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The Evolving American Presidency Series Series Foreword The American Presidency touches virtually every aspect of American and world poli- tics. And the presidency has become, for better or worse, the vital center of the American and global political systems. The Framers of the American government would be dismayed at such a result. As invented at the Philadelphia Constitutional Convention in 1787, the Presidency was to have been a part of a government with shared and overlapping powers, embedded within a separation-of-powers system. If there was a vital center, it was the Congress; the Presidency was to be a part, but by no means, the centerpiece of that system. Over time, the presidency has evolved and grown in power, expectations, responsibil- ities, and authority. Wars, crises, depressions, industrialization, all served to add to the power of the presidency. And as the United States grew into a world power, presi- dential power also grew. As the United States became the world’s leading superpower, the presidency rose in prominence and power, not only in the U.S., but on the world stage. It is the clash between the presidency as invented and the presidency as it has devel- oped that inspired this series. And it is the importance and power of the modern American presidency that makes understanding the office so vital. Like it or not, the American Presidency stands at the vortex of power both within the United States and across the globe. This Palgrave series recognizes that the Presidency is and has been an evolving insti- tution, going from the original constitutional design as a Chief Clerk, to today where the president is the center of the American political constellation. This has caused sev- eral key dilemmas in our political system, not the least of which is that presidents face high expectations with limited constitutional resources. This causes presidents to find extra-constitutional means of governing. Thus, presidents must find ways to bridge the expectations/power gap while operating within the confines of a separation-of- powers system designed to limit presidential authority. How presidents resolve these challenges and paradoxes is the central issue in modern governance. It is also the central theme of this book series. Michael A. Genovese Loyola Chair of Leadership Loyola Marymount University Palgrave’s The Evolving American Presidency, Series Editor The Second Term of George W. Bush edited by Robert Maranto, Douglas M. Brattebo, and Tom Lansford The Presidency and the Challenge of Democracy edited by Michael A. Genovese and Lori Cox Han Religion and the American Presidency edited by Mark J. Rozell and Gleaves Whitney Religion and the Bush Presidency edited by Mark J. Rozell and Gleaves Whitney Test by Fire: The War Presidency of George W. Bush by Robert Swansbrough American Royalty: The Bush and Clinton Families and the Danger to the American Presidency by Matthew T. Corrigan Accidental Presidents: Death, Assassination, Resignation, and Democratic Succession by Philip Abbott Presidential Power in Action: Implementing Supreme Court Detainee Decisions by Darren A. Wheeler President George W. Bush’s Influence over Bureaucracy and Policy: Extraordinary Times, Extraordinary Powers edited by Colin Provost and Paul Teske Assessing George W. Bush’s Legacy: The Right Man? edited by Iwan Morgan and Philip John Davies Assessing George W. Bush’s Legacy The Right Man? Edited by Iwan Morgan and Philip John Davies ASSESSING GEORGE W. BUSH’S LEGACY Copyright © Iwan Morgan and Philip John Davies, 2010. Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2010 978-0-230-10858-5 All rights reserved. First published in 2010 by PALGRAVE MACMILLAN® in the United States—a division of St. Martin’s Press LLC, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10010. Where this book is distributed in the UK, Europe and the rest of the world, this is by Palgrave Macmillan, a division of Macmillan Publishers Limited, registered in England, company number 785998, of Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS. Palgrave Macmillan is the global academic imprint of the above companies and has companies and representatives throughout the world. Palgrave® and Macmillan® are registered trademarks in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe and other countries. ISBN 978-1-349-29134-2 ISBN 978-0-230-11433-3 (eBook) DOI 10.1057/9780230114333 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Assessing George W. Bush's legacy : the right man? / edited by Iwan Morgan & Philip John Davies. p. cm.—(Evolving American presidency series) 1. Bush, George W. (George Walker), 1946– 2. Bush, George, W. (George Walker), 1946– —Social and political views. 3. United States— Politics and government—2001–2009. 4. United States—Foreign relations—2001–2009. I. Morgan, Iwan W. II. Davies, Philip, 1948– E902.A868 2010 973.931092—dc22 2010013862 A catalogue record of the book is available from the British Library. Design by Newgen Imaging Systems (P) Ltd., Chennai, India. First edition: November 2010 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Transferred to Digital Printing in 2014 Contents List of Figure and Tables vii List of Contributors ix Introduction: Assessing George W. Bush’s Legacy: The Right Man? 1 Iwan Morgan One Rating Bush 11 Andrew Rudalevige Two Bush’s Style of Presidential Leadership 31 Nigel Bowles Three Bush’s Congressional Legacy and Congress’s Bush Legacy 51 John E. Owens Four Bush, the Judiciary, and the Conservative Constitutional Counterrevolution: Close but No Cigar 79 Robert J. McKeever Five The Ethical Record of the Bush Presidency 99 Clodagh Harrington Six Did Bush Pursue a Neoconservative Foreign Policy? 121 Timothy J. Lynch Seven Bush’s Foreign Policy Legacy: Counting the Cost 145 John Dumbrell Eight Bush and Big Government Conservatism 165 Alex Waddan Nine Bush’s Political Economy: Deficits, Debt, and Depression 185 Iwan Morgan Ten Bush’s Partisan Legacy and the 2008 Elections 207 Philip John Davies Index 223 Figure and Tables Figure 3.1 The Changing Ideological Position of the Congressional Parties: 91st Congress and 110th Congress 55 Tables 1.1 Selected Rankings in Presidential Surveys, 1962–2008 19 3.1 Tight Inter-Party Competition and Control of the Congress and the Presidency, 2001–8 57 6.1 PNAC Signatories Hired and Not Hired by the George W. Bush Administration 131 Contributors Nigel Bowles is Honour Balfour Fellow in Politics at St. Anne’s College and Director of the Rothermere American Institute, Oxford University. His numerous publications include The White House and Capitol Hill and Nixon’s Business: Power and Authority in the Modern Presidency, winner of the American Politics Group’s Richard E. Neustadt Prize in 2006. He is also the author of a widely read text, Government and Politics of the United States. Philip John Davies is director of the Eccles Centre for American Studies at the British Library. His many publications include Elections USA; US Elections Today; Winning Elections and Political Marketing (coedited with Bruce Newman); The Federal Nation: Perspectives on American Federalism; America’s Americans: Demographic Issues in American Society and Politic; and Right On? Political Change and Continuity in George W. Bush’s America (all coedited with Iwan Morgan). He is chair of the American Politics Group. John Dumbrell is Professor of Government at Durham University. His numerous books include President Lyndon Johnson and Soviet Communism; A Special Relationship: Anglo-American Relations from the Cold War to Iraq; and The Carter Presidency: A Re-evaluation. His most recent study is Clinton’s Foreign Policy: Between the Bushes 1992–2000. Clodagh Harrington is Lecturer in Politics at de Montfort University. She achieved her Ph.D. on the role of the Special Prosecutor in American politics from Watergate to the Monica Lewinsky scandal in 2006 and is currently engaged in turning that into a book. Timothy J. Lynch is Senior Lecturer in U.S. Foreign Policy at the Institute for the Study of the Americas, University of London. He is the author of Turf Wars: The Clinton Administration and Northern Ireland and (with Robert Singh) After Bush: The Case for Continuity in American Foreign Policy, which won the American Politics Group’s Richard E. Neustadt Prize in 2009; and numerous scholarly articles. Robert J. McKeever is Head of Department of Law, Governance and International Relations at London Metropolitan University. He has x Contributors published extensively on U.S. constitutional issues in scholarly jour- nals and in various edited collections. His books include Raw Judicial Power? The Supreme Court and American Society. Iwan Morgan is Professor of U.S. Studies and Director of the U.S. Presidency Centre at the Institute for the Study of the Americas, University of London. His publications include: Eisenhower versus “the Spenders”; Deficit Government; Nixon; and, most recently, The Age of Deficits: Presidents and Unbalanced Budgets from Jimmy Carter to George W. Bush, winner of the American Politics Group’s Richard E. Neustadt Prize in 2010. He is chair of the executive com- mittee of the Historians of the Twentieth Century United States. John E. Owens is Professor of U.S. Government and Politics at the University of Westminster and Faculty Fellow in the Center for Congressional and Presidential Studies at American University. His publications include: Congress and the Presidency; Leadership in Context; and The Republican Takeover of Congress. His most recent work is America’s “War” on Terrorism: New Dimensions in United States Government and National Security (coedited with John Dumbrell). Andrew Rudalevige is Associate Professor of Political Science at Dickinson College. One of the foremost scholars of the presidency, his publications include Managing the President’s Program: Presidential Leadership and Legislative Policy Formation, winner of the American Political Science Association’s Richard E. Neustadt Award for the best book written on the presidency in 2002; The New Imperial Presidency: Renewing Presidential Power after Watergate; and (as coeditor) The George W. Bush Legacy. Alex Waddan is Senior Lecturer in U.S. Politics at the University of Leicester. A specialist in U.S. public policy, especially pertaining to social welfare and economic issues, he has written two books, The Politics of Social Welfare and Clinton’s Legacy: A New Democrat in Governance, and published numerous articles in scholarly journals, such as Political Science Quarterly. Introduction Assessing George W. Bush’s Legacy: The Right Man? Iwan Morgan George W. Bush claimed not to care what scholars would have to say about his presidency just after his departure from office. In 2002, his chief political adviser, Karl Rove, declared, “President Bush is fond of saying that, in the short run, history always gets it wrong.” In his last press conference, with his presidency widely deemed to have been a failure, a defiant Bush remarked that it was too soon to reach this verdict or any other. “There is,” he insisted, “no such thing as short- term history. I don’t think you can possibly get the full breadth of an administration until time has passed.”1 Without doubt, the impact and significance of a president’s legacy can be properly understood only in relation to the course of history in the years after he leaves office. Nevertheless, whatever the forty-third president’s misgivings on this score, an immediate estimate of his place in history is also legitimate. The recent past is too important a subject to leave to the analysts of the future. Whatever one’s views on Bush’s presidency, it has immense significance for America’s twenty-first century devel- opment. Its legacy, therefore, merits immediate assessment, even if a definitive judgment requires the passage of time. This analysis of Bush’s legacy consists of essays written by nine UK scholars of U.S. politics and one American. Hopefully it can offer an outsider perspective that brings different insights and perhaps a more disinterested perspective in comparison to a volume on the same sub- ject written by U.S. scholars. The project grew out of a conference, coorganized by the British Library’s Eccles Centre [EC] for American Studies and the Institute for the Study of the Americas [ISA] of the University of London’s School of Advanced Study in March 2009. The editors express their thanks to their colleagues in both institu- tions, particularly Kate Bateman and Jean Petrovic of the EC and Olga Jimenez and Karen Perkins of the ISA, for their hard work and support in making this event a success.

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