Climatic Change: Implications for the Hydrological Cycle and for Water Management (Advances in Global Change Research, Volume 10) (Advances in Global Change Research)

524 Pages·2002·23.68 MB·English

by  M. Beniston

CLIMATIC CHANGE: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE HYDROLOGICAL
CYCLE AND FOR WATER MANAGEMENT
ADVANCES IN GLOBAL CHANGE RESEARCH
VOLUME 10
Editor-in-Chief
Martin Beniston, Institute of Geography, University of Fribourg, Perolles,
Switzerland
Editorial Advisory Board
B. Allen-Diaz, Department ESPM-Ecosystem Sciences, University of California, Berkeley,
CA, U.S.A.
R.S. Bradley, Department of Geosciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA,
U.S.A.
W. Cramer, Department of Global Change and Natural Systems, Potsdam Institute for Cli-
mate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany.
H.F. Diaz, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO, U.S.A.
S. Erkman, Institute for Communication and Analysis of Science and Technology – ICAST,
Geneva, Switzerland.
M. Lal, Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology, New Delhi, India.
U. Luterbacher, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, University of Geneva,
Geneva, Switzerland.
I. Noble, CRC for Greehouse Accounting and Research School of Biological Sciences,
Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.
L. Tessier, Institut Mediterranéen d’ Ecologie et Paléoécologie, Marseille, France.
F. Toth, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany.
M.M. Verstraete, Space Applications Institute, EC Joint Research Centre, Ispra (VA),
Italy.
The titles in this series are listed at the end of this volume.
CLIMATIC CHANGE: IMPLICATIONS
FOR THE HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE
AND FOR WATER MANAGEMENT
Edited by
Martin Beniston
Department of Geosciences,
University of Fribourg, Switzerland
KLUWER ACADEMIC PUBLISHERS
NEW YORK,BOSTON, DORDRECHT, LONDON, MOSCOW
eBookISBN: 0-306-47983-4
Print ISBN: 1-4020-0444-3
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Table of contents
List of contributors ix
Preface xiii
M. Beniston, E. Wiegandt, and H. Hoff
Changes in the mean and extremes of the hydrological cycle in 1
Europe under enhanced greenhouse gas conditions in a global time-
slice experiment
W. May, R. Voss, and E. Roeckner
Investigation of the hydrologic cycle simulated by the Canadian 31
Regional Climate Model over the Québec/Labrador territory
A. Frigon, D. Caya, M. Slivitzky, and D. Tremblay
Major influences on precipitation in the Canary Islands 57
D. Gallego Puyol, R. Garcia Herrera, E. Hernandez Martin, L.
Gimeno Presa, and P. Ribera Rodrigez
High resolution simulations of precipitation over the Alps with the 75
perspective of coupling to hydrological models
O. Brasseur, H. Gallée, J.-D. Creutin, T. Lebel, and P. Marbaix
Heavy precipitation occurrence in Scandinavia investigated with a 101
Regional Climate Model
O. Bøssing Christensen, J. Hesselbjerg Christensen, and M.
Botzet
Testing of NAO and ENSO signals in the precipitation field in 113
Europe
C. Mares, I. Mares, and M. Mihailescu
vi Table of contents
Water vapor vertical profile by Raman lidar in the free troposphere 123
from the Jungfraujoch Alpine Station
I. Balin, G. Larchevêque, P. Quaglia, V. Simeonov, H. van den
Bergh, and B. Calpini
A qualitative assessment of the sources of uncertainty in climate 139
change impacts assessment studies
D. Viner
The GLOWA Volta project: Integrated assessment of feedback 151
mechanisms between climate, landuse, and hydrology
N. van de Giesen, H. Kunstmann, G. Jung, J. Liebe, M. Andreini,
and P.L.G. Vlek
Glowa Danube : A research concept to develop integrative 171
techniques, scenarios and strategies regarding global changes of the
water cycle
W. Mauser and R. Ludwig
Climate change and water resources in Sweden 189
– analysis of uncertainties
M. Gardelin, S. Bergström, B. Carlsson, L.P.Graham, and G.
Lindström
Hydrological cycle changes in China’s large river basin: The 209
Yellow River drained dry
C. Liu and H. Zheng
Floods in the context of climate change and variability 225
Z. W. Kundzewicz
Climate change impacts on river flooding: 249
A modelling study of three meso-scale catchments
L. Menzel, D. Niehoff, G. Bürger, and A. Bronstert
Impact of climate change and higher on hydrological processes 271
and crop productivity in the state of Brandenburg, Germany
V. Krysanova and F. Wechsung
Table of contents vii
Local climate and water availability changes due to landscape 301
modifications: A numerical experiment in Southeastern Spain
N. Hasler, I. Iorgulescu, A. Martilli, G.E. Liston, and R.
Schlaepfer
Trends in drought in Swiss forested ecosystems 329
B. Zierl and H. Lischke
Feedback between structured vegetation and soil water in a 349
changing climate: A simulation study
H. Lischke and B. Zierl
Water control and property rights: An analysis of the Middle 379
Eastern situation
U. Luterbacher and E. Wiegandt
Exploratory economic assessments of climate change impacts in 411
Israel: Agriculture
M. Shechter and N. Yehoshua
Changing climate and increasing costs – Implications for liability 429
and insurance
L.M. Bouwer and P. Vellinga
Scenario analyses in global change assessment for water 445
management in the lower Rhine delta
H. Middelkoop, J.C.J. Kwadijk, W.P.A. van Deursen, and
M.B.A.van Asselt
Climate change and water resources in an arid continent: Managing 465
uncertainty and risk in Australia
R.N.Jones and A.B. Pittock
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List of contributors
ANDREINI, Marc: Center for Development Research, University of Bonn, Germany
BALIN, loan: Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Lausanne, Switzerland
BENISTON, Martin: Department of Geosciences, University of Fribourg, Switzerland
BERGSTRÖM, S.: Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden
BOTZET, Michael: Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
BOUWER, Laurens M.: Institute for Environmental Studies, Free University, Amsterdam,
The Netherlands
BRASSEUR, Olivier: Institut National Polytechnique de Grenoble, France
BRONSTERT, Axel: Institute for Geo-Ecology, University of Potsdam, and Potsdam Institute
for Climate Impacts Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany
BÜRGER, Gerd: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impacts Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany
CALPINI, Bertrand: Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Lausanne, Switzerland
CARLSSON. B.: Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden
CAYA, Daniel: University of Quebec at Montreal (UQAM), Montreal, Quebec, Canada
CHRISTENSEN, Jens Hesselbjerg: Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark
CHRISTENSEN, Ole Bøssing: Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark
CREUTIN, J.-D.: Institut National Polytechnique de Grenoble, France
FRIGON, Anne: University of Quebec at Montreal (UQAM), Montreal, Quebec, Canada
GALLEE, Hubert: Institut National Polytechnique de Grenoble, France
GALLEGO PUYOL, David: Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain
GARCIA HERRERA, Ricardo: Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain
GARDELIN, Marie: Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping,
Sweden
GIMENO PRESA, Luis: Campus as Lagoas, Universidad de Vigo, Spain
GRAHAM, L.P.: Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden