Evaluation report

122 Pages·2014·2.24 MB·English

Evaluation of the European
Union’s Co-operation with
Kenya

Final Report
Volume 1
June 2014

Development
and Cooperation
EuropeAid

Lead company
Merzhauser Str. 183
D-79100 Freiburg

Consortium composed by
DRN, ECDPM, Ecorys, Mokoro, Particip
Leader of the Consortium: Particip

Contract No 2012/304196

This evaluation was commissioned by
the Evaluation Unit of the
Directorate General for Development and Cooperation –
EuropeAid (European Commission)

The opinions expressed in this document represent the authors’ points of view
which are not necessarily shared by the European Commission
or by the authorities of the concerned countries.

This report has been prepared by:

ECORYS Nederland B.V.
Watermanweg 44
3067 GG Rotterdam

P.O. Box 4175
3006 AD Rotterdam
The Netherlands

T [phone]
F [phone]
E [email protected]
Registration no. 24316726

W: www.ecorys.nl

Evaluation team:

Anneke Slob Team leader, monitoring and evaluation specialist
Martin van der Linde Deputy team leader, budget support and PFM expert
Jens Larsen Transport sector expert
Rudy Ooijen Agricultural and rural development expert
Karuti Kanyinga Governance expert
Lydeke Schakel Non state actors expert

Rotterdam, June 2014

The evaluation was managed by the
DEVCO Evaluation Unit.

The authors accept sole
responsibility for this report, drawn
up on behalf of the Commission of
the European Union. The report
does not necessarily reflect the
views of the Commission.

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Table of Contents
List of Tables and Figures 7 
Tables 7 
Figures 7 
List of Abbreviations 9 
Executive summary 13 
1  Introduction 21 
1.1  Objectives of the evaluation 21 
1.2  Scope of the evaluation 21 
1.3  Methodology 21 
1.4  Evaluation challenges 23 
1.5  Structure of the report 24 
2  Context 25 
2.1  Socio-economic development 25 
2.2  Governance 27 
2.3  International assistance 30 
3  EU Programme and Intervention Logic 33 
3.1  Main characteristics of the Country Strategy Papers 33 
3.2  Portfolio analysis 35 
3.3  Reconstructed Intervention Logic 39 
4  Main findings 41 
4.1  EQ1: Responsiveness 41 
4.1.1 Answer to EQ1 41 
4.1.2 Rationale EQ1 42 
4.1.3 Main findings EQ1 43 
4.2  EQ2: Donor coordination and harmonisation 49 
4.2.1 Answer to EQ2 49 
4.2.2 Rationale EQ2 50 
4.2.3 Main findings EQ2 51 
4.3  EQ3: Results focus 54 
4.3.1 Answer to EQ3 54 
4.3.2 Rationale EQ3 55 
4.3.3 Main findings EQ3 55 
4.4  EQ4: GBS Strategy 58 
4.4.1 Answer to EQ4 58 
4.4.2 Rationale EQ4 61 
4.4.3 Main findings EQ4 61 
4.5  EQ5: PFM Reforms 64 
4.5.1 Answer to EQ5 64 
4.5.2 Rationale EQ5 65 
4.5.3 Main findings EQ5 66 
4.6  EQ6: Agricultural and food security improvements 68 

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4.6.1 Answer to EQ6 68 
4.6.2 Rationale EQ6 69 
4.6.3 Main findings EQ6 70 
4.7  EQ7: Rural Service delivery and empowerment 73 
4.7.1 Answer to EQ7 73 
4.7.2 Rationale 75 
4.7.3 Main findings EQ7 75 
4.8  EQ8: Transport sector improvements 79 
4.8.1 Answer to EQ8 79 
4.8.2 Rationale EQ8 81 
4.8.3 Main findings EQ8 83 
4.9  EQ9: Economic transport impacts 88 
4.9.1 Answer to EQ9 88 
4.9.2 Rationale EQ9 90 
4.9.3 Main findings EQ9 90 
4.10 EQ10: Governance improvements 94 
4.10.1  Answer to EQ10 94 
4.10.2  Rationale EQ10 95 
4.10.3  Main findings EQ10 96 
5  Conclusions and recommendations 99 
5.1  Conclusions 99 
5.1.1 Strategic conclusions 99 
5.1.2 Conclusions macro-economic support 105 
5.1.3 Conclusions agriculture and rural development 106 
5.1.4 Conclusions transport infrastructure 108 
5.1.5 Conclusions governance 109 
5.2  Recommendations 110 
5.2.1 Strategic recommendations 110 
5.2.2 Recommendations for the agriculture and rural development
sector 115 
5.2.3 Recommendations for the transport infrastructure sector 116 
5.2.4 Recommendations for the governance sector 117 

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List of Tables and Figures
Tables
Table 1.1 Coverage of the evaluation criteria and EU key issues by the
evaluation questions 22
Table 2.1 Trend in development assistance in Kenya, 2004-2011 (Constant
2011 US$ in millions) 31
Table 3.1 Allocations and re-allocations 9th EDF CSP 33
Table 3.2 Allocations and re-allocations 10th EDF CSP 34
Table 3.3 Percentage of total amount paid by sub-sector/activity group:
Transport sector 36
Table 3.4 Percentage of total amount paid by sub-sector/activity group
Agriculture/Rural development sector 37
Table 3.5 Planned and disbursed GBS amounts (in €) 38
Table 3.6 Percentage of total amount paid by sub-sector/activity group
Governance sector 39
Table 4.1 ROM coverage per sector 56
Table 4.2 Evaluation coverage per sector 57
Table 4.3 Development in Road Condition of the Northern Corridor 86

Figures
Figure 3.1 Percentage of total amount paid per sector 36

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