JournalofEducationalPsychology ©2011AmericanPsychologicalAssociation 2012,Vol.104,No.1,224–234 0022-0663/11/$12.00 DOI:10.1037/a0024968 Predicting First Graders’ Development of Calculation Versus Word-Problem Performance: The Role of Dynamic Assessment Pamela M. Seethaler, Lynn S. Fuchs, Douglas Fuchs, and Donald L. Compton VanderbiltUniversity Thepurposeofthisstudywastoassessthevalueofdynamicassessment(DA;degreeofscaffolding requiredtolearnunfamiliarmathematicscontent)forpredicting1st-gradecalculations(CAs)andword problems(WPs)development,whilecontrollingfortheroleoftraditionalassessments.Among1841st graders,predictors(DA,QuantityDiscrimination,TestofMathematicsAbility,language,andreasoning) wereassessednearthestartof1stgrade.CAandWPwereassessedneartheendof1stgrade.Planned regressionandcommonalityanalysesindicatedthatforforecastingCAdevelopment,QuantityDiscrim- ination, which accounted for 8.84% of explained variance, was the single most powerful predictor, followedbyTestofMathematicsAbilityandDA;languageandreasoningwerenotuniquelypredictive. By contrast, for predicting WP development, DA was the single most powerful predictor, which accountedfor12.01%ofexplainedvariance,withTestofMathematicsAbility,QuantityDiscrimination, andlanguagealsouniquelypredictive.Resultssuggestthatdifferentconstellationsofcognitiveresources arerequiredforCAvs.WPdevelopmentandthatDAmaybeusefulinpredicting1st-grademathematics development,especiallyWP. Keywords:mathematics,dynamicassessment,kindergarten,calculations,wordproblems Dynamicassessment(DA)involvesstructuringalearningtask, Campione,1986)ortheamountofscaffoldingrequiredduringthe providing feedback or instruction to help the examinee learn the assisted learning experience to reach criterion performance (e.g., task,andindexingresponsivenesstotheassistedlearningexperi- Murray,Smith,&Murray,2000;Spector,1992).Interactionstyle enceasameasureoftheexaminee’scapacitytoprofitfromfuture is another dimension along which DAs vary. With standardized instruction.BeginningwithVygotsky’s(e.g.,1934/1962)proposal DAs (e.g., Ferrara et al., 1986), testers rely on a fixed series of morethan75yearsago,discussionshavecenteredonwhetherDA prompts;otherDAs(e.g.,Tzuriel&Feuerstein,1992)areindivid- might serve as an alternative to the conventional assessment par- ualized, with testers addressing the specific obstacles examinees adigm, in which examinees respond without assistance. The con- reveal.YetanotherdimensionalongwhichDAsdifferisthenature cernisthatsuchstaticassessmentsrevealonlytwostates,unaided ofthetasksusedfortheassistedlearningexperience,whichmay success or failure (Sternberg, 1996; Tzuriel & Haywood, 1992), focus on domain-general cognitive abilities (e.g., Budoff, 1967; which masks distinctions among children who cannot perform a Feuerstein,1979)oroncognitiveabilitiespresumedtounderliethe task independently but can succeed with varying levels of assis- academicdomaintobepredicted(e.g.,Swanson&Howard,2005) tance. or on domain-specific abilities such as reading or mathematics TheliteratureonDAisdiffuse.Studiesvarywithrespecttohow tasks(e.g.,Bransford,Delclos,Vye,Burns,&Hasselbring,1987; DAsarestructured.Intermsofscoring,DAsmayquantifyrespon- Campione,1989;Campione&Brown,1987;Spector,1992). sivenesstotheassistedlearningexperienceasimprovementfrom TheDAliteraturealsovariesintermsofresearchquestionsand unassisted pretest to unassisted posttest (e.g., Ferrara, Brown, & methodological features. Researchers who index pretest–posttest improvement typically investigate whether the DA score distin- guishes between individuals with and without a preestablished diagnosisassociatedwithpoorlearning(e.g.,Tzuriel&Feuerstein, ThisarticlewaspublishedOnlineFirstAugust22,2011. 1992). By contrast, researchers who index degree of scaffolding Pamela M. Seethaler, Lynn S. Fuchs, Douglas Fuchs, and Donald L. typically examine the value of that score in predicting a learning Compton,DepartmentofSpecialEducation,VanderbiltUniversity. ThisresearchwassupportedbyU.S.DepartmentofEducationAward outcomeexternaltotheDA(e.g.,Spector,1992).Thissecondtype NumberR324A090039andbyEuniceKennedyShriverNationalInstitute of study can be further categorized in terms of whether static, of Child Health & Human Development Award Number R01HD059179 competing predictors of outcome are considered and whether the andCoreGrantNumberHD15052awardedtoVanderbiltUniversity.The externallearningoutcomeisassessedconcurrentlywiththeDAor contentissolelytheresponsibilityoftheauthorsanddoesnotnecessarily at a future time. Studies that control for competing predictors or represent the official views of the U.S. Department of Education or the measure the external learning outcome at a later time impose a Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health & Human morestringenttestofDA’svalue.Forthesereasons,inthepresent DevelopmentortheNationalInstitutesofHealth. study, we examined the contribution of DA in forecasting future CorrespondenceconcerningthisarticleshouldbeaddressedtoPamela M.Seethaler,228Peabody,VanderbiltUniversity,Nashville,TN37203. externallearningwhileconsideringthecontributionofcompeting E-mail:[email protected] predictors.WewereinterestedinDA’scontributioninpredicting 224 PREDICTINGFIRSTGRADERS’DEVELOPMENT 225 two transparently different forms of mathematics development: year,studentswereassessedonWPmeasuresproximalanddistal calculations(CAs)andwordproblems(WPs). to instruction. Structural equation measurement models showed that DA measured a distinct dimension of pretreatment ability. Prior DA Studies Predicting Mathematics Learning Structuralequationmodelingshowedthatthenatureofinstruction External to the DA While Considering Competing (validated vs. conventional) was sufficient to account for WP development proximal to instruction; yet, language, pretreatment Predictors mathperformance,andDAwereuniquelypredictiveinforecasting Toestablishthecontextandrationaleforthepresentinvestiga- WPdevelopmentmoredistaltoinstruction. tion,wedescribepriorstudiesthathaveexploredDA’scontribu- Inthepresentstudy,weextendedL.S.Fuchs,Fuchs,Compton tioninpredictinglearningexternaltotheDAwhilecontrollingfor etal.(2008)inthreeways.First,weexaminedtheroleofDAin competingpredictors.Weconsideredinvestigationsthatpredicted predicting future mathematics learning using a different domain- concurrentorfutureoutcomesaswellasDAsofvaryingstructure specific DA: solving four types of nonstandard expressions. We and design, while limiting our search to studies that focused on selectedthisdomainbecause(a)wecouldassumeitwasunfamil- mathematics. This netted three relevant investigations. Speece, iar and sufficiently difficult that most first graders would not be Cooper,andKibler(l990)measuredfirst-gradestudentsonaDA abletosolvenonstandardexpressionswithoutassistance,butcould task associated with overall cognitive ability: solving matrices. learn the content with varying amounts of support; (b) we could Usingastandardizedstyleofinteraction,theyindexedthenumber assume that beginning first graders would have the prerequisite of prompts students required during the assisted learning experi- skillstosupporttheassistedlearningexperience—representations ence.Thisscoreaccountedforuniquevariance,beyondverbalIQ, of,Arabicnumeralnamesfor,andcountingskillsassociatedwith pre-DAmatricesperformance,andlanguageability,inexplaining smallquantities(1–10);(c)wecoulddelineatestrategiesforsolv- individual differences on the Wide-Range Achievement Test- ingthenonstandardexpressions,whichweusedtoconstructclear Arithmetic subtest (WRAT; Wilkinson, 1993), with 2% of the explanationswithinagraduatedsequenceofprompts;and(d)via varianceinWRATuniquetotheDA. pilot work, we had established that the DA’s four types of non- Swanson and Howard (2005) extended Speece et al.’s (1990) standard expressions were increasingly difficult, with later types studybycenteringtheirDAoncognitiveresourcesmorespecifi- building on earlier types, such that transfer across the four DA cally presumed to underlie reading or math performance: phono- equationtypesmightfacilitatehigherDAscores. logicalworkingmemory(i.e.,rhymingtasksthatrequiredrecallof BeyondfocusingonadifferentDA,asecondandmoreimpor- acoustically similar words) and semantic working memory (i.e., tant extension to L. S. Fuchs, Fuchs, Compton, et al. (2008) was digit/sentence tasks that required recall of numerical information that,inthepresentstudy,weassessedtheutilityofDAatthestart embeddedinshortsentences).Theinteractionstylewasindividu- of first grade, when forecasting learning has proved especially alized,withDAtesterschoosingamongfourstandardizedhintsto challenging (e.g., Compton et al., 2010; Johnson, Jenkins, Pet- select the least obvious hint that aligned best with the student’s scher, & Catts, 2009). This is due to difficulty in distinguishing errors.ThreeDAscoresweregenerated:gainscore(highestscore between two types of students who score poorly on static mea- obtainedwithassistance);maintenancescore(stabilityofthehigh- sures: those with poor learning potential who require special estlevelobtainedafterassistancewasremoved);andprobescore intervention versus those whose low score is due to limited prior (numberofhintstoachievehighestlevel).DAscoresforphono- learning experience but who have good potential to learn in re- logicalworkingmemorywerecombinedintoafactorscore,aswas sponse to generally strong classroom instruction. DA, which in- doneforDAsemanticworkingmemory;bothwereusedtopredict dexes how much instructional scaffolding is required to produce concurrent WRAT performance. Among students averaging learning,maybemoreusefulthanstaticmeasuresformakingsuch 10–12 years of age, static measures of verbal IQ and pre-DA distinctions. phonological working memory as well as the semantic DA score The final and most important extension to L. S. Fuchs, Fuchs, uniquely accounted for individual differences in WRAT perfor- Compton,etal.(2008)wasthatthepresentstudyfocusedonDA’s mance; the variance uniquely attributable to the semantic DA value as a predictor of learning as a function of type of mathe- factorwas25%. matics development: CA versus WP performance. These two Therefore,SwansonandHoward(2005)foundstrongersupport forms of mathematics development are transparently different. for concurrent relations with calculations outcomes for a DA Whereas CA problems are set up for solution, WPs require stu- centered on cognitive abilities presumed to underlie mathematics dents to use linguistic information to construct a problem model: performancethandidSpeeceetal.(1990),whoseDAaddresseda identifying missing information, constructing a number sentence, task associated with more general cognitive ability. However, andsettingupaCAproblemforsolution.Beyondthetransparent neither study assessed mathematics development at a future time differences between CA and WP, prior work suggests that the or used a DA that involved a domain-specific, mathematics task. cognitive characteristics underlying development in CA versus Weidentifiedonlyonesuchstudy.L.S.Fuchs,Fuchs,Compton, WP differ (e.g., L. S. Fuchs, Fuchs, Stuebing, et al., 2008; L. S. etal.(2008)developedadomain-specificDAdesignedtobenovel Fuchs, Geary, Compton, Fuchs, Hamlett, Seethaler, et al., 2010; to the third-grade participants by focusing on early algebraic Swanson&Beebe-Frankenberger,2004).Forexample,processing cognition tasks. In the fall, students were assessed on cognitive speed(L.S.Fuchs,Fuchs,Stuebing,etal.)andworkingmemory resources associated with word-problem performance, initial CA (Bull & Johnston, 1997) seem to contribute to CA development, and WP performance, as well as DA. On the basis of random whereas WP skill appears to be uniquely predicted by concept assignment, students received 16 weeks of validated WP instruc- formation,nonverbalreasoning,sight-wordproficiency,language, tion or conventional WP instruction. Near the end of the school andreading(L.S.Fuchsetal.,2006;L.S.Fuchs,Geary,Compton, 226 SEETHALER,FUCHS,FUCHS,ANDCOMPTON Fuchs, Hamlett, Seethaler, et al., 2010; Swanson, 2006). More- Booth, 2004), we distinguished variance associated with knowl- over, skill with WP is significantly linked to CA skill, as L. S. edgeofsmallquantities,whichistransparentlyprerequisitetoand Fuchs et al. (2006) showed with path analysis of arithmetic, shouldsupportperformanceontheDA,fromvarianceassociated arithmeticcomputation,andarithmeticWPperformanceofthird- withwhattheDAwasdesignedtoindex:scaffoldingrequiredto grade students, making CA skill necessary but not sufficient for learn novel mathematics content. Given that QD predicts CA solvingWPs. outcomes(Chardetal.,2005;Lembke&Foegen,2005)andthat Althoughthesetransparentdifferencescreatedifferentdemands CA is required for WPs, we anticipated that QD would explain on students, we identified no prior studies that examined DA’s varianceinbothtypesofoutcomes. valueforthese(orother)contrastingsubdomainsofmathematics At the same time, because QD is a speeded assessment that performance. We hypothesized that DA’s predictive value might focusesonalimitedconceptualizationofearlynumericalcompe- differonthebasisofthesetransparentdifferencesanddifferences tency, we also included a power test assessing a broader set of in cognitive correlates. On one hand, the present study’s DA, early mathematical competencies, including informal and formal which focuses on balancing equations, may reflect conceptual knowledge: the Test of Early Mathematics Ability-3 (TEMA; understandingofarithmeticortheequalsign,whichmaybemore Ginsberg & Baroody, 2003). In terms of informal knowledge central for WP than CA, because WP (but not CA) development constructs,TEMAassessesnumbering(e.g.,countingby1,by10s, seems to be linked with concept formation and reasoning. The or from a number; identifying number before or after), number present study’s DA incorporates increasingly explicit, conceptu- comparison(e.g.,identifyingsmaller/largerquantitiesfromcollec- ally based worked examples, which may draw on the same cog- tions of items or from Arabic numerals; selecting the Arabic nitive resources as does solving WP. On the other hand, the DA numeral closer to a given numeral), CAs (e.g., solving mental, includes strategies for deriving answers to CA problems, while nonverbal addition problems with sums to 12; demonstrating ad- avoidinganynarrativeWPcontextandinstruction;inthisway,the dition of one or more objects), and understanding of cardinality DAmaybetterreflectcapacityforCAthanWPdevelopment. (e.g.,shownacollectionofprintedstars,countingandsayinghow many)andequalpartitioning(e.g.,givenasetoftokens,showing howtosharethe“cookies”fairlybetweentwosisters).Thetypes Competing Predictors of formal knowledge assessed are numeral literacy (reading/ In considering the value of DA for predicting CA versus WP writing numerals from 1 to 4 digits), number facts (speeded in development,wewereinterestedincontrollingvarianceassociated answeringadditionormultiplicationfacts),CAs(performingwrit- with predictors that represent traditional (static) domain-specific tenormentalcalculationsoftwo-digitnumerals),andunderstand- numericalcompetenciesanddomain-generalcognitiveresources. ingtheadditivecommutativityprinciple(e.g.,9(cid:1)7isthesameas 7(cid:1)9)andbaseten(e.g.,identifyinghowmany$10billsequalone $100bill). Domain-Specific Numerical Competencies In previous predictive validity research with kindergarten or Okamoto(2000,citedinKalchman,Moss,&Case,2001)iden- first-gradesamples,TEMAhasbeenusedasanoutcomemeasure, tified the ability to discriminate between quantities as a distinct with coefficients ranging from .33 to .69 (Lembke & Foegen, dimensionofkindergarteners’mathematicsperformance,requiring 2005;Mazzocco&Thompson,2005;Seethaler&Fuchs,inpress; children not only to distinguish between numerosities but also to Teisl, Mazzocco, & Myers, 2001). To our knowledge, however, move across representational systems. Kindergarteners differ in TEMA has not been evaluated as a predictor of outcome. In the theirabilitytodiscriminatebetweenquantities(i.e.,Whichnumber context of the present study, in which DA is a lengthy, untimed isbigger,4or6?),evenwhencontrollingforcountingandsimple assessment,wewereinterestedincontrollingforvarianceassoci- computation (Griffin, Case, & Siegler, 1994). Quantity Discrimi- ated with another lengthy, untimed (but static) assessment of nation (QD; Chard et al., 2005) is a measure of the speed and numericalcompetencies.Controllinginthiswayfortheroleofa accuracywithwhichchildrendistinguishbetweenandmapArabic more established, extended, and comprehensive (but static) mea- numerals onto small numerosities (i.e., students quickly identify sure of early mathematical competencies, which also maps more thelargerquantityinpairsofArabicnumeralsrangingfrom1to directlythanDAontotheskillsmeasuredinouroutcomes,created 10). astringenttestforthepredictivevalueofDA.BecauseTEMAtaps Inthepresentstudy,weincludedQDbecauseevidenceindicates multiple forms of mathematical knowledge, we hypothesized it that, at the beginning of first grade, it is a strong predictor of wouldpredictCAandWPoutcomes. subsequent mathematics achievement (e.g., Chard et al., 2005; Clarke & Shinn, 2004; Lembke & Foegen, 2005). We had three Domain-General Cognitive Resources additionalreasonsforincludingQD.First,itiscommonlyusedin schoolsforscreeningriskforpoormathematicsdevelopmentatthe In the present study, we also assessed the contribution of two start of first grade. Second, in choosing QD, we opted against domain-generalcognitiveabilitiesinpredictingoutcomes.Forthis measuresthatrequireoperationalmanipulationsofsmallquantities purpose, we included language and reasoning as predictors of as in the Number Sets Test (Geary, Bailey, & Hoard, 2009) or futuremathematicsability,twoimportantsubtestsofmanytradi- Curriculum-BasedMeasurement-Computation(L.S.Fuchsetal., tionalIQtests,whichhavealsobeenlinkedtoWPdevelopmentin 2007), because we sought a measure of early numerical compe- firstgraders(e.g.,L.S.Fuchs,Geary,Compton,Fuchs,Hamlett,& tencythatdidnotrequiretheoperationsrequiredforourCAand Bryant, 2010; L. S. Fuchs, Geary, Compton, Fuchs, Hamlett, WP outcomes. Finally, by fixing on small quantities (rather than Seethaler,etal.,2010).Languageabilityisimportanttoconsider larger magnitudes, as in Number Line Estimation; Siegler & given the need to process linguistic information during school PREDICTINGFIRSTGRADERS’DEVELOPMENT 227 instruction. As Dehaene (1997) suggested, even infants have an guage(.5%)disability;sixstudents(3.3%)wereEnglishlanguage informalandprimarysenseofnumber,whichmaybeinherent.As learners. children develop intellectually, however, they rely on symbolic Screeningmeasurestoobtainarepresentativesample. Be- andverbalcomprehensionofnumbers,necessaryforformalmath- causethetwoscreeningmeasureswereusedtoselectarepresen- ematical competence (Jordan, Glutting, & Ramineni, 2010). Jor- tativesample,itemsonthescreenersrepresentedarangeofdiffi- dan,Levine,andHuttenlocher(1995)documentedtheimportance culty.Becausethescreenerswereusedforsampleselections,they of language ability when kindergarten and first-grade language- werenotusedaspredictorsinthestudy.TheFirst-GradeTestof impairedchildrenperformedsignificantlylowerthannonimpaired ComputationalFluency(L.S.Fuchs,Hamlett,&Fuchs,1990)is peers on WPs. In addition to language, reasoning, measured by a single page of computation items representing the first-grade completing visually presented patterns, has been identified as a curriculum:ninesingle-digitadditionitems,ninesingle-digitsub- uniquepredictororcognitivecorrelateofvariousaspectsofmath- tractionitems,twodouble-digitadditionitemswithoutregrouping, ematics development. For example, L. S. Fuchs et al. (2005) three double-digit subtraction items without regrouping, and two demonstrated the importance of reasoning in WP development single-digitadditionitemswiththreeaddends.Itemsaredisplayed acrossfirstgrade,afindingcorroboratedbyAgnessandMcLone infiverowsoffiveitems,andstudentshave2mintowriteanswers (1987). Seethaler and Fuchs (2006) found reasoning to be a sig- nexttoorbeloweachitem.Theyareinstructedtofirsttrytheitems nificantcorrelateofcomputationalestimationskill,andreasoning that seem easier and then to go back to harder items. The score againemergedasasignificantpredictoroffifthgraders’develop- is the number of correct digits. Coefficient alpha for this sample mentofcomputationwithwholeandrationalnumbers(Seethaler, was.87. Fuchs, Star, & Bryant, 2011). Because the relations between The First-Grade Test of Mathematics Concepts and Applica- domain-generalabilitiesmaybestrongerforWPthanforCA(e.g., tions (L. S. Fuchs et al., 1990) comprises 25 items, displayed on L. S. Fuchs, Geary, Compton, Fuchs, Hamlett, & Bryant, 2010; three pages. Items represent the first-grade curriculum, including numeration, concepts, geometry, measurement, applied computa- L. S. Fuchs, Geary, Compton, Fuchs, Hamlett, Seethaler, et al., tion, money, charts, graphs, and word problems. The tester reads 2010), we hypothesized that the domain-general cognitive re- eachitemoutloud,withoutreadingkeynumbersornumberwords. sourceswouldcapturemorevarianceforpredictingWPthanCA Asthetesterreads,studentsfollowalongonapapercopy,while development. coveringotheritemsonthepage.Beforemovingtothenextitem, thetestergivesstudentssufficienttimetorespond(15or20s,as Method dictated by standard directions, based on field data indicating adequate response time for almost all first graders). The score is Participants. Two-hundred two participants (i.e., the maxi- thenumberofcorrectlyanswereditems.Coefficientalphaforthis mum number of students our research funds permitted, which samplewas.85. corresponded to power analyses indicating adequate sample size) Predictormeasures. WithQD(Chardetal.,2005;Lembke were identified. In 61 classrooms in 17 elementary schools (14 & Foegen, 2009; Research Institute on Progress Monitoring, TitleI;3non-TitleI)inasoutheasternmetropolitanschooldistrict, 2009), students have 1 min to select the larger of two numbers one-hundred fifteen students were excluded, who, as part of a (rangingfrom1to10),presentedin56boxesacrosstwopages(28 different study, would be receiving 16 weeks of mathematics perpage).Itisindividuallyadministered.Test–retestreliabilityis tutoring. (These students were excluded because tutoring was .85–.99(Clarke,Baker,Smolkowski,&Chard,2008). designed to disrupt the predictive value of their initial status on TEMA-3 (Ginsburg & Baroody, 2003) assesses informal and variablesliketheonesincludedinthepresentstudy.)Theremain- formal mathematics knowledge for children 3 years 0 months ing 866 students with parental consent were administered two through 8 years 11 months. It comprises 72 items of increasing screening measures, the First-Grade Test of Computational Flu- difficulty,withmultipletrialsforeachitem.Thetesterscoreseach ency and the First-Grade Test of Mathematics Concepts and Ap- trial as right or wrong by determining whether the number of plications(L.S.Fuchs,Hamlett,&Fuchs,1990;seetheMeasures correct trials warrants a point for that item. For example, some section),intheirgeneraleducationclassroomsbytrainedresearch itemsrequiretwoofthreecorrecttrialstoearnapoint;otheritems assistants. A latent class approach (combining screening scores requirealltrialsansweredcorrectly.Studentsreachaceilingwhen into a single latent factor) produced a three-class solution that five consecutive items do not meet criteria to earn a point; the specifiedhigh,average,andat-riskstrata.Stratifyingbyclassroom testerensuresabasaloffiveconsecutivelycorrectitems.Testing andstrata,two-hundredtwostudentswererandomlyselected(all takesupto45min.Coefficientalphafor6-year-oldsis.95. schoolsandclassroomswererepresented).Eighteenstudentswho To assess language, the Wechsler Abbreviated Scale of Intelli- movedpriortocompletingspringtestingwerecomparabletothe gence(WASI)Vocabularytest(PsychologicalCorporation,1999) remaining students on all demographics and on all mathematics was used, which measures expressive vocabulary and verbal performance variables administered in the fall. The present anal- knowledge.Theexaminerpresentswordsforthestudenttodefine ysesthusincludedthe184studentsforwhomfallandspringdata andimmediatelyscorestheresponseas0,1,or2pointsdepending havebeencollected.Ofthesestudents,80(43.5%)weremen,and onquality.Forthefirstfouritems,thestudentseesapictureofan 112(60.9%)receivedfreeorreducedlunch.Intermsofethnicity, itemtodefine;fortheremainingitems,theexaminerpresentsthe 74 students (40.2%) were African American, 85 (46.2%) were wordorally.Testingisdiscontinuedafterfiveconsecutivescores Caucasian,13(7.1%)wereHispanic,eight(4.3%)wereAsian,and of zero. Zhu (1999) reported split-half reliability at .86–.87; the four (2.2%) were “other.” Nine students (5.5%) received special correlation with the Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children education services for a learning (1.1%), speech (3.3%), or lan- (Wechsler,1999)is.72. 228 SEETHALER,FUCHS,FUCHS,ANDCOMPTON Toassessreasoning,weusedWASIMatrixReasoning(Psycho- thisone?”andpointingtothefirstitem.Ifafter15additionalsthe logical Corporation, 1999), which measures reasoning skill with studentstillhasnotwrittenanything,thetesterasks,“Areyoustill pattern completion, classification, analogy, and serial reasoning. working or are you stuck?” If student responds that he or she is Studentsseeacolorpictureofamatrixwithonepiecemissingand stuck or if 15 additional s elapse with no observable attempt to select the correct piece to complete the picture from five choices solvetheproblem,thetesterbeginsthenextlevelofinstructional displayedbelowthepicture.Theexaminerawards1pointforeach scaffolding. correctanswer;testingisdiscontinuedafterfouroutoffivemissed Eachequationtypeincludesfourorfiveinstructionalscaffold- items.AsperZhu(1999),reliabilityis.94. ing levels, each of which has two teaching items with which the Balancing Equations Dynamic Assessment (DA; Seethaler & examiner models and explains a problem-solving strategy. The Fuchs,2010a)measuresthedegreeofscaffoldingrequiredtolearn scaffolding is scripted to ensure consistency in language and unfamiliar mathematics content, specifically, solving for missing procedures. Examiners maintain student attention with frequent variablesinnonstandardadditionandsubtractionexpressions.The questions and participation. The scaffolding levels increase in DA comprises four types of equations of increasing difficulty. instructionalexplicitness.Withinanequationtype,thefirst(least Testers present strategies of increasing explicitness to teach stu- explicit) level only defines relevant mathematical terms (e.g., dentstobalancebothsidesoftheequation;studentsprogresstothe equalmeansthesameas;aplussignmeanstoaddmore).Withthe levelofexplicitnesstheyrequiretoachievemasteryofthatequa- second scaffolding level, the examiner uses a balance scale and tion type, at which time they advance to the next, more difficult 2-in. plastic teddy bear manipulatives to demonstrate balancing equationtype.Beyondthereasonsalreadydiscussedearlierinthis bothsidesoftheequation.A4-in.(cid:4)2-in.equalsign((cid:2))isprinted article, balancing equations were chosen as the DA task because onawhitecard,whichisaffixedtothecenterofthescale;student elementaryschoolstudentsoftenmisinterprettheequalsign((cid:2))as attentionisdrawntonotethesidesoftheequationasparalleltothe an operational rather than as a relational symbol (McNeil & sides of the scale, with manipulatives used to represent the Alibali, 2005; Sherman & Bisanz, 2009) and because solving amountsintheequation.Thethirdlevelofscaffoldingprovides equations with missing numbers is important for higher level instruction in solving the equations while using tally marks mathematics skills and thus is valuable content for students to drawn on paper to represent the numerical amounts. The next learn. scaffolding level provides instruction in solving the equations FourequationtypesconstitutetheDA.EquationTypeArequires in conjunction with an 8-in. number line printed on a piece of solving for a missing variable in the first or second position in cardstock; students are taught to move their finger to count equations that use 1 as an addend and for which the sum is not spaces on the number line while solving the equations. This is greaterthan9(e.g.,__(cid:1)1(cid:2)4or8(cid:1)__(cid:2)9).WithEquation designedtobuildunderstandingoftheinverserelationbetween TypeB,studentssolveforamissingvariableinthefirstorsecond addition and subtraction (e.g., for ___ (cid:1) 2 (cid:2) 6, students count positioninequationsthatdonotuse1asanaddendandforwhich on4from2togetto6,revealingthat6–2(cid:2)4).Thefinal,most thesumisnogreaterthan9(e.g.,__(cid:1)2(cid:2)6or3(cid:1)__(cid:2)5).For explicit scaffolding level increases the support for the student to EquationTypeC,studentssolveforamissingvariableinthefirst successfully apply the number line strategy for building under- position in subtraction equations with minuends no greater than standingoftheinverserelationbetweenadditionandsubtraction. nine(e.g.,__(cid:3)7(cid:2)2).EquationTypeDrequiresstudentstosolve Toward that end, different colored markers on the number line foramissingvariableinanyoffourpositions,withsumsonboth representdifferentpartsoftheequation.(EquationTypesAandC sidesoftheequalsign,noneofwhichexceed9(e.g.,__(cid:1)5(cid:2)3(cid:1) have five levels of instruction, whereas Equation Types B and D 4 or 3 (cid:1) 6 (cid:2) 5 (cid:1) __). The equation types are presented so that havefourbecausenewmathematicaltermsarenotintroducedfor successwithanearlierequationtypeshouldpromoteunderstand- Equation Type B or D.) Worked examples used during instruc- ingofasubsequentequationtype. tional scaffolding are not displayed during mastery testing; how- TheadministrationandscoringproceduresfollowL.S.Fuchs, ever, all materials necessary for applying the strategies taught Fuchs, Compton, et al. (2008). Within each equation type, the duringscaffoldingarealwaysdisplayedonthetestingtable(even testerbeginsbyassessingmasteryofthatequationtype.Ifmastery duringtheinitialmasterytest).Studentsarenotpenalizedbytheir isdemonstrated,thestudentadvancestothenextequationtype.If choiceofproblem-solutionstrategies.Anequationtypeisdeemed not,instructionalscaffoldingbeginswiththeleastexplicitlevelof masteredwhenatleastfiveofthesixitemsareansweredcorrectly, scaffolding.Masterytestingthenrecurs.Ifmasteryisachieved,the atwhichtimetheexaminerprogressestothenextDAskill. studentprogressestothenextequationtype.Ifnot,thenextmore DAscoresrangefrom0to22.Zeroindicatesastudentdidnot explicitlevelofinstructionalscaffoldingispresented,andmastery masteranyequationtype;22reflectsastudentmasteringeachof testingfollows.Inthisway,amaximumoffourorfive(depending the four equation types on the first administration of the mastery onequationtype)increasinglyexplicitlevelsofinstructionalscaf- test(i.e.,withoutanyinstructionalscaffolding;EquationTypesA, folding are used. If the student fails to master an equation type B,C,andDareworth6,5,6,and5points,respectively,because afterthefinallevelofscaffoldingfortheequationtype,theDAis EquationTypesAandChavefivelevelsofinstructionalscaffold- terminated. ing, whereas Equation Types B and D have only four levels). A Eachmasterytestcomprisessixitemsrepresentingthetargeted testersubtracts1pointfromthemaximumof22eachtimealevel equation type. Items repeat across alternate test forms (used for of instructional scaffolding is required. For example, if a student successivemasterytestingwithinthatequationtype),butitemsare demonstratesmasteryonthefirstadministrationofthemasterytest presented in different orders. Mastery test items are not used for for Equation Types A, B, and C (without any instructional scaf- instructionalscaffolding.Ifastudentwritesnothingonamastery folding), but requires two levels of instructional scaffolding to testfor5s,thetesterpromptsthestudentbyasking,“Canyoutry masterEquationTypeD,theexaminersubtracts2pointsfromthe PREDICTINGFIRSTGRADERS’DEVELOPMENT 229 maximumof22,awardingascoreof20.Bycontrast,ifastudent tered simultaneously. In explaining CA development, the combi- requires three levels of instructional scaffolding to master Equa- nationofQD,TEMA,language,reasoning,andDAaccountedfor tion Type A, four levels of instructional scaffolding to master 57.7%ofthevariance,F(5,178)(cid:2)48.63,p(cid:5).001.Fourofthe Equation Type B, and fails to master Equation Type C (thereby fivepredictorsmadeauniquecontributioninexplainingindividual terminatingtheDAsuchthatEquationTypeDisnotpresented), differencesinCAdevelopment.QDwasthestrongestcontributor, the student loses 3 points for Equation Type A, 4 points for with TEMA a close second, followed by DA; language and rea- EquationTypeB,6pointsforEquationTypeC,and5pointsfor soning were not uniquely predictive. By contrast, in explaining EquationTypeD,forascoreof4.Internalconsistencyreliability WPdevelopment,thecombinationofthefivepredictorsaccounted wasindexedbycorrelatingthescorefromeachDAequationtype for a larger percentage (71.6%) of variance, F(5, 178) (cid:2) 89.67, withtheDAtotalscore,usingthesubsetofstudentswhohadnot p (cid:5) .001. The predictors that made a unique contribution in reachedaceilingonperformancepriortotheadministrationofthat explainingindividualdifferencesinWPdevelopmentalsodiffered DA equation type. For Equation Type A, r (cid:2) .90; for Equation from those involved in CA. For WP, DA was the strongest pre- TypeB,r(cid:2).86;forEquationTypeC,r(cid:2).82;forEquationType dictor,followedbylanguage,TEMA,andQD;reasoningwasnot D,r(cid:2).84.1 uniquelypredictive. End-of-first-grade mathematics outcome measures. Both To supplement these regressions, we conducted a complete outcomemeasuresarepowertests,inwhichtimelimitsareample commonality analysis (Beaton, 1973; Capraro & Capraro, 2001; forallstudentstocompletetheitemstheyarecapableofanswer- Newton&Spurell,1967;Nimon,Lewis,Kane,&Haynes,2008) ing. To assess CA performance, the Arithmetic subtest of the specifying the unique and shared variance associated with each WRAT-3 (Wilkinson, 1993) was used, with which students have predictorandeachcombinationofpredictorsforCAdevelopment 10 min to write answers to 40 calculation items of increasing and for WP development. See Table 3, in which we list the difficulty(kindergartenthroughGrade12).Noneofthestudentsin predictors and all possible combinations thereof in the first col- the present study used all 10 min. According to the manual, umn. In the second and fourth columns, we show coefficients reliabilityis.94. expressing the proportion of total variance explained by the pre- ToassessWPperformance,StoryProblems(Jordan&Hanich, dictor(s).Inthethirdandfifthcolumns,wetranslatedthepropor- 2000) was used, which comprises 14 single-step addition and tions of total variance to percentages of explained variance. To subtraction WPs of the types most often encountered in the pri- derivepercentagesofexplainedvariance,wetookthecoefficient marygrades:combine,compare,andchange.Thetesterreadseach expressing the proportion of total variance explained by a given itemaloudandprovidesoneadditionalreadingifrequestedtodo predictor and divided that coefficient by the total amount of so. Students have 30 s to answer on their paper copy of the test, explained variance across predictors, then multiplied by 100. For which they have available throughout testing so they can read example,inexplainingindividualdifferencesinWPdevelopment, along while the tester reads or refer back to problems as they the coefficient expressing the proportion of total variance ex- derivesolutions.Then,thetesterreadsthenextproblem.Students plained by DA is .086, and the coefficient denoting the total completed all work within the 30-s time limit for each problem. proportionofvarianceexplainedbyallthepredictors(individually Coefficientalphaonthissamplewas.90. andincombination)is.716.Toderivethepercentageofexplained Procedure. In late September and October, the WASI Vo- variance accounted by DA in WP development, we divided .086 cabulary,WASIMatrixReasoning,QD,andTEMAwereadmin- by.716,whichequals.1201,andthenmultipliedby100:12.01%. istered. In October and November, the DA was administered. Inthediscussionthatfollows,werelyonpercentageofexplained CompetingpredictorswereadministeredbeforetheDAsothatthe variancetofacilitatecomparisonsacrossCAandWP. teachingintheDAwouldnotinfluenceestimatesofperformance onothermeasures.Thegoalwastocompletethetwosessionsfor Discussion eachstudentwithin1schoolweek.Thishappenedforamajority ofstudents,butsometimestookanadditionalweek(ifthestudent The purpose of this study was to assess the value of DA in wasabsentorotherwiseunavailablefortestinginthetargetedtime predictingtwotransparentlydifferentformsofmathematicsdevel- frame). In May, the CA and WP tests were administered. Tests opment:CAandWP.InevaluatingtheroleofDA,wecontrolled wereadministeredindividuallybygraduatestudentswhodemon- for traditional assessments, in which examinees respond without strated100%accuracyduringpracticeadministrationofthemea- assistance. In this way, we contrasted the assessment of what sures. All testing sessions were audiotaped, and 16% of the ses- students already know (static tests) against the assessment of sions,distributedequallyacrosstesters,wererandomlysampledto students’capacitytolearn(DA).TocreateastringenttestofDA’s assess fidelity of administration. Scoring agreement was 99.4%. value in forecasting development, we included different types of All data were independently entered into two databases, which staticassessmentsinourmodel. werecomparedfordiscrepanciesandresolvedagainsttheoriginal One of those static measures, QD, assesses the speed and protocols. accuracywithwhichchildrendistinguishbetweenandmapArabic numerals onto small numerosities. Including the QD predictor Data Analysis and Results permittedustodistinguishvarianceassociatedwithknowledgeof smallquantities,whichisatransparentprerequisitetoandshould Table 1 provides means, standard deviations (SDs), and corre- supportDAperformance,fromvarianceassociatedwithwhatthe lationsamongthepredictorsandoutcomes.Weproviderawscores as well as standard scores when applicable. In Table 2, we show results of regression analyses, into which all predictors were en- 1ContactPamelaM.SeethalerformoreinformationontheDA. 230 SEETHALER,FUCHS,FUCHS,ANDCOMPTON Table1 Means,StandardDeviations,andCorrelationsaAmongPredictorandOutcomeMeasures(n(cid:2)184) Rawscore Standardscoreb Measure M (SD) M (SD) L R QD T DA CA WP Predictors Language(L) 19.20 (6.51) 43.72 (10.23) — Reasoning(R) 9.95 (5.78) 50.30 (9.88) .42 — QuantityDiscrimination(QD) 31.58 (10.13) .39 .40 — TEMA(T) 39.22 (9.96) 100.21 (14.08) .50 .54 .64 — DynamicAssessment(DA) 9.20 (8.08) .48 .62 .53 .68 — Outcomes Calculations(CA) 18.59 (3.45) 100.70 (15.84) .44 .49 .64 .69 .63 — WordProblems(WP) 7.01 (4.40) .59 .58 .60 .71 .78 .71 — Note. LanguageisWechslerAbbreviatedScaleofIntelligence(WASI)Vocabluary;ReasoningisWASIMatrixReasoning.TEMA(cid:2)sTestofEarly MathematicsAbility,thirdedition. aAllcorrelationssignificantatp(cid:5).01. bStandardscoresforWASIVocabularyandWASIMatrixReasoningareTscores(M(cid:2)50;SD(cid:2)10);for Calculations(Wide-RangeAchievementTest-Arithmetic),themeanis100(SD(cid:2)15). DA was designed to index: ability to learn mathematics. So it is surprising that TEMA also accounted for a sizable percentage of noteworthy that QD, which takes only 1 min to administer and explainedvarianceinCAdevelopment(6.41%).Evenso,itisalso involves none of the addition or subtraction demands of the CA impressive that with the two static domain-specific assessments outcome, was the strongest single predictor of CA development alreadyuniquelyaccountingfor15.25%ofexplainedvariance,DA across first grade, uniquely accounting for 8.84% of explained made a uniquely significant, albeit smaller, contribution to pre- variance.ThepowerofQDinforecastingindividualdifferencesin dictingCAoutcome,accountingfor2.77%ofexplainedvariance CA development underscores children’s appreciation of magni- ((cid:6) (cid:2) .20). At the same time, as revealed in the commonality tudesasfoundationaltoformalmathematicslearning(e.g.,Berch, analysis,thesethreedomain-specificpredictorsalsosharedasub- 2005;Dehaene,1997;Okamoto&Case,1996),whileillustrating stantial amount of additional variance in predicting CA. So the theimportanceofprerequisiteknowledgeasaconditionoffuture bulk of explained variance was attributable to domain-specific learning. predictors,withthedomain-generallanguageandreasoningvari- QD’s predictive role is especially noteworthy given that we ables, traditionally incorporated in intelligence tests to predict included in our model another, more comprehensive and lengthy schoollearning,failingtoachievestatisticalsignificance((cid:6)s(cid:2).05 staticindexofincomingmathematicsperformance,TEMA,which and.06). inpartalsoassessesunderstandingofsmallmagnitudes.Another Withrespecttothemajorpurposeofthepresentstudy,assessing component of the TEMA battery is incoming CA skill, which whetherthecontributionofthesepredictorsdifferedforCAversus createsbetteralignmentthanQDwiththeCAoutcome.Soitisnot WP development, findings were interesting. Whereas DA was overshadowed by QD and TEMA in predicting CA, DA was the strongestsinglecontributortoWPdevelopment,uniquelyaccount- Table2 ing for 12.01% of explained variance—nearly one and one-half RegressionModelsPredictingIndividualDifferencesinFirst- times as much explained variance as QD accounted for in CA GradeMathematicsDevelopment (8.84%). For DA’s prediction of WP development, beta was a Outcome B SE (cid:6) t(5,178) p sizeble .45. Moreover, although the contributions of QD and TEMA were significant, betas were substantially smaller (.14 for Calculations Constant (cid:3)9.58 0.84 11.47 (cid:5).001 QD;.18forTEMA),aswerethepercentagesofexplainedvariance Language 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.91 .360 (1.54%forQD;1.96%forTEMA)—despitethatTEMAwasthe Reasoning 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.98 .329 only predictor to explicitly assess WPs (i.e., nonverbal addition QD 0.10 0.02 0.30 4.62 (cid:5).001 problemswithsumsto12). TEMA 0.11 0.03 0.30 3.94 (cid:5).001 ThesecondwayinwhichfindingsdifferedforWPdevelopment DA 0.08 0.03 0.20 2.61 .010 WordProblems concerns the role of the domain-general predictor variables. Constant (cid:3)3.43 0.88 (cid:3)3.91 (cid:5).001 Whereastheselanguageandreasoningpredictorsfailedtomakea Language 0.14 0.03 0.20 4.28 (cid:5).001 significant contribution to CA development, language (but not Reasoning 0.04 0.04 0.05 1.02 .311 reasoning) was uniquely predictive of WP development, with QD 0.06 0.23 0.14 2.65 .009 TEMA 0.08 0.28 0.18 2.92 .004 beta equal to .20 (the same as DA in predicting CA develop- DA 0.24 0.03 0.45 7.35 (cid:5).001 ment) and with 4.05% of the explained variance in WP devel- opment uniquely attributable to language. Moreover, whereas Note. LanguageisWechslerAbbreviatedScaleofIntelligence(WASI) DA shared relatively little variance with language and reason- Vocabulary;ReasoningisWASIMatrixReasoning.QD(cid:2)QuantityDis- crimination; TEMA (cid:2) Test of Early Mathematics Ability, third edition; ing in predicting CA (2.27%), the corresponding figure in DA(cid:2)DynamicAssessment. predicting WP development was more than 3 times larger PREDICTINGFIRSTGRADERS’DEVELOPMENT 231 Table3 CommonalityAnalysisforPredictingEnd-of-YearMathematicsDevelopment Calculationsdevelopment Word-problemdevelopment Coefficient:Proportion Percentageofexplained Coefficient:Proportion Percentageofexplained Variable ofvarianceexplained variance ofvarianceexplained variance Uniqueto: QuantityDiscrimination(QD) .051 8.84 .011 1.54 TestofEarlyMathematicsAbility(TEMA) .037 6.41 .014 1.96 DynamicAssessment(DA) .016 2.77 .086 12.01 Language(L) .002 0.35 .029 4.05 Reasoning(R) .002 0.35 .002 0.28 Commonto: QD(cid:1)TEMA .062 10.75 .018 2.51 QD(cid:1)DA .010 1.73 .011 1.54 QD(cid:1)L .002 0.35 .003 0.42 QD(cid:1)R .000 (cid:3)0.03 .000 0.00 TEMA(cid:1)DA .027 4.68 .042 5.87 TEMA(cid:1)L .005 0.87 .009 1.26 TEMA(cid:1)R .004 0.69 .002 0.28 DA(cid:1)L .002 0.35 .017 2.37 DA(cid:1)R .008 1.39 .025 3.49 L(cid:1)R .001 0.17 .002 0.32 QD(cid:1)TEMA(cid:1)DA .066 11.44 .057 7.96 QD(cid:1)TEMA(cid:1)L .011 1.91 .011 1.54 QD(cid:1)TEMA(cid:1)R .005 0.87 .002 0.28 QD(cid:1)DA(cid:1)L .002 0.35 .004 0.56 QD(cid:1)DA(cid:1)R .003 0.52 .003 0.42 QD(cid:1)L(cid:1)R .000 0.00 .000 0.00 TEMA(cid:1)DA(cid:1)L .009 1.56 .025 3.49 TEMA(cid:1)DA(cid:1)R .026 4.51 .039 5.45 TEMA(cid:1)L(cid:1)R .002 0.35 .003 0.42 DA(cid:1)L(cid:1)R .003 0.52 .015 2.09 QD(cid:1)TEMA(cid:1)DA(cid:1)L .034 5.89 .048 6.70 QD(cid:1)TEMA(cid:1)DA(cid:1)R .066 11.44 .059 8.24 QD(cid:1)TEMA(cid:1)L(cid:1)R .004 0.69 .003 0.42 QD(cid:1)DA(cid:1)L(cid:1)R .002 0.35 .003 0.42 TEMA(cid:1)DA(cid:1)L(cid:1)R .020 3.47 .047 6.56 QD(cid:1)TEMA(cid:1)DA(cid:1)L(cid:1)R .097 16.81 .127 17.74 Total .577 100.00 .716 100.00 Note. LanguageisWechslerAbbreviatedScaleofIntelligence(WASI)Vocabulary.ReasoningisWASIMatrixReasoning. (8.02). In these ways, DA appears to invoke the need for the Fuchs,&Barnes,2007;Hodent,Bryant,&Houde,2005),where- same kinds of language and reasoning skills that help children asSeethaleretal.(2011)showedthatlanguageisauniquepredic- profit from WP classroom instruction. torofCAwithrationalnumbersamongfifthgraders.Strengthwith It is therefore interesting to consider that in this study’s DA, oral language may support teachers’ explanations, facilitating in- studentssolvedformissingnumbersinmathematicalexpressions sightsintonovelconceptsasrequiredintheDA.Italsosuggests without the need to process text. In this way, the DA is more that the cognitive resources involved in DA may rely on similar transparently aligned with CA than WP, raising questions about typesofmentalflexibility,manipulationofsymbolicassociations, why DA was more predictive of WP than CA development. A and maintenance of multiple representations that are reflected in possibleexplanationisthatDArepresentsameasureofconceptual oral language and reasoning abilities. This may be more true for understanding of arithmetic or understanding of the equal sign, WPthanforCA,atleastinpart,becauseclassroominstructionis eitherofwhichmayberequiredmoreforWPthanCA.Giventhat lessexplicitandproceduralforWPthanCA. DA did not require the processing of text, as in WP, it is also More generally, results suggest that different types of mathe- curious that DA shared variance with language in predicting WP matics depend on distinct aspects of mathematical cognition, as development.ApossibleexplanationforthisfindingisthattheDA previouslyshown.Forexample,L.S.Fuchs,Fuchs,Compton,et nevertheless involves language ability because its instructional al. (2006) documented links among skill with arithmetic, proce- scaffolding is offered via language as the examiner explains dural calculations, and WPs, even as distinct constellations of problem-solution concepts and strategies. In fact, much of the predictorsemergedforeachareaofmathematicsperformance.In schoolcurriculumisdeliveredviaorallanguage.Inmathematics, a related way, Hart, Petrill, and Thompson (2009) found support evidence suggests that language plays an important role in the for different genetic and environmental influences on students’ acquisitionofearlynumeracyconceptsandskills(Fletcher,Lyon, WP versus CA performance. And, as illustrated in the present 232 SEETHALER,FUCHS,FUCHS,ANDCOMPTON study,forforecastingmathematicsdevelopment,therelativevalue childrenwithmathematicaldifficulties.JournalofLearningDisabilities, of predictors, including DA, differs depending on the form of 38,333–339.doi:10.1177/00222194050380040901 mathematicstobepredicted. Booth, J. L., & Siegler, R. S. (2006). Developmental and individual Forthisreason,presentfindingssuggestthatdifferentscreening differences in pure numerical estimation. Developmental Psychology, 41,189–201.doi:10.1037/0012-1649.41.6.189 processesmayberequiredtoidentifyriskforpoorCAversusWP Booth,J.L.,&Siegler,R.S.(2008).Numericalmagnituderepresentations developmenttopermittargetedinterventiontobeginearly,before influencearithmeticlearning.ChildDevelopment,79,1016–1031.doi: severe academic deficits become intractable. For forecasting CA 10.1111/j.1467-8624.2008.01173.x development, a brief measure of magnitude comparison, such as Bransford,J.C.,Delclos,V.R.,Vye,N.J.,Burns,M.S.,&Hasselbring, QD,mayprovidevalueasauniversalscreener(forsyntheses,see T.S.(1987).Stateoftheartandfuturedirections.InC.S.Lidz(Ed.), Gersten,Jordan,&Flojo,2005;Seethaler&Fuchs,2010b).Atthe Dynamicassessment:Aninteractionalapproachtoevaluatinglearning same time, research (e.g., Compton et al., 2010; Johnson et al., potential(pp.479–496).NewYork,NY:GuilfordPress. 2009) illustrates how brief universal screening at first grade pro- Budoff,M.(1967).Learningpotentialamonginstitutionalizedyoungadult duces high rates of false positives. In this vein, we note that QD retardates.AmericanJournalofMentalDeficiency,72,404–411. alone uniquely accounted for only 5.10% of the total variance in Bull, R., & Johnston, R. S. (1997). Children’s arithmetical difficulties: individual differences in first-grade CA development; instead, a Contributionsfromprocessingspeed,itemidentification,andshort-term combinationofpredictorswasrequiredtoaccountforasubstantial memory. Journal of Experimental Child Psychology, 65, 1–24. doi: 10.1006/jecp.1996.2358 proportion of variance. Therefore, although QD may serve as an Campione,J.C.(1989).Assistedassessment:Ataxonomyofapproaches efficient universal screen for identifying risk for poor CA devel- and an outline of strengths and weaknesses. Journal of Learning Dis- opment,follow-upassessmentforchildrenwhofailthatuniversal abilities,22,151–165.doi:10.1177/002221948902200303 screen may be needed to accurately classify risk, perhaps using Campione,J.C.,&Brown,A.L.(1987).Linkingdynamicassessmentwith measuressuchasDAorTEMA.However,foridentifyingriskfor school achievement. In C. S. Lidz (Ed.), Dynamic assessment: An poorWPdevelopment,themoretime-consumingDAalongwitha interactional approach to evaluating learning potential (pp. 82–115). measureoflanguageabilitymayprovideasounderbasis. NewYork,NY:GuilfordPress. Inclosing,wenotethat,inthepresentstudy,wedidnotconsider Capraro,R.M.,&Capraro,M.M.(2001).Commonalityanalysis:Under- theuniverseofpossiblepredictors.Otherdomain-generalabilities standingvariancecontributionstooverallcanonicalcorrelationeffects sometimes associated with CA or WP development might have of attitude toward mathematics on geometry achievement. Multiple beenincorporated.Theseincludeworkingmemory(e.g.,Swanson LinearRegressionViewpoints,27,16–23. & Beebe-Frankenberger, 2004), phonological processing (e.g., Chard, D., Clarke, B., Baker, B., Otterstedt, J., Braun, D., & Katz, R. (2005). Using measures of number sense to screen for difficulties in L. S. Fuchs et al., 2005), or processing speed (e.g., Bull & mathematics: Preliminary findings. Assessment Issues in Special Edu- Johnston, l997). Moreover, we did not consider a second major cation,30,3–14. formofearlynumericalcompetency,approximaterepresentations Clarke,B.,Baker,S.,Smolkowsi,K.,&Chard,D.J.(2008).Ananalysis oflargerquantities—typicallyindexedwithNumberLineEstima- ofearlynumeracycurriculum-basedmeasurement:Examiningtherole tion (Siegler & Booth, 2004)—for which substantial empirical of growth in student outcomes. Remedial and Special Education, 29, supportexists(e.g.,Booth&Siegler,2006,2008;Laski&Siegler, 46–57.doi:10.1177/0741932507309694 2007;Siegler&Booth,2004).Withthiscaveatinmind,wedraw Clarke, B., & Shinn, M. R. (2004). A preliminary investigation into the twomajorconclusions.First,asshowninpriorresearchinmath- identificationanddevelopmentofearlymathematicscurriculum-based ematics(e.g.,L.S.Fuchs,Fuchs,Comptonetal.,2008;Swanson measurement.SchoolPsychologyReview,33,234–248. & Howard, 2005) and reading (e.g., D. Fuchs, Compton, Fuchs, Compton, D. L., Fuchs, D., Fuchs, L. S., Bouton, B., Gilbert, J. K., Bouton,&Caffrey,2011),resultsunderscorethepotentialvalueof Barquero,L.A.,...Crouch,R.C.(2010).Selectingat-riskfirst-grade DA (which provides insight into what a student is capable of readersforearlyintervention:Eliminatingfalsepositivesandexploring thepromiseofatwo-stagegatedscreeningprocess.JournalofEduca- learning in response to varying degrees of instructional scaffold- tionalPsychology,102,327–340.doi:10.1037/a0018448 ing) over and beyond traditional, static measures (which are lim- Dehaene,S.(1997).Thenumbersense:Howthemindcreatesmathemat- ited to a snapshot of what a student presently knows). Second, ics.NewYork,NY:OxfordUniversityPress. findings suggest that the relative value of these various types of Ferrara, R. A., Brown, A. L., & Campione, J. C. (1986). Children’s learningpotentialmeasuresdiffersasafunctionofwhetherCAor learningandtransferofinductivereasoningrules:Studiesofproximal WP development is the predicted outcome. Future work should development.ChildDevelopment,57,1087–1099.doi:10.2307/1130433 investigate whether similar distinctions among different forms of Feuerstein,R.(1979).Thedynamicassessmentofretardedperformers.The learningpotentialmeasuresapplytootheraspectsofmathematics Learning Potential Assessment Device, theory, instruments, and tech- learning,whileincludingamorecomprehensivesetofpredictors, niques.Baltimore,MD:UniversityParkPress. togainadditionalinsightintothenatureofmathematicsdevelop- Fletcher, J. M., Lyon, G. R., Fuchs, L. S., & Barnes, M. A. (2007). mentandtheroleofDAinpredictingitsdevelopment. Learning disabilities: From identification to intervention. New York, NY:GuilfordPress. Fuchs,D.,Compton,D.L.,Fuchs,L.S.,Bouton,B.,&Caffrey,E.(2011). 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