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An Introduction to Actuarial Mathematics PDF

359 Pages·2002·7.11 MB·English
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An Introduction to Actuarial Mathematics MATHEMATICAL MODELLING: Theory and Applications VOLUME 14 This series is aimed at publishing work dealing with the definition, development and application of fundamental theory and methodology, computational and algorithmic implementations and comprehensive empirical studies in mathematical modelling. Work on new mathematics inspired by the construction of mathematical models, combining theory and experiment and furthering the understanding of the systems being modelled are particularly welcomed. Manuscripts to be considered for publication lie within the following, non-exhaustive list of areas: mathematical modelling in engineering, industrial mathematics, control theory, operations research, decision theory, economic modelling, mathematical programmering, mathematical system theory, geophysical sciences, climate modelling, environmental processes, mathematical modelling in psychology, political science, sociology and behavioural sciences, mathematical biology, mathematical ecology, image processing, computer vision, artificial intelligence, fuzzy systems, and approximate reasoning, genetic algorithms, neural networks, expert systems, pattern recognition, clustering, chaos and fractals. Original monographs, comprehensive surveys as well as edited collections will be considered for pUblication. Editor: R. Lowen (Antwerp, Belgium) Editorial Board: J.-P. Aubin (Universite de Paris IX, France) E. Jouini (University of Paris 1 and ENSAE, France) G.J. Klir (New York, U.S.A.) J.-L. Lions (Paris, France) P.G. Mezey (Saskatchewan, Canada) F. Pfeiffer (Milnchen, Germany) A. Stevens (Max Planck Institute for Mathematics in the Sciences, Leipzig, Germany) H.-J. Zimmerman (Aachen, Germany) The titles published in this series are listed at the end of this volume. An Introduction to Actuarial Mathematics by A.K. Gupta Bowling Green State University, Bowling Green, Ohio, U.S.A. and T. Varga National Pension Insurance Fund. Budapest, Hungary SPRINGER-SCIENCE+BUSINESS MEDIA, B.V. A C.I.P. Catalogue record for this book is available from the Library of Congress. ISBN 978-90-481-5949-9 ISBN 978-94-017-0711-4 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-94-017-0711-4 Printed on acid-free paper All Rights Reserved © 2002 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht Originally published by Kluwer Academic Publishers in 2002 No part of the material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or by any information storage and retrieval system, without written permission from the copyright owner. To Alka, Mita, and Nisha AKG To Terezia and Julianna TV TABLE OF CONTENTS PREFACE.......................................................................................... ix CHAPTER 1. FINANCIAL MATHEMATICS .................................. 1 1.1. Compound Interest ........................................................ 1 1.2. Present Value................................................................... 31 1.3. Annuities........................................................................... 48 CHAPTER 2. MORTALITy .............................................................. 80 2.1 Survival Time .................................................................... 80 2.2. Actuarial Functions of Mortality. .............. .... ................ 84 2.3. Mortality Tables............................................................... 98 CHAPTER 3. LIFE INSURANCES AND ANNUITIES ..................... 112 3.1. Stochastic Cash Flows ..................................................... 112 3.2. Pure Endowments.... ... ....... ............... ..... ............. .... ........ 130 3.3. Life Insurances .......... ........ ................. ..... .... .... .......... .... ... 133 3.4. Endowments .................................................................... 147 3.5. Life Annuities ................................................................... 154 CHAPTER 4. PREMIUMS ................................................................ 194 4.1. Net Premiums. ................................................................. 194 4.2. Gross Premiums .............................................................. 215 Vll CHAPTER 5. RESERVES ................................................................. 223 5.1. Net Premium Reserves .................................................. 223 5.2. Mortality Profit. ............................................................... 272 5.3. Modified Reserves .......................................................... 286 ANSWERS TO ODD-NuMBERED PROBLEMS ............................... 303 ApPENDIX 1. COMPOUND INTEREST TABLES ........................... 311 ApPENDIX 2. ILLUSTRATIVE MORTALITY TABLE ...................... 331 REFERENCES ................................................................................... 340 SYMBOL INDEX ............................................................................... 341 SUBJECT INDEX ............................................................................... 348 viii PREFACE This text has been written primarily as an introduction to the basics of the actuarial mathematics of life insurance. The subject matter is suitable for a one-semester or a one-year college course. Since it attempts to derive the results in a mathematically rigorous way, the concepts and techniques of one variable calculus and probability theory have been used throughout. A two semester course in calculus and a one semester course in probability theory at the undergraduate level are the usual prerequisites for the understanding of the material. There are five chapters in this text. Chapter 1 focuses on some important concepts of financial mathematics. The concept of interests, essential to the understanding of the book, is discussed here very thoroughly. After the study of present values in general, annuities-certain are examined. Chapter 2 is concerned with the mortality theory. The analytical study of mortality is followed by the introduction of mortality tables. Chapter 3 discusses different types of life insurances in detail. First, we examine stochastic cash flows in general. Then we study pure endowments, whole life and term insurances, endowments, and life annuities. Chapter 4 is devoted to premium calculations. It opens with a section on net premiums, followed by a section discussing office premiums. Chapter 5 deals with reserves. In addition to presenting different reserving methods, the mortality profit is also studied here. Careful consideration is given to the problem of negative reserves as well. The book contains many systematically solved examples showing the practical applications of the theory presented. Solving the problems at the end of each section is essential for understanding the material. Answers to odd-numbered problems are given at the end of the book. The authors are indebted to Drs. D. K. Nagar, Jie Chen and Asoka Ramanayake with whom discussions and whose comments on the original manuscript, resulted in a vastly improved text. We are grateful to the Society of Actuaries, the Institute of Actuaries and the Faculty of Actuaries, acknowledged in the appropriate places, for permission to reproduce tables. Thanks are also due to Ms. Anneke Pot of Kluwer Academic Publishers for her cooperation and help. Her counsel on matters of form and style is sincerely appreciated. Finally, the authors are thankful to Cynthia Patterson for her efficient word processing and for her patience during the preparation of this manuscript. Bowling Green, Ohio A. K. Gupta Budapest, Hungary T. Varga August, 2001 IX CHAPTER 1 FINANCIAL MATHEMATICS 1.1 COMPOUND INTEREST There are many situations in every day life when we come across the concept of interest. For example, when someone makes a deposit in a bank account, the money will earn interest. Money can also be borrowed from a bank, which has to be repaid later on with interest. Many car buyers who cannot afford paying the price in cash will pay monthly installments whose sum is usually higher than the original price of the car. This is due to the interest which has been added to the price of the car. In general, interest is the fee one pays for the right of using someone else's money. In the case of a bank deposit, the bank uses the money of the depositor, whereas in the case of a bank loan, the borrower uses the money of the bank. The situation is slightly complicated with a car purchase. What happens here is that the buyer of the car gets a loan from the dealer which can be used to pay the price of the car in full. This loan has to be repaid to the dealer in monthly installments. Consider an interest earning bank account. Assume we make a deposit of $X on January 1, and leave the money there until the end of the year. On January 1 of the next year, we withdraw the money together with the interest. We find that our money has accumulated to $Y. What is the rate of interest for the year? Let us denote the interest rate by "i". It is worth noting that the interest rate is often expressed as a percentage (e.g. 4%), or as a real number (e.g. 0.04). Let us split $Y into two parts. One is the amount of the original deposit: $X, also called the capital content, the rest is the interest content: $Xi. We have the following equation: Y=X+Xi or equivalently Y = X(1 + i). EXAMPLE 1.1. A sum of $340 is deposited in a bank account on January 1, 1990. The account earns interest at a rate of 3% per annum. What is the accumulated value of the account on January 1, 1991? What are the capital and interest contents of the accumulation?

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