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A unified general framework of insurgency using a living systems approach PDF

109 Pages·2007·0.68 MB·English
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Calhoun: The NPS Institutional Archive DSpace Repository Theses and Dissertations 1. Thesis and Dissertation Collection, all items 2008-06 A unified general framework of insurgency using a living systems approach Kendall, Shanece L. Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School http://hdl.handle.net/10945/4121 Downloaded from NPS Archive: Calhoun NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY, CALIFORNIA THESIS A UNIFIED GENERAL FRAMEWORK OF INSURGENCY USING A LIVING SYSTEMS APPROACH by Shanece L. Kendall June 2008 Thesis Advisor: Gordon H. Bradley Second Reader: David L. Alderson Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instruction, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, Paperwork Reduction Project (0704-0188) Washington DC 20503. 1. AGENCY USE ONLY (Leave blank) 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED June 2008 Master’s Thesis 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE 5. FUNDING NUMBERS A Unified General Framework of Insurgency Using a Living Systems Approach 6. AUTHOR(S) Shanece L. Kendall 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION Naval Postgraduate School REPORT NUMBER Monterey, CA 93943-5000 9. SPONSORING /MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 10. SPONSORING/MONITORING Office of Naval Research AGENCY REPORT NUMBER 875 North Randolph Street Arlington, VA 22217-5000 11. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES The views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense or the U.S. Government. 12a. DISTRIBUTION / AVAILABILITY STATEMENT 12b. DISTRIBUTION CODE Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited A 13. ABSTRACT (maximum 200 words) This thesis develops a unified general framework of insurgency. The framework is “unifying” in that it includes all the physical and social science formulations of insurgencies and both contemporary and historical insurgencies. It is “general” in that it describes all insurgencies rather than a specific one. This thesis first redefines the definition of insurgency in the context of the twenty-first century and addresses the military, political, social, and economic elements. Next, it adopts the view that an insurgency is a living system. This idea is based on the characteristic that every insurgency consists of a group of people embedded in a larger society. Using this concept, this thesis argues that James Grier Miller’s Living Systems Theory, from his book Living Systems, is the most fitting theory to study insurgency. To demonstrate the framework’s effectiveness, it is applied to the Iraq Sunni Insurgency. The framework is used to describe the structure of the insurgency system using three levels—insurgency, Improvised Explosive Device (IED) Unit, and IED Cell—and the twenty critical subsystems that process information and matter- energy in the insurgency’s IED Cell. This framework should help clarify, focus, and support the current debates about policy, operations, and tactics for insurgencies. 14. SUBJECT TERMS Insurgency, Iraq, Sunni, Living Systems Theory, James Grier Miller, 15. NUMBER OF Systems, Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) PAGES 108 16. PRICE CODE 17. SECURITY 18. SECURITY 19. SECURITY 20. LIMITATION OF CLASSIFICATION OF CLASSIFICATION OF THIS CLASSIFICATION OF ABSTRACT REPORT PAGE ABSTRACT Unclassified Unclassified Unclassified UU NSN 7540-01-280-5500 Standard Form 298 (Rev. 2-89) Prescribed by ANSI Std. 239-18 i THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK i i Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. A UNIFIED GENERAL FRAMEWORK OF INSURGENCY USING A LIVING SYSTEMS APPROACH Shanece L. Kendall Ensign, United States Navy B.S., United States Naval Academy, 2007 Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE IN APPLIED SCIENCE (OPERATIONS RESEARCH) from the NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL June 2008 Author: Shanece L. Kendal Approved by: Gordon H. Bradley Thesis Advisor David L. Alderson Second Reader James N. Eagle Chairman, Department of Operations Research ii i THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK iv ABSTRACT This thesis develops a unified general framework of insurgency. The framework is “unifying” in that it includes all the physical and social science formulations of insurgencies and both contemporary and historical insurgencies. It is “general” in that it describes all insurgencies rather than a specific one. This thesis first redefines the definition of insurgency in the context of the twenty-first century and addresses the military, political, social, and economic elements. Next, it adopts the view that an insurgency is a living system. This idea is based on the characteristic that every insurgency consists of a group of people embedded in a larger society. Using this concept, this thesis argues that James Grier Miller’s Living Systems Theory, from his book Living Systems, is the most fitting theory to study insurgency. To demonstrate the framework’s effectiveness, it is applied to the Iraq Sunni Insurgency. The framework is used to describe the structure of the insurgency system using three levels—insurgency, Improvised Explosive Device (IED) Unit, and IED Cell—and the twenty critical subsystems that process information and matter-energy in the insurgency’s IED Cell. This framework should help clarify, focus, and support the current debates about policy, operations, and tactics for insurgencies. v THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK v i TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION........................................................................................................1 A. PURPOSE OF RESEARCH ...........................................................................1 B. THESIS ORGANIZATION............................................................................5 II. DESCRIBING AND DEFINING INSURGENCY....................................................7 A. OVERVIEW.....................................................................................................7 B. CURRENT DEFINITION OF INSURGENCY ............................................7 C. INSURGENCY REDEFINED ......................................................................14 D. ALTERNATIVE APPROACHES TO DESCRIBING INSURGENCY...16 1. Social Networks..................................................................................16 2. Sociobiology ........................................................................................20 3. Ecology................................................................................................23 4. Complex Adaptive Systems...............................................................25 E. SUMMARY ....................................................................................................28 III. MILLER’S BACKGROUND AND LIVING SYSTEMS THEORY ....................31 A. OVERVIEW...................................................................................................31 B. HISTORICAL BACKGROUND OF JAMES MILLER ...........................32 C. THE LEGACY OF LIVING SYSTEMS.......................................................33 D. THREE CENTRAL CONCEPTS ................................................................35 1. Space and Time ..................................................................................35 2. Matter and Energy.............................................................................37 3. Information.........................................................................................37 E. LIVING SYSTEM DEFINED ......................................................................37 F. PROPERTIES OF LIVING SYSTEMS ......................................................39 1. Organizationally Open, but Energetically Closed ..........................39 2. Maintains Equilibrium ......................................................................39 3. Combats Entropy...............................................................................40 4. Possesses a Template..........................................................................40 5. Possesses Subsystems.........................................................................40 6. Contains a Decider.............................................................................42 7. Possesses Integrated Subsystems......................................................42 G. CHARACTERISTICS OF THE EIGHT LEVELS OF LIVING SYSTEMS.......................................................................................................43 1. Structure .............................................................................................43 2. Processes .............................................................................................43 3. Subsystems..........................................................................................44 4. Relationships ......................................................................................44 5. System Processes ................................................................................45 H. SUMMARY ....................................................................................................47 IV. STRUCTURE OF IRAQ SUNNI INSURGENCY .................................................49 A. OVERVIEW...................................................................................................49 vi i

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