, Director of Graduate Studies EXPRESSION OF BORDERLINE PERSONALITY DISORDER SYMPTOMS ACROSS THE OVULATORY CYCLE: A MULTILEVEL INVESTIGATION __________________________ DISSERTATION ___________________________ A dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in the College of Agriculture at the University of Kentucky By Tory Anne Eisenlohr-Moul Lexington, Kentucky Co-Directors: C. Nathan DeWall, Ph.D., Professor of Psychology and Suzanne C. Segerstrom, Ph.D., Professor of Psychology Lexington, Kentucky 2013 Copyright © Tory Anne Eisenlohr-Moul 2013 ABSTRACT OF DISSERTATION EXPRESSION OF BORDERLINE PERSONALITY DISORDER SYMPTOMS ACROSS THE OVULATORY CYCLE: A MULTILEVEL INVESTIGATION Borderline Personality Disorder (BPD) is a disabling condition characterized by chronic emotion dysregulation and behavioral impulsivity. Prospective studies that test proposed mechanisms of within-person change in BPD hold the key to improving symptom predictability and control in this disorder. A small body of evidence suggests that fluctuations in estradiol such as those occurring naturally at ovulation during the monthly female reproductive cycle may increase symptoms in women with BPD (DeSoto et al., 2003). Furthermore, there is preliminary evidence that both self-esteem and feelings of social rejection are highest at ovulation, when estradiol peaks (Durante and Hill, 2009; Eisenlohr-Moul et al., under review). Such feelings have been reliably linked to increases in BPD-related behavior in all individuals (e.g., Twenge et al., 2002). The purpose of this dissertation was to test a cyclical vulnerability model for women with BPD in which ovulatory estradiol shifts are associated with reductions in felt social acceptance, which in turn are associated with increased BPD symptom expression. 40 women, sampled to achieve a flat distribution of BPD symptoms, completed 28 daily diaries online, as well as four 1-hour weekly visits to the laboratory to complete longer assessments and provide saliva samples, which were assayed for estradiol. In addition, participants underwent the Structured Clinical Interview for the Diagnosis of BPD at the end of the study. Results of multilevel models revealed the opposite of the predicted effects of within- person changes in estradiol and their interaction with trait BPD. The data suggest a pattern in which women high in trait BPD show increases in felt acceptance and reductions in BPD symptom expression at higher levels of conception probability and higher-than-usual levels of estradiol. Women low in trait BPD show the opposite pattern in some cases. Several alternative moderators were tested, and results suggest that some risk factors for BPD (e.g., Neuroticism, Sexual Abuse) interact with high trait levels of estradiol to predict greater symptoms. Both average levels of estradiol and monthly fluctuations in estradiol may have relevance for women with BPD. It is recommended that future studies utilize clinical samples and additional physiological measures to further elucidate the mechanisms through which estradiol exerts clinically-relevant change. KEY WORDS: Borderline Personality Disorder, 17-Beta Estradiol, Menstrual Cycle, Ovulation Tory Anne Eisenlohr-Moul April 24, 2013 EXPRESSION OF BORDERLINE PERSONALITY DISORDER SYMPTOMS ACROSS THE OVULATORY CYCLE: A MULTILEVEL INVESTIGATION By Tory Anne Eisenlohr-Moul C. Nathan DeWall, Ph.D. Co-Director of Dissertation Suzanne C. Segerstrom, Ph.D. Co-Director of Dissertation David T. Berry, Ph.D. Director of Graduate Studies April 24, 2013 Date ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I’d like to thank a few people by name for their roles in my completion of this dissertation. Mother and Father: You instilled in me an appreciation for education at a very early age, and a great deal of my success can be traced back to your love and encouragement. Dr. Erin Walsh: The tenderness you feel toward strangers continues to inspire me, but thanks for loving me best. Jessica Peters: It’s been so important for me to have a friend like you who really understands me. Thanks for every little thing you’ve done for me—but especially for your assistance on this project. Kaitlyn Chamberlain: Thank you for your dedication and hard work in helping me to run participants through this protocol. I’d also like to acknowledge funding received through a petit grant from the Center for Drug and Alcohol Research, without which this work would not have been possible, and resources from the Center for Drug Abuse Research Translation. Thank you to my patients with Borderline Personality Disorder, whose passion and intensity delights me. Last but not least, I’d like to thank the three people who have had the strongest influence on my development as a clinical scientist. Dr. Ruth Baer: Thank you for modeling equanimity, demonstrating kindness, and teaching me how to be effective in helping those who suffer. Dr. Nathan DeWall: You have been so supportive of me. Thank you for your kindness and for mentoring me in efficiency and self-assuredness. You helped me to become a much more productive scientist. Dr. Suzanne Segerstrom: Thank you for modeling genuine curiosity, methodological rigor, and passion for the field. You never settled for anything less than my best, and I’m deeply grateful to you for that. ii i TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ................................................................................................. iii LIST OF TABLES ............................................................................................................. vi LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................................................................... ix Chapter One: Introduction .................................................................................................. 1 Borderline Personality Disorder ..................................................................................... 1 The Reproductive Cycle and BPD Symptoms: Could Hormones Play a Role? ............. 2 A New Cyclical Vulnerability Theory of BPD in Women ............................................. 5 FFM Personality Abnormalities: Alternative Moderators of Cyclical Vulnerability ..... 6 A Special Case of Linehan’s Biosocial Model of BPD: Aspects of Childhood ............. 7 Maltreatment as Alternative Moderators of Cyclical Vulnerability ............................... 7 Alternative Mechanisms of Cycle-Related Change in BPD Symptoms ......................... 8 Global Self-Control as an Alternative Mediator ......................................................... 9 Aspects of Impulsivity as Alternative Mediators ........................................................ 9 The Present Study: Aims and Hypotheses .................................................................... 10 Chapter Two: Method ....................................................................................................... 12 Overview and Study Design ......................................................................................... 12 Participants .................................................................................................................... 12 Procedure ...................................................................................................................... 13 Screening and Recruitment ....................................................................................... 13 Weekly Laboratory Protocol ..................................................................................... 13 Follow-Up Risk Assessment Protocol ...................................................................... 16 Daily Diary Protocol ................................................................................................. 16 Weekly Measures .......................................................................................................... 17 17β-Estradiol ............................................................................................................. 17 Weekly BPD Symptoms ........................................................................................... 18 Weekly Feelings of Social Acceptance ..................................................................... 20 Weekly Self-Control ................................................................................................. 20 Weekly Impulsivity ................................................................................................... 21 Daily Measures ............................................................................................................. 22 Conception Probability ............................................................................................. 22 Daily BPD Symptoms ............................................................................................... 22 Daily Felt Acceptance ............................................................................................... 23 Between-Person Measures ............................................................................................ 23 Five Factor Model (FFM) Personality ...................................................................... 23 Childhood Maltreatment ........................................................................................... 24 DSM-IV Diagnosis of BPD ...................................................................................... 24 Data Analytic Plan ........................................................................................................ 25 Power Analysis ......................................................................................................... 25 Multilevel Models ..................................................................................................... 25 Model Fitting and Random Effects ........................................................................... 26 Specific Hypothesis Tests ......................................................................................... 27 Observations at the Daily and Weekly Level ............................................................... 30 Descriptive and Correlational Analyses ........................................................................ 30 iv Testing Hypothesis 1: Ovulation, Estradiol, and BPD Symptom Expression .............. 33 Testing Hypothesis 2: Moderation of Cycle Effects by Trait BPD .............................. 39 Testing Hypothesis 3a: Mediation by Felt Social Acceptance ..................................... 56 Testing Hypothesis 3b and 3c: Mediation by Impulsivity and Self-Control ................ 74 Testing Alternative Moderators: Dismantling Trait BPD Moderation Effects Using FFM Personality and Childhood Maltreatment .......................................................... 125 Chapter Four: Discussion ................................................................................................ 180 Do Ovulation or Increases in Estradiol Predict Greater BPD Symptoms? ................. 181 Do Ovulation or Increases in Estradiol Predict Lower Felt Acceptance? .................. 184 Alternative, Proximal Mediators: Are Changes in Self-Control or Impulsivity Responsible for Cycle Effects? ................................................................................... 185 Investigating Alternative Moderators of Cyclical and Hormonal Effects: Roles of FFM Personality and Childhood Maltreatment ................................................................... 187 Contextualizing the Present Findings in the Extant Literature on the Cycle and BPD ..................................................................................................................................... 191 Using Biosocial and Evolutionary Theories to Understand the Effects of the Cycle on BPD Symptoms ........................................................................................................... 193 Using FFM and Biosocial Theories of BPD to Understand the Effects of Average Levels of Estradiol on BPD Symptoms ...................................................................... 195 Limitations and General Recommendations for Future Work in this Area ................ 201 Clinical Implications and Directions for Future Clinical Research ............................ 203 Conclusions ................................................................................................................. 205 References ....................................................................................................................... 206 CURRICULUM VITAE ................................................................................................. 217 v LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Demographic Sample Characteristics………………………………………..…14 Table 2. Zero-order correlations among between-person measures, average estradiol, and average daily and weekly measures of BPD……………………………………………..31 Table 3. Multilevel Poisson Regression Models Predicting Daily PAI-BOR Scores from Daily Conception Probability Values……………………………………………………34 Table 4. Multilevel Poisson Regression Models Predicting Weekly BPD Symptoms from Average Levels of Estradiol and Weekly Deviations in Estradiol……………………....36 Table 5. Multilevel Poisson Regression Models Predicting Daily PAI-BOR Scores from the Interaction of Daily Conception Probability Values and Average of Weekly PAI-BOR Assessments (Trait BPD) ……………………………………………………………….40 Table 6. Multilevel Poisson Regression Models Predicting Daily PAI-BOR Scores from the Interaction of Daily Conception Probability Values and Number of SCID-II BPD Criteria Met (Trait BPD) ………………………………………………………………..44 Table 7. Multilevel Poisson Regression Models Predicting Weekly BPD Symptoms from the Interaction of Average of Weekly PAI-BOR Assessments (Trait BPD) with Average Estradiol and Weekly Deviations in Estradiol…………………………………………..47 Table 8. Multilevel Poisson Regression Models Predicting Weekly BPD Symptoms from the Interaction of Number of SCID-II Criteria Met (Trait BPD) with Average Estradiol and Weekly Deviations in Estradiol……………………………………………………..57 Table 9. Multilevel Poisson Regression Models Predicting Daily Felt Acceptance from Daily Conception Probability Values……………………………………………………60 Table 10. Multilevel Poisson Regression Models Predicting Daily Felt Acceptance from the Interaction of Daily Conception Probability Values and Average of Weekly PAI-BOR Assessments (Trait BPD) ………………………………………………………………..62 Table 11. Multilevel Poisson Regression Models Predicting Daily Felt Acceptance from the Interaction of Daily Conception Probability Values and Number of SCID-II BPD Criteria Met (Trait BPD) ………………………………………………………………...63 Table 12. Multilevel Regression Models Predicting Weekly Felt Acceptance from Average Estradiol and Weekly Deviations in Estradiol…………………………………66 Table 13. Multilevel Regression Models Predicting Weekly Felt Acceptance from the Interaction of Average Weekly PAI-BOR Total Score with Average Estradiol and Weekly Deviations in Estradiol………………………………………………………….67 Table 14. Multilevel Poisson Regression Models Predicting Daily PAI-BOR Scores from Average Levels of Daily Felt Acceptance and Daily Deviations in Felt Acceptance…...68 Table 15. Multilevel Poisson Regression Models Predicting Weekly BPD Symptoms from Average Levels of Weekly Felt Acceptance and Weekly Deviations in Felt Acceptance……………………………………………………………………………….72 Table 16. Multilevel Regression Models Predicting Weekly Self-Control and Impulsivity from Average Estradiol and Weekly Deviations in Estradiol……………………………80 Table 17. Multilevel Regression Models Predicting Weekly Self-Control and Impulsivity from the Interaction of Average Weekly PAI-BOR Total Score with Average Estradiol and Weekly Deviations in Estradiol……………………………………………………..82 v i