China's Strategic Arsenal: Worldview, Doctrine, and Systems PDF
Preview China's Strategic Arsenal: Worldview, Doctrine, and Systems
CHINA’S STRATEGIC ARSENAL This page intentionally left blank CHINA’S STRATEGIC ARSENAL Worldview, Doctrine, and Systems JAMES M. SMITH AND PAUL J. BOLT, EDITORS GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY PRESS / WASHINGTON, DC © 2021 Georgetown University Press. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying and recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. The publisher is not responsible for third- party websites or their content. URL links were active at time of publication. Library of Congress Cataloging-i n- Publication Data Names: Smith, James M., 1948– editor. | Bolt, Paul J., 1964– editor. Title: China’s strategic arsenal : worldview, doctrine, and systems / James M. Smith, Paul J. Bolt, editors Description: Washington, DC : Georgetown University Press, 2021. | Includes index. Identifiers: LCCN 2020029093 | ISBN 9781647120788 (hardcover) | ISBN 9781647120795 (paperback) | ISBN 9781647120801 (ebook) Subjects: LCSH: Nuclear weapons—China. | China—Strategic aspects. | China— Military policy. | China—Foreign relations—United States. | United States—Foreign relations—China. Classification: LCC U264.5.C6 C637 2021 | DDC 355.8/251190951—dc23 LC record available at https:// lccn .loc .gov /2020029093 c This book is printed on acid- free paper meeting the requirements of the American National Standard for Permanence in Paper for Printed Library Materials. 22 21 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 First printing Printed in the United States of America Cover design by Erin Kirk Interior design by BookComp We dedicate this book to all of our students in the hope that they may serve well and successfully move forward into the future. This page intentionally left blank CONTENTS List of Illustrations ix Introduction 1 1 The US-C hinese Relationship and China as a Twenty-F irst- Century Strategic Power 7 James M. Smith and Paul J. Bolt 2 China’s “Nested” Worldview 23 Andrew Scobell 3 China’s Nuclear Doctrine and Deterrence Concept 45 Christopher P. Twomey 4 Strategic Stability and the Impact of China’s Modernizing Strategic Strike Forces 63 Sugio Takahashi 5 China’s Strategic Systems and Programs 93 Hans M. Kristensen 6 China’s Regional Nuclear Capability, Nonnuclear Strategic Systems, and Integration of Concepts and Operations 125 Phillip C. Saunders and David C. Logan 7 Organization of China’s Strategic Forces 159 Bates Gill 8 China on Arms Control, Nonproliferation, and Strategic Stability 195 Nancy W. Gallagher 9 China’s Strategic Future 241 Brad Roberts List of Contributors 255 Index 259 vii This page intentionally left blank ILLUSTRATIONS TABLES 5.1 Estimated Chinese Nuclear Forces, Early 2020 95 5.2 PLARF Missile Force Structure, Early 2020 98 7.1 PLARF Bases and Brigades 170 FIGURES 5.1 US Estimates of the Chinese Nuclear Weapons Stockpile 96 5.2 Estimated Locations of Chinese Medium- and Intermediate- Range Ballistic Missiles 103 5.3 Estimated Locations of Chinese Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles 106 7.1 PLA Organizational Structure Prior to 2016 Reforms 164 7.2 PLA Organizational Structure Post- 2016 Reforms 165 7.3 PLA Joint Theater Commands since 2016 166 ix
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