We heard from the chairman of the Federal Reserve that unless we act the finan- cial system of this country and perhaps the world will melt down. . . . There was complete silence for twenty seconds. The oxygen left the room. Chairman Bern- anke said, “If we don’t do this tomorrow, there won’t be an economy on Monday.” Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd on a meeting of legislative leaders with Bernanke and Secretary Paulson in Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s office on September 17, 2008 (interview with Charlie Rose, November 26, 2008) These bad loans have created a chain reaction and last week our credit markets froze – even some Main Street non-fi nancial companies had trouble financing their normal business operations. If that situation were to persist, it would threaten all parts of our economy. . . . We must now take further, decisive action to fundamentally and comprehensively address the root cause of this turmoil. And that root cause is the housing correction which has resulted in illiquid mortgage-r elated assets that are choking off the flow of credit which is so vitally important to our economy. We must address this underlying problem, and restore confidence in our financial markets and financial institutions so they can perform their mission of supporting future prosperity and growth. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson to the Senate Banking Committee, September 23, 2008 “I do try to put a lot of weight on what people are saying,” Watt said, referring to the overwhelming opposition of his constituents. “But in this case, I think a lot of people don’t know exactly why a bailout is necessary. . . . On this issue, we [Con- gress] have heard the top two economic authorities in the world tell us we’re on the verge of a calamitous event.” Mel Watt, North Carolina congressman, Winston- Salem Journal, September 30, 2008 You never want a serious crisis to go to waste. Rahm Emanuel, president-e lect Barack Obama’s chief of staff, Wall Street Journal, November 21, 2009 This page intentionally left blank Central Banking in a Democracy The Federal Reserve System, which has been Congress’ agent for the control of money since 1913, has a mixed reputation. Its errors have been huge. It was the principal cause of the Great Depression of the 1930s and the inflation of the 1970s, and participated in the massive bailouts of financial institutions at tax- payers’ expense during the recent Great Recession. This book is a study of the causes of the Fed’s errors, with lessons for an improved monetary authority, beginning with an examination of the history of central banks, in which it is found that their performance depended on their incentives, as is to be expected of economic agents. An implication of these find- ings is that the Fed’s failings must be traced to its institutional independence, particularly of the public welfare. Consequently, its policies have been dictated by special interests: financial institutions who desire public support without meaningful regulation, as well as presidents and those portions of Congress desiring growing government financed by inflation. Monetary stability (which used to be thought the primary purpose of central banks) requires responsibility, meaning punishment for failure, instead of a remote and irresponsible (to the public) agency such as the Fed. It requires either private money motivated by profit or Congress disciplined by the electoral system as before 1913. Change involving the least disturbance to the system sug- gests the latter. John H. Wood is Reynolds Professor of Economics at Wake Forest University, Winston- Salem, North Carolina, USA. 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