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Capitalism Bruce R. Scott Capitalism Its Origins and Evolution as a System of Governance 123 BruceR.Scott PaulW.CheringtonProfessorEmeritus HarvardBusinessSchool Boston,MA02163 USA [email protected] ISBN978-1-4614-1878-8 e-ISBN978-1-4614-1879-5 DOI10.1007/978-1-4614-1879-5 SpringerNewYorkDordrechtHeidelbergLondon LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2011938302 ©BruceR.Scott2011 Allrightsreserved.Thisworkmaynotbetranslatedorcopiedinwholeorinpartwithoutthewritten permission of the publisher (Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 233 Spring Street, New York, NY10013,USA),exceptforbriefexcerptsinconnectionwithreviewsorscholarlyanalysis.Usein connectionwithanyformofinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware, orbysimilarordissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdevelopedisforbidden. Theuseinthispublicationoftradenames,trademarks,servicemarks,andsimilarterms,eveniftheyare notidentifiedassuch,isnottobetakenasanexpressionofopinionastowhetherornottheyaresubject toproprietaryrights. Cover design: WMXDesign, Heidelberg, based on concept of regulating market activity by Chris Pullman Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Contents ListofFigures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vii ListofTables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ix Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xi Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxix PartI TheTheoryofCapitalism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Prologue Chestertown,Maryland,asan“English”Village 1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 2 TheConceptofCapitalism. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 3 CapitalismandDemocracy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 Co-authoredbySarahPotvin 4 AlternativeModelsofCapitalism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 PartII TheOriginsandEvolutionofCapitalism,1400–1830 . . . . . 139 Prologue TheMysteryofGovernance 5 CreatingCapitalisminEurope,1400–1820 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141 6 FromFeudalismtoOligarchyinLatinAmerica,1500–1830 . . . . 185 7 CreatingCapitalismandDemocracyintheUnitedStates, 1630–1830 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227 Co-authoredbySarahPotvin PartIII PoliticalObstaclestoCapitalistDevelopment . . . . . . . . . 277 Prologue TheArizonaMarket:ACaseStudyin“Nation”-Building 8 Italyas“OneCountry,TwoSystems”. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 287 Co-authoredbyJamieMatthews v vi Contents 9 TheUnitedStatesas“OneCountry,TwoSystems” . . . . . . . . . 309 Co-authoredbyJamieMatthews PartIV TheEconomicStrategiesofCapitalistSystems . . . . . . . . 333 Prologue EconomicStrategies 10 ImportSubstitutionasanEconomicStrategy . . . . . . . . . . . . 337 11 TheWashingtonConsensus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 357 12 Neo-MercantilistorEnhancedMobilizationStrategies . . . . . . . 377 PartV The Evolution of US Capitalism and Democracy, 1830–2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 423 Prologue TransformationsintheGovernanceofUSCapitalism andDemocracy 13 TheTransformationofUSCapitalismandDemocracy, 1830–1937 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 427 Co-authoredbyLinneaN.Meyer 14 TheTransformationofUSCapitalismandDemocracy, 1965–2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 515 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 585 Epilogue TheFinancialCrisisof2007–2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 615 Appendix TheCapitalistFirminaRegulatedEnvironment . . . . . . 635 AbouttheAuthor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 641 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 643 Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 657 List of Figures P.1 ZoningregionsinEnglandandFrance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 2.1 Thedirectgovernanceofthefirmandtheindirectgovernance ofthefield . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 2.2 Both organized sports and organized capitalism are three-levelsystems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 2.3 Marketframeworks,forinstanceintheproductmarkets, differfromonecountrytoanother . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 2.4 Capitalismanddemocracyareinterdependentsystemsofgovernance 60 3.1 Democracyasathree-levelsystem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 3.2 Economicdevelopment,inequality,anddemocratization. . . . . . . 102 4.1 Threemodelsofthedistributionofeconomicpower . . . . . . . . . 114 4.2 Fromfeudalismtooligarchy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 4.3 Fromegalitarianismtooligarchy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128 4.4 Fromanegalitariansystemtooligarchyinanindustrialage . . . . . 130 5.1 Thefeudaleconomy,circa1200 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149 5.2 Proto-capitalism,circa1200–1600 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158 5.3 GDPpercapita,selectedEuropeanregionsandcountries, 1500–1820 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163 5.4 Moderncapitalism:Employmentandoutput . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168 5.5 RelativeGDPpercapitaofselectedcountries,1500–1820 . . . . . . 174 6.1 DeSoto’smodelofcapitalismislimitedtothefirstlevel ofcapitalism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 192 6.2 Revenuecollectedfromincometaxes,asashareofGDP . . . . . . 217 6.3 Perceivedcorruptionofpoliticalfinancing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 218 7.1 Settlementpatterninahypotheticalseigneurie,NewFrance . . . . . 236 7.2 SectionsofatownshipundertheNorthwestOrdinance . . . . . . . 246 7.3 LiteracyratesintheAmericas,1860–1925 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251 8.1 Consolidatedgrossgovernmentdebt,1970–2000 . . . . . . . . . . 289 8.2 GrossfixedinvestmentasapercentageofownGDP . . . . . . . . . 292 9.1 PersonalincomeofUSregions,1880–1988 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 323 10.1 Relativeprofitabilityofagricultureandmanufacturesprior toimpositionofstrategy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 338 vii viii ListofFigures 10.2 Relativeprofitabilityofagricultureandmanufacturesafter impositionofstrategy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 338 10.3 Comparativeadvantage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 346 10.4 InvestorreturnsoncapitalinNorway(circa1981) . . . . . . . . . . 347 10.5 SocialreturnsoncapitalinNorway(circa1981) . . . . . . . . . . . 347 11.1 Inflation(averageannualrate). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 361 11.2 RealGNPpercapita(averageannualpercentagegrowth) . . . . . . 362 11.3 Incomelevelsandincomedistributionforselectcountries . . . . . . 368 11.4 Incomesintheleading“FreeMarket”economiesarediverging . . . 370 11.5 Incomesintheleadingwelfarestatesarenotdiverging . . . . . . . 371 12.1 With the enhanced resource mobilization strategy, consumptionfallsasashareofGDPbutrisesinabsoluteterms . . . 383 12.2 Sweden:useofcentralizedwagepolicytoaccelerateadjustment . . 397 12.3 Sweden:wagedifferentialsforsectorswithaboveandbelow averagewages,1959–1985 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 398 12.4 Domesticfactorincome,1950–1979 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 400 12.5 Compensationofemployeesasa%ofGDP,1960–1996 . . . . . . . 401 12.6 Employmentgrowthandchangesinearningsinequalityin theNetherlandsandselectedOECDcountries,1982–1995 . . . . . 404 12.7 SchematicdiagramofJapanesefinancialsystem . . . . . . . . . . . 414 14.1 Thetopdeciles’shareinUSincomes,1917–2007 . . . . . . . . . . 524 14.2 Incomedistribution:ThetopdecileincomeshareinFrance andtheUnitedStates,1913–1998. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 525 14.3 GDPpercapitaversusworkerpayperworker . . . . . . . . . . . . 526 14.4 USCEOcompensationleadsallothers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 527 14.5 CampaigncontributionsintheUnitedStates,inconstant dollarsandasashareofGDP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 545 14.6 USCEOcompensationversusaveragepayforworkers . . . . . . . 571 E.1 BankfailuresintheUnitedStates,1864–2000 . . . . . . . . . . . . 617 E.2 Ratioofhouseholdsectordebtrelativetopersonalincome, 1980–2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 620 E.3 Personalsavingrate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 621 E.4 Housingpricesrelativetorentandcost,inrealterms,1985–2007 . . 622 E.5 UScurrentaccountdeficit,1970–2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 624 E.6 UScurrentaccountdeficit,relativetootherleadingcountries,2007 . 624 E.7 MEWversustradedeficit(aspercentofGDP) . . . . . . . . . . . . 625 E.8 US total credit market debt as percentage of GDP, 1929–2008andsectorsharebreakdown . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 629 E.9 FinancialindustryprofitsasashareofUSbusinessprofits; payperworkerinthefinancialsectorasapercentageof averageUScompensation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 631 A.1 ThefirmintheUScapitalistsystem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 637 List of Tables 2.1 Threesystemsfororganizingandcoordinatingeconomic activity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 4.1 Threesocietalmodels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 4.2 Politicalmodernization:changesinurban–ruralpowerand stability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122 5.1 Citieswithpopulationsof100,000ormore . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 5.2 World’slargest25citiesinselectedyears . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 5.3 Populationandrankofthe12largestcitiesinEurope,and otherlargecitiesforreference,1300–1700 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156 6.1 Estimated“deadcapital”relativetoforeigninvestment . . . . . . . 187 6.2 RelativeGDPpercapitainEuropeancolonialpowers andformercolonies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 196 6.3 StructureofBritishcommoditytradebyorigin,imports, 1710–1996 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 198 6.4 RelativeGDPintheWesternHemisphere,1500–1998 . . . . . . . 198 6.5 GDPpercapitainLatinAmericarelativetotheUnitedStates . . . 198 6.6 Factorendowments,inequality,andpathsofdevelopment amongnewworldeconomics,1500–1750 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200 6.7 Distributionoftaxrevenuesacrosslevelsofgovernment, c.19thcentury . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 210 6.8 ComparativestructuresoftaxrevenuesasashareofGDP . . . . . 216 6.9 InterestratespreadsinEastAsia,LatinAmerica,andtheG-7 . . . 220 6.10 PatentsgrantedintheUnitedStates:LatinAmericaversus EastAsia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221 7.1 Therecordofgrossdomesticproductpercapitainselected NewWorldeconomiesrelativetotheUnitedStates . . . . . . . . . 233 7.2 Populationc.1660–1870 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 235 7.3 PatternsofnetmigrationtocategoriesofBritishcolonies . . . . . . 238 7.4 Privatewealthpercapitain1774 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 240 7.5 PhysicalwealthoffreewealthholdersincolonialNorth Americain1774 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 242 7.6 Thenumberofhouseholdsowninglandwasmuchhigherin USandCanadathaninMexicoandArgentina . . . . . . . . . . . . 245 ix x ListofTables 7.7 TaxationandfinanceinLexington,Massachusetts,1874 . . . . . . 249 7.8 Estimated primary school enrollment rate (per 10,000 population) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251 7.9 MeasureofinequalityandassetdistributionintheUnited States,1774and1860 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 255 7.10 Americanpercapitawealth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269 8.1 GDP per capita in relative terms, North versus South, 1860–1995 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290 8.2 GrossfixedinvestmentasapercentageofownGDP . . . . . . . . . 292 8.3 Agricultural vs. industrial employment (percent of workforce) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 297 8.4 Typesofclientelism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298 9.1 Relativepercapitaincomesasapercentageoftheaverage . . . . . 311 9.2 PercapitaincomesintheUSnortheastandsouth(current dollars) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 311 9.3 North–southdifferences,c.1840–1860 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 313 9.4 PerpupilexpendituresasapercentofUSaverage,1890–1940 . . . 321 9.5 Thesouthernshareofpopulation,income,manufacturing value-added,anddefensespending:1960–1998 . . . . . . . . . . . 325 10.1 Thephasesofinwardorientation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 343 10.2 Growth in per capita incomes in 11 semi-industrialized economies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 352 10.3 Theroleofmanufacturesandtradein11semi-industrialized economies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 354 11.1 Taxstructureinthe1990s,LatinAmericaanddevelopedcountries . 369 12.1 Relativehourlyearningsformanualworkers,varioussectors,1970 . 394 12.2 Economicmodelscompared . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 399 13.1 HorsepowerofprimemoversintheUnitedStates,1849–1923 . . . 439 13.2 Numberof(Federal)lawsoverturnedbytheSupremeCourt, bydecade . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 496 C.1 FourphasesofUScapitalistdevelopment,1630–present . . . . . . 607 Preface Thisprefaceisastoryofhowthisresearchwasconceivedandexecuted,falseleads andall.Forthosewhowishtomovedirectlytoanorganizedandlogicalintroduction to my explanation of the origins and evolution of capitalism without this history, IsuggestyouskipthisPrefaceandturndirectlytotheIntroductioninChap.1. Thisbookbegan,some20yearsago,asastudyofcomparativeeconomicstrate- gies. Initially, I was hoping to identify and evaluate the economic strategies of countriesintermsofhowtheyweredefined(ifatall),howtheywereimplemented, and how well they had performed through time. In 1990, as at the present time, therewasnorecognizednotionofcountrystrategies;indeedtherewerehigh-status economists who said that such an idea was a complete misunderstanding of eco- nomics. Hopefully, the new Varieties of Capitalism literature will help broaden theperspectiveofthosewhohaveheldtheviewthateconomicspresentsauniver- sal, context-free, “consensus” model for development, which has little if any need for the visible hand of government in formulating or implementing an economic strategy. Then,asnow,therewasnogenerallyaccepteddefinitionofcapitalism,andmost authorsseemedcontentwiththenotionthatcapitalismwaswhatfirmsdidinmar- kets; a concept based on the study of firms and product markets, with little or no recognition of the special role occupied by factor markets (for land, labor, finance capital,orthecharteringoffirms)andstilllessrecognitionofthepoliticaleconomy ofgovernance.Lackingsuchadefinitionafterabout150yearsofusage,itisnotsur- prisingthattherewaslittleconsensusonwhereorwhencapitalismhadoriginated or how it might have evolved. Some approaches to the study of capitalism found itsoriginstobecoextensivewiththedevelopmentoftrade,andthuswithmultiple geographiclocationsinpre-Columbiantimes.Asecondview,andarguablyavery influential one among US economists, was that capitalism is a self-regulating sys- tembaseduponvoluntarytransactionsamongconsentingadults.Thisview,which has drawn little benefit of any historical perspective, is perhaps best exemplified byMiltonFriedmanandtheChicagoSchool.Athirdviewmadecapitalismalmost coextensive with the Industrial Revolution, a view which equated capitalism with technological progress but which, like the other two, gave little or no attention to governance. xi

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Two systems of governance, capitalism and democracy, prevail in the world today. Operating in partly overlapping domains, these systems influence and transform each other, but the nature of this interaction is often misunderstood -- largely because capitalism has not been recognized as a system of g
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