COVID-19 and WORLD ORDER ABOUT THE EDITORS Hal Brands is the Henry A. Kissinger Distinguished Professor of Global Affairs at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) and a scholar at the American Enter- prise Institute. A columnist for Bloomberg Opinion, he is also the author or editor of several books, including American Grand Strat- egy in the Age of Trump, Making the Unipolar Moment: U.S. Foreign Policy and the Rise of the Post– Cold War Order, and What Good Is Grand Strategy? Power and Purpose in American Statecraft from Harry S. Truman to George W. Bush. His newest book, The Lessons of Tragedy: Statecraft and World Order, was coauthored by Charles Edel. Francis J. Gavin is the Giovanni Agnelli Distinguished Professor and the inaugural director of the Henry A. Kissinger Center for Global Affairs at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS). Gavin is also the chairman of the Board of Editors of Texas National Security Review. He is the au- thor of Gold, Dollars, and Power: The Politics of International Mon- etary Relations, 1958–1971 and Nuclear Statecraft: History and Strat- egy in Amer i ca’s Atomic Age. His latest book, Nuclear Weapons and American Grand Strategy, was published in 2020. COVID-19 A N D WORLD ORDER THE FUTURE OF CONFLICT, COMPETITION, AND COOPER ATION edited by Hal Brands | Francis J. Gavin Johns Hopkins University Press Baltimore In collaboration with and appreciation of the book’s coeditors, Professors Hal Brands and Francis J. Gavin of the Henry A. Kissinger Center for Global Affairs at Johns Hopkins SAIS, Johns Hopkins University Press is pleased to donate funds to the Maryland Food Bank, in support of the university’s food distribution efforts in East Baltimore during this period of food insecurity because of COVID-19 pandemic hardships. © 2020 Johns Hopkins University Press Chapter 23 © Niall Ferguson 2020 All rights reserved. Published 2020 Printed in the United States of Amer i ca on acid- free paper 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Johns Hopkins University Press 2715 North Charles Street Baltimore, Mary land 21218-4363 www . press . jhu . edu Library of Congress Control Number: 2020942747 A cata log rec ord for this book is available from the British Library. The Open Access edition of this book is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution- NonCommercial- NoDerivatives 4.0 International License: https:// creativecommons . org / licenses / by - nc - nd / 4 . 0 / . CC BY- NC- ND ISBN-13: 978-1-4214-4075-0 (open access) ISBN-13: 978-1-4214-4073-6 (pbk. : alk. paper) ISBN-13: 978-1-4214-4074-3 (electronic) Special discounts are available for bulk purchases of this book. For more information, please contact Special Sales at